07-22-2021, 05:01 AM
(07-21-2021, 09:01 PM)dirkfansince1998 Wrote: It wouldn´t be a talent downgrade. For some reason you are only mentioning the good examples. Not the majority of players in the late first round that never panned out. if you want to make a case for the value of the pick you have to go with the average or median. Not the once in a lifetime outlier.
Brunson for example was a great pick. Top 20 player in his draft class. Easily better than the average player that is drafted in the mid/late first round.
https://www.82games.com/nbadraftpicks.htm
https://www.82games.com/barzilai1.htm
Yeah well, that´s kind of the point of a GM. To find the special players, the starters, the roleplayers, the players that will outperform their draft positions.
If we are approaching the draft based on a statistical analysis, then we might as well take the consensus draft rankings to the local zoo and let a monkey hit some darts.