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Full Version: 2021-2022 MAVS NEWS: 4th in West | WCF loss [ARCHIVED]
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(04-01-2022, 02:24 PM)MFFL Wrote: [ -> ]Nineteen years ago - one of the greatest April Fool's jokes ever

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2Z6FkDna6XU

Ah yes. That was before Mark Cuban moved April Fool´s to draft night. Big Grin
(04-03-2022, 02:45 PM)Kammrath Wrote: [ -> ]https://twitter.com/bobbykaralla/status/...5819808768

Mavs magic number is TWO vs the better of either Denver and Utah. It's not 1 vs Denver at this time.
(04-03-2022, 03:56 PM)F Gump Wrote: [ -> ]Mavs magic number is TWO vs the better of either Denver and Utah. It's not 1 vs Denver at this time.

Pretty sure the Mavs have the tie breaker on DEN and are 2.5 games up with three games to go (DEN playing LAL right now).
(04-03-2022, 04:22 PM)Kammrath Wrote: [ -> ]Pretty sure the Mavs have the tie breaker on DEN 

I guess that's right.

There is a scenario where "division winner" is the top tie-break criteria, and there is a scenario where DEN wins their division. So I figured DEN could get the tie-break in that situation. But looking closer, I see that BOTH of those things cannot happen, which means magic number for Mavs is 1 (vs DEN).
[Image: th2a2flczpr81.jpg?width=768&auto=webp&s=...a9fec3d849]
(04-06-2022, 12:43 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: [ -> ][Image: th2a2flczpr81.jpg?width=768&auto=webp&s=...a9fec3d849]

Entire season ranked 23rd in percent at 34.5 (8th in attempts at 37.3)

Since 12/31 ranked 11th in percent at 35.9 (8th in attempts at 37.2)

Since TDL ranked 16th in percent at 36.1 (4th in attempts at 38.6)
It's a much better percentage in the new year, but they could clearly still stand to improve. Given how important Bullock's numbers have been to winning, it really feels like the missing piece for the Mavs is basically a star version of Bullock, someone like Klay Thompson in his prime.
(04-06-2022, 02:22 AM)Branduil Wrote: [ -> ]It's a much better percentage in the new year, but they could clearly still stand to improve. Given how important Bullock's numbers have been to winning, it really feels like the missing piece for the Mavs is basically a star version of Bullock, someone like Klay Thompson in his prime.

Players above the 85th percentile in 3 point shooting and 80th percentile in D-EPM:

Cam Johnson
Mike Muscala
Lonzo Ball
Caleb Martin
Jrue Holiday
Royce O'Neale
Mike Conley
Derrick Rose
Andrew Wiggins
Nic Batum

DFS is actually pretty close.  So are Quentin Grimes, Gordon Hayward, Alec Burks and Gary Harris
(04-06-2022, 06:28 AM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: [ -> ]Players above the 85th percentile in 3 point shooting and 80th percentile in D-EPM:

Cam Johnson
Mike Muscala
Lonzo Ball
Caleb Martin
Jrue Holiday
Royce O'Neale
Mike Conley
Derrick Rose
Andrew Wiggins
Nic Batum

DFS is actually pretty close.  So are Quentin Grimes, Gordon Hayward, Alec Burks and Gary Harris



Quite an unsuspecting list actually.
(04-06-2022, 06:28 AM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: [ -> ]Players above the 85th percentile in 3 point shooting and 80th percentile in D-EPM:

Cam Johnson
Mike Muscala
Lonzo Ball
Caleb Martin
Jrue Holiday
Royce O'Neale
Mike Conley
Derrick Rose
Andrew Wiggins
Nic Batum

DFS is actually pretty close.  So are Quentin Grimes, Gordon Hayward, Alec Burks and Gary Harris
Probably a good idea to have a minimum PPG here, maybe sacrificing a bit on defense. For example, Royce O'Neale only scores 7.5 PPG, I don't know he'd actually be an upgrade on Bullock.
(04-06-2022, 06:28 AM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: [ -> ]Players above the 85th percentile in 3 point shooting and 80th percentile in D-EPM:

Cam Johnson
Mike Muscala
Lonzo Ball
Caleb Martin
Jrue Holiday
Royce O'Neale
Mike Conley
Derrick Rose
Andrew Wiggins
Nic Batum

DFS is actually pretty close.  So are Quentin Grimes, Gordon Hayward, Alec Burks and Gary Harris

If Brunson really wants to leave for NYC, then Randle/Grimes would be my preferred package. Grimes has been really good defensively. Gary Harris could be a target for the tax-payer MLE.

Was interesting to hear that the lowest opponent´s shooting percentage at the rim is held by Hartenstein. I wonder whether the tax-payer MLE, plus Dirktown plus chance to start could lure him away from the Clippers.

There are still chances to gradually improve the team and the asset base.
(04-06-2022, 06:28 AM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: [ -> ]Players above the 85th percentile in 3 point shooting and 80th percentile in D-EPM:

Cam Johnson
Mike Muscala
Lonzo Ball
Caleb Martin
Jrue Holiday
Royce O'Neale
Mike Conley
Derrick Rose
Andrew Wiggins
Nic Batum

DFS is actually pretty close.  So are Quentin Grimes, Gordon Hayward, Alec Burks and Gary Harris

I realize this is all arbitrary, but I would suggest reasonable criteria for a Bullock upgrade would be 70 percentile in O-EPM, D-EPM and 3 point shooting (Bullock is 50-60 in all three categories).  My guess is that would open up a bigger list.

I'm curious how you did that search?  Don't see a simple way to do that.
(04-06-2022, 12:04 PM)mvossman Wrote: [ -> ]I realize this is all arbitrary, but I would suggest reasonable criteria for a Bullock upgrade would be 70 percentile in O-EPM, D-EPM and 3 point shooting (Bullock is 50-60 in all three categories).  My guess is that would open up a bigger list.

I'm curious how you did that search?  Don't see a simple way to do that.

It is a lot easier to do a two factor search the old fashioned way (stack rank one criteria and run your finger down the column for the other criteria noting those who qualify).  The EPM site doesn’t have a search function that I’m aware of, so three criteria would be even more manual.

In my book, we may have the Bullock replacement on the roster already.  Assuming we have 3 ball handlers still and THJ coming off the bench, Green would be a starter in name only and might still be a 12-15 minute guy given the mouths that need to be fed.  IF there was a Reggie for Holmes deal, THJ joining a guard and Powell and one of Maxi/Bertans makes sense.

Holmes/Powell
DFS/Klertans
Green/THJ
Brunson/SD
Luka/SD

Maybe the outgoing is Maxi instead Reggie and Bertans is the backup PF?  Maybe it is just Green as the outgoing and you insert Reggie where Green is slotted in the list above.  It feels like we have an extra PF and an extra wing that in some combination could be used for an upgrade.  I really have no idea who we would use.