Official Pre-Training-Camp 2019-20 Mavs Record Predictions

[fifteenth]

I'm going full homer, screw it

50!!!!!

Dang. I may have shot way low.

[ClutchDirk]

So people were telling me I was a homer back on 247 sports, yet I chose less wins than most. I guess everyone here is a bigger homer than me? 

yeah, I think you're on to something...most of the folks that have found the forum so far are us homers :-)

Better than having haters and Rox fans

Yeah, true...but Clutch is cool though  

https://media.giphy.com/media/dvOwFmfbzm.../giphy.gif

[ItsGoTime]

Lots of games to still be played.

[ThisIStheYear]

When I work it out sort of mathematically, I get to about 45 wins.  But I actually see the unknowns and intangibles breaking in a positive direction with regard to chemistry, Luka fully emerging as a star, KP’s health, and maybe some upside surprises from guys I’d previously written off, like THJ.  Plus, if the Mavs are performing like a playoff team, I think they pull off an in season trade to round out the roster, improving even more.  50+ wins is a possibility.  I’d take the over in Vegas.

Projected over a full season, this year’s Mavs were a 47 win team. The collective wisdom of this board and the computer models were on the money. I thought things would break their way (THJ bounce back) and they’d get to 50+. That actually did break the Mavs way, but other things (Powell and Brunson injuries) cancelled it out, so they finished exactly were they were projected.  Not bad though.  Big improvement in each of the past two seasons.  But, the sledding gets tough from here. The Mavs need a productive offseason.

[Kammrath]

Projected over a full season, this year’s Mavs were a 47 win team. The collective wisdom of this board and the computer models were on the money.

Yeah wow, we nailed it.

[DanSchwartzgan]

Projected over a full season, this year’s Mavs were a 47 win team. The collective wisdom of this board and the computer models were on the money.

Yeah wow, we nailed it.

What I find encouraging is how this team...as currently constructed...could have easily won 52-54 games.  Denver came in third in the west with a .630 winning percentage (52 games on a full schedule).  Between the slow start, the time it took for KP to figure out who he was, the time the team spent without one or more of their stars and their complete inability to win close games it isn't hard to imagine several more wins next year.

[ItsGoTime]

What should also be taken into account is that there were 8 teams that weren’t in the bubble that would have been tanking had they been in that 8 game schedule. That’s worth a game or 2 added on to the win total for the year IMO.

[Reunion Mav Old]

This is interesting how close we were. In my 10 game segment thread, I documented how consistent they were. However, the record was very good early. The last half of the season we only played 500 BB.

I believe if this exact team came back, we would win more games by simply getting better at end game execution. Of course, injuries determine a lot every year. 

Given that we will certainly acquire someone for extra talent, that we will have Brunson and Powell back and we have two draft picks to use in some way, not to mention the MLE.....there are lots of ways to see us winning in the 55 range next year and almost no way this young and talented team regresses next year. Luka and KP alone will make sure of that.