What is ShotQuality based on? Phoenix takes a lot of 2-pointers that might not be good shots for other teams but are good for them.
(05-04-2022, 10:11 AM)Kammrath Wrote: [ -> ]This is really a big deal IMO. So I am posting it again:
https://twitter.com/Shot_Quality/status/...0563305473
This should give all of us significant hope moving forward.
Not sure how to interpret this. Seems like PHX is hitting a lot of shots they shouldn't more than DAL missing good shots. That kind of agrees with my Mark II eyeball test. Especially CP3 seems to just throw it toward the backboard and it goes in.
But they seem to have been doing this for several games now. As a team they shot 52.3% in the NOP series with games of 53.8 (W), 50 (L), 50.6 (W), 50.6 (L), 50 (W), 60 (W). They shot 53.6% in wins and 50.3% in losses. So there is not a lot of difference in winning and losing.
Monday PHX shot 50.5% while Dal shot 47.1% (up over 44.4% in Round 1), although I think PHX was at 67% early in the game. I'm thinking it will just take a little more efficiency on defense and just a few more shots on offense and this game goes back to TX 1-1. Seems like small changes, but I'm not coach enough to suggest what to do.
(05-04-2022, 10:44 AM)michaeltex Wrote: [ -> ]Not sure how to interpret this. Seems like PHX is hitting a lot of shots they shouldn't more than DAL missing good shots. That kind of agrees with my Mark II eyeball test. Especially CP3 seems to just throw it toward the backboard and it goes in.
But they seem to have been doing this for several games now. As a team they shot 52.3% in the NOP series with games of 53.8 (W), 50 (L), 50.6 (W), 50.6 (L), 50 (W), 60 (W). They shot 53.6% in wins and 50.3% in losses. So there is not a lot of difference in winning and losing.
Monday PHX shot 50.5% while Dal shot 47.1% (up over 44.4% in Round 1), although I think PHX was at 67% early in the game. I'm thinking it will just take a little more efficiency on defense and just a few more shots on offense and this game goes back to TX 1-1. Seems like small changes, but I'm not coach enough to suggest what to do.
Ayton was 0-4 in the 4th quarter after going 12-16 in the first 3 quarters. Powell didn't play in the 4th quarter.
I am probably way oversimplifying this, but forcing Ayton to work defensively is my #1 objective for Game 2. Paul is going to make tough mid range shots. Booker is going to make high degree of difficulty shots. Bridges and Crowder will make hustle plays and kick out 3's. Mavs probably can't take those things away.
Ayton's offense was just way too easy for 3 quarters. How the Mavs adjust to make his life more difficult is the biggest thing for me.
The Cameron's for the Suns were also 10-18, 4-9 for 26 points. Spencer is going to have to offset some of what they do.
(05-04-2022, 10:14 AM)Branduil Wrote: [ -> ]What is ShotQuality based on? Phoenix takes a lot of 2-pointers that might not be good shots for other teams but are good for them.
https://twitter.com/Shot_Quality/status/...5453790208
https://twitter.com/Shot_Quality/status/...3176369153
Again as with all advanced stats, take it with a grain of salt and look at the bigger picture. The Mavs came out shell shocked last game. The Suns also hit a lot of hard shots. Despite all of that they nearly came back. Need Brunson and Dinwiddie to step the F up because the Suns don't make mistakes.
(05-04-2022, 07:44 AM)Mavs2021 Wrote: [ -> ]You mean raw, inexperienced and stupid.
![[Image: licensed-image?q=tbn:ANd9GcTIeVBWjRiD_Bb...zQyd8XJjrA]](http://t2.gstatic.com/licensed-image?q=tbn:ANd9GcTIeVBWjRiD_BbHIdI_-5dm-Vjf2ofYot5oLmTOEbXIHmYQOJ5dW6zQyd8XJjrA)
If that's how you see it, so be it. Don't you think their stupidness has something to do with their inexperience?
The game is about matchups, exploiting that. No doubt that as good Ayton is, that is the weakside. Luka getting him out, and if he starts shooting 3 over Ayton consistently, Suns need to adjust, not the other way around. Secon key is as I mentioned before game 1 is Maxi rather than Powell. Maxi can get the best out of Ayton on defense as he is dangerous shooting the 3, and make it as difficult for him on offense as possible to score, more than Powell can do.
But Powell can also come in play in pick and roll. So far Suns have been focused in protecting the rim thus by focusing on Powell not making rim rolling. This has opened lanes to Luka not to the rim but instead for a free uncontested floater. Luka should keep shooting those, it will make Suns force to let Ayton attack Luka in pick and roll and forget about Powell.
Game 1 we saw the gameplans, and that Suns has a better one. But now is the time for adjustments. If Dallas finds a way to counter, Suns will get on the defensive in terms of strategy and will need to re-adjust. No need to panic. We didnt panic against Utah, and so we dont need to panic now again. But we need small adjustments. Nothing major. Just exploiting the good matchups and minimizing the bad ones. No doubt this will be harder than against Jazz, but if we stay focused, make smart tactical decision, and play with more toughness and intensity, no doubt we will win this series.
In the playoffs PHX is shooting 60.9% TS....in the regular season 58.1% TS.
Hard for me to believe that shooting pace will continue. I expect the Mavs to benefit from the PHX shooting coming back to the mean over the next few games.
(05-04-2022, 08:26 PM)Kammrath Wrote: [ -> ]In the playoffs PHX is shooting 60.9% TS....in the regular season 58.1% TS.
Hard for me to believe that shooting pace will continue. I expect the Mavs to benefit from the PHX shooting coming back to the mean over the next few games.
That doesn’t seem crazy to me? What about the Mavs?
(05-04-2022, 08:58 PM)Smitty Wrote: [ -> ]That doesn’t seem crazy to me? What about the Mavs?
58.1% TS in the playoffs....57.2% TS for the season.
PHX shooting 52.0% FG in the playoffs....48.5% in the regular season.
+3.5% is HUGE IMO.
Mavs shooting 44.8% FG in the playoffs.....46.1% in the regular season.
-1.3%
Thank you, sir. Can you explain to a simpleton how big of an impact 2.8% can/will make when it comes to TS% for the Suns?
Luka is a MASSIVE defensive liability right now. He needs to man-up and change that or this series is OVER.
(05-04-2022, 11:20 PM)Kammrath Wrote: [ -> ]Luka is a MASSIVE defensive liability right now. He needs to man-up and change that or this series is OVER.
Yeah, maybe we can make everybody else not an offensive liablity, then Luka would have the legs to play some defense in the 4th quarter. It´s absolutely stupid how p*ss poor our offensive talent is. The MBT seems to have a hard time to grasp the concept of it.
Valanciunas averages more points than Brunson. He´s the 4th option on the Pelicans.
(05-04-2022, 11:32 PM)Mavs2021 Wrote: [ -> ]Yeah, maybe we can make everybody else not an offensive liablity, then Luka would have the legs to play some defense in the 4th quarter. It´s absolutely stupid how p*ss poor our offensive talent is. The MBT seems to have a hard time to grasp the concept of it.
Valanciunas averages more points than Brunson. He´s the 4th option on the Pelicans.
https://tenor.com/view/raquita-preach-pr...f-12225336
(05-04-2022, 11:32 PM)Mavs2021 Wrote: [ -> ]Valanciunas averages more points than Brunson
JB needs the BALL. We saw this when Luka was out against UTA. Give JB the ball and he will produce. JB is getting very few chances to have the ball like Luka does.
HOWEVER, the length of PHX does seem to be bothering JB.
My point: Some of the Luka-only offense is self-imposed by Luka. Luka chooses to play Luka-ball. It is a self-fulfilling prophesy to an extent.
A sweep is expected. If we can catch them napping in game 3 or 4 then maybe we can take it to 5 but this is one of the worst playoff matchups in Mavs history. From roster and scheme, they have every tool to neutralize what we do best. There's a reason why we've lost 11 straight
JB might be a starter, but not next to Luka. They are both too ball dominate so JB is never going to get his and they are both too much of a liability on the defensive end.