TRADE: DAL gets Sergio De Larrea #47+2 2nds | PHX gets Koa Peat | NYK gets 3 2nds

[Razzmatazz_Hopskidillydoo]

I don't want to say it -- but De Larrea really reminds me of a young Luka. That Luka before he went to NBA.

Quick on his feet, pass first PG who moves the ball quickly, can shoot from the outside as well as dribble drive.

De Larrea CAN play PG out right because he IS a PG.
But to be the primary PG for the Mavs he must improve his ball handling.

To be Luka-lite though, he must improve his footwork and strength and must have a midrange game and the capability to get floaters in. If De Larrea doesn't develop this but makes his ballhandling tight, he'd be in the regular rotation already. Develop further, and you'd see him overtake the Burries and the Waglers.

I seriously think De Larrea will surprise a lot of people.

[SleepingHero]

I don't want to say it -- but De Larrea really reminds me of a young Luka. That Luka before he went to NBA.

Quick on his feet, pass first PG who moves the ball quickly, can shoot from the outside as well as dribble drive.

De Larrea CAN play PG out right because he IS a PG.
But to be the primary PG for the Mavs he must improve his ball handling.

To be Luka-lite though, he must improve his footwork and strength and must have a midrange game and the capability to get floaters in. If De Larrea doesn't develop this but makes his ballhandling tight, he'd be in the regular rotation already.  Develop further, and you'd see him overtake the Burries and the Waglers.

I seriously think De Larrea will surprise a lot of people.

He doesn't have the same dribbling ability, scoring ability, or rebounding ability.

Luka is a one of one. 

De Larrea really does remind me of a taller Ricky Rubio/Nando De Colo/ heck even a bit of Michael Carter Williams.

I see some Luka in the flare for passing, but I can't loft that type of comparison on a late first rounder.


Regardless though we both agree, he's going to surprise a lot of people. Crazy good get by this front office.

[Smitty]

I don't want to say it -- but De Larrea really reminds me of a young Luka. That Luka before he went to NBA.

Quick on his feet, pass first PG who moves the ball quickly, can shoot from the outside as well as dribble drive.

De Larrea CAN play PG out right because he IS a PG.
But to be the primary PG for the Mavs he must improve his ball handling.

To be Luka-lite though, he must improve his footwork and strength and must have a midrange game and the capability to get floaters in. If De Larrea doesn't develop this but makes his ballhandling tight, he'd be in the regular rotation already.  Develop further, and you'd see him overtake the Burries and the Waglers.

I seriously think De Larrea will surprise a lot of people.

I’ve watched a few highlight videos and do like him. I took some notes, but don’t have them with me atm. From memory — he will have a hard time in the NBA if he doesn’t tighten his handles. So many times I saw him with a high dribble, loose. It will not work in the NBA against elite talent. His vision and passing were definitely a plus, however his shot/release seems slow and funky to me. He hit a high percentage of course, but separation isn’t as easy in the NBA. With his lack of burst and athleticism. No real go-to move on offense, it will take some time. As fans, I hope we’re patient with him. We desperately need guard help, but I don’t think it’s fair for us to expect him to fill that need. He’s very much a project/work in progress. I hope he reaches his potential here. There’s definitely a lot to like.

[F Gump]

I’m not at all convinced he wouldn’t have matched. A key piece of the events timeline was that Brunson took back any opportunity to match at the last minute due to a combination of hurt feelings and the opportunity to play for his dream team, with his dad on staff.

Good points. Maybe so.

But I also look at Cuban's history. He had key all-NBA level players before, who had proven themselves and were vital to the Mavs, who were FA's. When it came time to negotiate, once he set a number and the offers went higher, he tapped out. (In both cases he could have matched the offer, but was way below, and didn't.) Nash. Chandler.

[Scott41theMavs]

Good points. Maybe so.

But I also look at Cuban's history. He had key all-NBA level players before, who had proven themselves and were vital to the Mavs, who were FA's. When it came time to negotiate, once he set a number and the offers went higher, he tapped out. (In both cases he could have matched the offer, but was way below, and didn't.) Nash. Chandler.

I ran it through AI, and it was Brunson's camp that canceled the meeting. I doubt that even Cuban was stupid enough to go into the meeting and insult Fred Sanford.

Once again, if they believed in him at all when they drafted him, they should have signed him to a deal which would have made him an RFA.

[Mavs2021]

He doesn't have the same dribbling ability, scoring ability, or rebounding ability.

Luka is a one of one. 

De Larrea really does remind me of a taller Ricky Rubio/Nando De Colo/ heck even a bit of Michael Carter Williams.

I see some Luka in the flare for passing, but I can't loft that type of comparison on a late first rounder. 


Regardless though we both agree, he's going to surprise a lot of people. Crazy good get by this front office.

I can get there with De Colo, which would already be a win, but Rubio was a prodigy. That kid was putting up quadruple doubles in youth tournaments, winning big trophies as a teenager, playing in an Olympic final at age 17 with a broken arm against Team USA on the most loaded Spanish team off all-time. Rubio was a savant with the basketball and an elite defender. De Larrea can´t even get called up to a Spanish national team that naturalizes an American guard every month, cause they can´t find a decent Spanish-born. I´d be happy, if he became as good as some of the other guards on that 2008 team Jose Calderon, Rudy Fernandez or Juan Carlos Navarro.

[KillerLeft]

 I´d be happy, if he became as good as some of the other guards on that 2008 team Jose Calderon, Rudy Fernandez or Juan Carlos Navarro.

Great players, one and all. I'd be thrilled if he ended up being comparable to any of them.

[FireNicoHarrison]

Rubio can't shoot but he was a phenom as playmaker. Maybe one of the best in the world at his young age.

Sergio is a PG/SG... He needs to work a lot of course.

[Knutsen]

Because my Biberovic projection got some likes in the summer league game 2 game thread I repeated the trick for Sergio.

I prompted ChatGPT to be a NBA scout and provide an extensive projection of him as an NBA player in different categories - so please read „responsibly“:


NBA Scouting Report: Sergio de Larrea – Projection with the Dallas Mavericks

Sergio de Larrea is a fundamentally different NBA prospect from Tarik Biberović.

Biberović projects primarily as a wing whose shooting, cutting and off-ball movement allow him to complement established creators. De Larrea projects as a large playmaking guard whose value depends on his ability to organize an offense, manipulate defenders and become a credible scoring threat.

Dallas acquired de Larrea after he was selected with the 25th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft. He enters the NBA at 20 years old after playing meaningful minutes for Valencia Basket in Liga ACB and the EuroLeague. He is listed at approximately 6’6” and 205 pounds by the NBA, giving him unusually good size for a lead guard.  

From an NBA scouting perspective, I would describe him as:

A tall, creative and highly instinctive pick-and-roll guard with advanced passing vision, developing three-level scoring ability and the potential to defend multiple backcourt positions. His ceiling will be determined by the development of his handle, first-step explosiveness, pull-up shooting and physical strength.

He is not presently a finished NBA point guard. He is a developmental creator with a potentially valuable combination of size, shooting touch and feel.

⸻

Offensive Projection

The shooting foundation is encouraging

De Larrea is not yet an elite shooter in the same category as Biberović, but his shooting development is one of the most encouraging parts of his profile.

During the 2025–26 Liga ACB season, he made approximately 38% of his three-point attempts and over 81% of his free throws. His combined draft-season numbers across competitions were also around 39% from three and 81% at the line. Those percentages support the idea that his touch is real rather than the product of one unusually hot tournament.  

His shooting value comes in several forms:
• Stationary catch-and-shoot attempts
• Pull-ups after ball screens
• Rhythm threes in transition
• Side-step shots against defenders going under
• Relocation attempts after giving up the ball
• Occasional deep threes when the defender is late recovering

The mechanics are generally smooth. He has good touch, a reasonably high release and enough lower-body coordination to shoot after changing direction.

However, he is not yet a completely automatic NBA shooter.

His release can become slightly slower when he is forced to gather the ball from an uncomfortable position. His balance also varies on hard pull-ups, especially when defenders force him to change pace twice before shooting. He is more comfortable shooting in rhythm than creating a difficult three from a dead possession.

The most important distinction is this:

De Larrea projects as a point guard who can punish defensive coverage with his shot, not necessarily as a shooter who creates an offense through gravity alone.

That is still extremely valuable.

If defenders must respect him when going under ball screens, his passing becomes significantly more dangerous. If they can consistently duck under and wait for him in the paint, his advantage creation becomes much more limited.

⸻

The NBA three-point line

The distance adjustment is real but manageable.

At the top of the floor:
• FIBA: 6.75 meters
• NBA: 7.24 meters
• Difference: 49 centimeters, or approximately 19 inches

The NBA corner three is actually slightly shorter than the FIBA distance because of the straight corner sections of the NBA line.

For de Larrea, the central issue will not be whether he possesses enough strength to reach the NBA basket. He already shows the ability to shoot beyond the FIBA line.

The more important questions are:
• Can he maintain his mechanics when NBA defenders go under screens but still recover quickly?
• Can he shoot accurately after being forced farther behind the screen?
• Can he make pull-up threes without drifting backward?
• Can he get the shot off against longer defenders?
• Can he convert enough attempts to force teams to change their coverage?

Unlike a pure movement shooter, de Larrea will often take threes because the defense intentionally allows them. NBA teams will test him early by going under screens and challenging him to score.

That means his shooting percentage does not need to be spectacular. It needs to be threatening enough that the defense cannot ignore him.

A stable percentage in the 35–38% range on legitimate NBA volume would open the rest of his game.

⸻

The real adjustment: Speed, physical pressure and decision windows

The NBA game provides more space, but it also removes time.

De Larrea has excellent natural feel. He sees weak-side cutters, understands when the low defender is committing and can make passes with either one or two hands. He already has experience operating against sophisticated professional defenses.

However, NBA defenders will put much more pressure on his handle.

They will:
• Crowd his left hand
• Reach at the ball during high gathers
• Switch longer wings onto him
• Blitz him before he reaches his preferred passing angle
• Force him toward the sideline
• Recover to shooters more quickly after helping
• Punish loose dribbles that were survivable in Europe

This is one of the central questions in his projection.

His brain often processes the game at NBA speed. His handle does not always operate at the same speed.

He occasionally dribbles too upright. His change of direction can be loose. He can expose the ball when moving from left to right, and his second move is not always sharp enough when the first action is contained.

In Europe, his size and patience allowed him to keep the possession alive. In the NBA, defenders may turn those moments into live-ball turnovers.

For that reason, the first six to twelve months of his development should focus less on adding spectacular moves and more on improving:
• Dribble height
• Ball protection
• Right-hand confidence
• Ability to retreat and re-attack
• Pace changes without losing balance
• Passing after physical contact
• Decisions against switches

If those areas improve, his size and vision could make him a genuine NBA initiator.

⸻

NBA spacing

NBA spacing should help de Larrea, but not automatically.

The extra floor space creates clearer passing lanes and gives ball handlers more room to attack after a screen. For a 6’6” guard who can see over the defense, that is a meaningful advantage.

In NBA spread pick-and-roll offense, de Larrea should have more opportunities to:
• Turn the corner with only one low defender in position
• Hit the rolling big before the weak-side rotation arrives
• Make skip passes over the top of the defense
• Find corner shooters after drawing the nail defender
• Use hostage dribbles against trailing defenders
• Attack switches against smaller guards

His height is particularly important. Smaller point guards frequently need to create an unusual passing window. De Larrea can see over the first defender and deliver passes without jumping.

However, NBA spacing also creates responsibility.

There are fewer excuses for failing to beat a single defender. If the floor is spread and the opponent switches a mobile wing onto him, de Larrea must create an advantage.

At present, he is better at extending an advantage created by a screen than generating one from nothing.

That makes his fit with Dallas important.

Alongside high-level creators, he can function as a secondary organizer who attacks tilted defenses. In bench units, he may be asked to run more pick-and-rolls and create shots late in the clock. The second role will be much more difficult early in his career.

⸻

Playmaking

Playmaking is the defining strength of his prospect profile.

De Larrea is not merely a tall guard who can make basic reads. He has genuine manipulation skills.

He can:
• Freeze a help defender with his eyes
• Delay a pass until the roller reaches the correct angle
• Pass over traps
• Find weak-side shooters
• Deliver pocket passes with either hand
• Make live-dribble passes across his body
• Change pace to move the low defender
• Recognize when a teammate should cut behind the defense

At EuroBasket 2025, he averaged 4.4 assists in limited minutes for Spain, demonstrating that his passing translated even when surrounded by older international players. In EuroCup play, he recorded a nine-assist game for Valencia, further illustrating the scale of his playmaking upside.  

His most impressive passes are often not the most dramatic ones.

He understands timing.

A young guard commonly sees the correct pass but throws it too early, allowing the defense to recover. De Larrea is capable of holding a defender for an additional moment before releasing the ball.

That is an advanced skill.

His passing also benefits from the fact that he does not always play at maximum speed. He is comfortable slowing down, keeping a defender on his back and allowing the possession to develop.

There are still limitations.

He can become overly ambitious and attempt passes that are technically visible but not realistically available against NBA length. He occasionally leaves his feet without a secure outlet. His turnover rate can rise when opponents pressure him beyond half court or force him to initiate offense late in the shot clock.

The distinction I would make is:

His vision is already NBA-caliber. His ability to consistently create the passing window is still developing.

⸻

Pick-and-Roll Play

De Larrea’s NBA future will be shaped by his pick-and-roll efficiency.

He has several traits that translate:
• Good positional size
• Patience
• Ability to see over the screen
• Passing touch
• Comfort rejecting screens
• Willingness to keep the dribble alive
• Emerging pull-up shooting

He prefers to operate with pace rather than overwhelming speed.

He will use the screen, pause, allow the defender to recover and then make a second read. That style can work extremely well in the NBA, where many of the best guards manipulate the defense rather than simply outrun it.

The concern is that NBA defenders may not allow him enough time to reach that second read.

If the on-ball defender gets back in front and the big remains in drop coverage, de Larrea currently lacks an elite burst move or dominant midrange counter to guarantee an advantage.

His ideal progression would include:
1. Making the pull-up three reliable enough to punish deep drop coverage.
2. Developing a controlled 10-to-15-foot floater.
3. Becoming stronger when carrying defenders on his hip.
4. Improving his right-handed pocket passing.
5. Learning to attack switches with strength and angles rather than pure speed.

If he adds those counters, he can become a strong NBA pick-and-roll operator.

Without them, he may remain more of a secondary ball handler than a full-time lead guard.

⸻

Ball Handling

Ball handling is the most important developmental area in his offensive profile.

De Larrea has enough handle to run a professional offense, but his control is not yet consistently tight enough for heavy NBA usage.

He can:
• Change speed
• Cross over in space
• Use hesitation dribbles
• Reject screens
• Execute retreat dribbles
• Keep defenders behind him after turning the corner

He is less comfortable when:
• Pressured by a smaller, quicker defender
• Forced to his right for multiple consecutive dribbles
• Required to change direction in a confined area
• Trapped before the screen arrives
• Attacking a long switch defender in isolation
• Absorbing body contact while maintaining the dribble

His tall frame creates both benefits and problems.

The benefit is that he sees the floor. The problem is that the ball travels farther from the floor to his hand, giving defenders a larger window to attack it.

He must become more comfortable lowering his center of gravity without losing his vision.

This does not mean he needs to become Kyrie Irving. He needs a functional NBA handle that allows him to reach his spots, protect the ball and make the correct read.

A stronger handle could raise his ceiling dramatically because so many of his other tools are already present.

⸻

Finishing

De Larrea’s finishing is more dependent on craft than explosion.

He is not an elite vertical athlete. He does not consistently rise over NBA-caliber rim protection, and he is unlikely to become a high-volume above-the-rim finisher.

His advantages are:
• Length
• Touch
• Body control
• Ability to use either side of the rim
• Long strides
• Patience
• Awareness of the shot blocker
• Capacity to finish after changing pace

He can use his frame to protect the ball and extend around smaller guards. He also shows flashes of wrong-foot finishes and delayed releases.

However, his two-point percentage in Liga ACB was below 50%, which reflects the fact that he is not yet a dominant interior scorer.  

NBA rim protection will present a major challenge.

He needs to improve in three areas:
• Strength through the chest and shoulders
• Floater accuracy
• Finishing with the right hand

The floater is particularly important.

Because he is not explosive enough to consistently finish over NBA centers, he must punish defenders from the space between the restricted area and the free-throw line.

A reliable floater would also make his passing more deceptive. The same gather could produce a shot, lob or pocket pass.

During his rookie season, I would expect him to finish more effectively in transition and against rotating defenses than in static half-court situations.

⸻

Off-Ball Value

Although de Larrea is primarily a creator, he must also provide value when another player controls the ball.

This is especially important in Dallas, where he will not immediately be given control of every possession.

He has several promising off-ball traits:
• Credible spot-up shooting
• Good understanding of spacing
• Willingness to relocate
• Ability to attack a closeout
• Passing ability on the second side
• Size to screen smaller guards
• Instinctive cutting

He should be capable of functioning as a connective guard.

After receiving a swing pass, he can attack the second rotation and create for a teammate. This may be his easiest pathway to early NBA minutes.

He is less suited to a role in which he simply stands in the corner for entire possessions. His feel is best utilized when he is allowed to touch the ball, make decisions and participate in the flow of the offense.

The ideal offensive structure would allow him to alternate between:
• Secondary pick-and-rolls
• Closeout attacks
• Transition initiation
• Dribble handoffs
• Short connective passes
• Occasional lead-guard possessions

That role would reduce the pressure on his developing handle while preserving his playmaking value.

⸻

Transition Offense

De Larrea should be valuable in transition.

He plays with his head up and can advance the ball quickly without always needing to dribble the full length of the floor.

He can:
• Throw hit-ahead passes
• Lead wings into scoring opportunities
• Change lanes while maintaining vision
• Attack a retreating big
• Pull up from three
• Create early offense before the defense is organized

His size allows him to secure some rebounds and begin the break himself.

He is not an overwhelming coast-to-coast athlete, but he understands numerical advantages. He often makes the simple decision before the defense can recover.

The NBA’s faster pace could benefit him because his passing is most dangerous before the defense is set.

At the same time, he will have to become stronger with the ball. NBA guards aggressively reach from behind in transition, and loose gathers will be punished.

⸻

Athleticism

De Larrea’s athletic evaluation requires context.

He is a good athlete relative to his size and position, but he is not an elite NBA athlete in terms of burst, lateral acceleration or vertical explosiveness.

His athletic profile is based more on:
• Coordination
• Fluidity
• Size
• Stride length
• Balance
• Deceleration
• Functional mobility

He does not consistently win by beating defenders with his first step. He wins by changing pace, using angles and reading their momentum.

NBA Athletic Grades
• Straight-line speed: 7/10
• First-step explosiveness: 6/10
• Vertical explosiveness: 6/10
• Lateral quickness: 6.5/10
• Body control: 8/10
• Deceleration: 8/10
• Coordination for size: 8.5/10
• Functional strength: 6.5/10
• Long-term physical upside: 8/10

His body is still developing.

At approximately 20 years old, he should be able to add strength without dramatically reducing his mobility. The key will be improving his ability to absorb contact while preserving his fluidity.

A stronger de Larrea could become much more effective because he would be able to:
• Keep defenders on his hip
• Protect the ball
• Finish through contact
• Switch defensively
• Post smaller guards
• Maintain his line on drives

His athletic ceiling is not that of a dominant downhill star. It is sufficient for a large, skilled NBA guard, provided his handle and shooting force defenders to respect him.

⸻

Defense

Defense is one of the most difficult areas of his projection.

De Larrea has the physical dimensions and basketball intelligence to become a useful defender. He does not yet consistently play with the strength, technique or lateral sharpness required to be a clearly positive NBA defender.

Positives

He has:
• Good guard size
• Solid awareness
• Active hands
• Ability to see actions developing
• Willingness to compete
• Potential to guard either backcourt position
• Some switchability onto smaller wings
• Ability to rebound his position

He is generally engaged and understands team concepts.

He can use his length to bother passing lanes, and his height helps him contest smaller guards without needing to sell out.

Valencia also used defensive structures that did not always require him to guard elite creators in extended isolation, so his NBA tape will need to be evaluated carefully rather than assuming his European team defense immediately translates. A pre-draft scouting analysis similarly noted that his positioning, effort and defensive intelligence were encouraging, while the scheme made his individual defensive ceiling more difficult to isolate. 

Concerns

His main defensive concerns are:
• Containing explosive point guards
• Navigating NBA screens
• Playing with a consistently low stance
• Recovering after changing direction
• Defending without reaching
• Absorbing contact from stronger wings
• Maintaining intensity over multiple actions

Smaller guards may attack his hips and force him to turn.

Stronger wings may try to move him physically.

Because he is not an elite lateral athlete, his technique must become very good. He needs to anticipate actions, use his length and guide opponents toward help.

He may initially be more comfortable defending shooting guards than primary point guards. That would allow him to use his size without constantly chasing the fastest player on the floor.

Long term, I project him as a potentially neutral or slightly positive defender rather than a stopper.

His best defensive outcome would be:

A versatile team defender who can guard both backcourt positions, survive selected switches and use his size to avoid becoming a matchup target.

⸻

Screen Navigation

Screen navigation deserves its own section because it may determine whether de Larrea can stay on the floor in playoff environments.

At his size, he presents a larger target for screeners. He can sometimes become too upright and make contact with the screen rather than slipping around it.

NBA offenses will repeatedly test him in:
• High pick-and-roll
• Spain pick-and-roll
• Double-drag actions
• Handoffs
• Guard-to-guard screening
• Off-ball pindowns

He must improve his ability to:
• Get skinny through screens
• Anticipate the screener’s angle
• Recover without fouling
• Switch decisively when required
• Communicate the coverage
• Reconnect to the ball handler after trailing

His length gives him some recovery potential, but NBA guards will punish even a small separation.

This is likely to be one of the reasons his rookie minutes fluctuate.

⸻

Rebounding

De Larrea should be a good positional rebounder.

He averaged approximately three rebounds per game in only 18 minutes in Liga ACB, which is a positive indicator for a guard. 

His size allows him to:
• Rebound over smaller guards
• Help finish defensive possessions
• Start transition offense immediately
• Reduce the need for an outlet pass
• Contribute in switching lineups

He is not an especially physical rebounder, but he reads the ball well.

As he adds strength, he could become one of the better rebounding point guards in his rotation.

That matters because a defensive rebound in his hands can immediately become an offensive advantage.

⸻

Half-Year Projection

The first six months should be treated as a developmental period.

The adjustment will include:
• NBA physicality
• Faster point-of-attack defenders
• More aggressive ball pressure
• Longer closeouts
• Complex screening actions
• The 82-game schedule
• Reduced practice time
• Learning when to create and when to simplify
• Playing without the ball more frequently

Early Summer League observations already showed both sides of his profile: impressive vision and passing, but also inefficient shooting and moments when his handle appeared vulnerable under pressure. Summer League is a tiny and noisy sample, but those strengths and weaknesses are consistent with his broader scouting profile. 

I would not expect him to immediately run a good NBA offense for 25 minutes per game.

His first role is more likely to be:
• Secondary ball handler
• Bench organizer
• Connector next to a more established creator
• Spot-up shooter
• Transition initiator
• Developmental defender

Projected first six months
• 10–17 minutes per game
• 4–7 points
• 2–3 assists
• 2–3 rebounds
• 34–37% from three
• Noticeable flashes of high-level passing
• Inconsistent turnover control
• Variable defensive matchups
• Possible time outside the regular rotation

The statistical production may look modest.

The more important evaluation points will be:
• Does he protect the ball?
• Do defenders respect his shot?
• Can he defend well enough to remain on the floor?
• Can he run a second unit without overdribbling?
• Can he operate next to another lead creator?

There will likely be games in which his passing appears immediately NBA-ready and others in which he struggles to create separation.

That inconsistency would be normal for a 20-year-old international point guard.

⸻

One-Year Projection

After one full season, I would expect clearer evidence of his eventual role.

The most realistic positive development would be that his handle tightens, his body becomes stronger and his three-point shot remains credible.

At that point, he could begin functioning as a dependable second-unit creator.

Projected production after one year
• 17–23 minutes per game
• 7–10 points
• 3.5–5 assists
• 3–4 rebounds
• 35–38% from three
• Improved pick-and-roll command
• More stable defensive performance
• Lower turnover rate
• Greater comfort playing alongside another creator

His best games would likely come when he has:
• A strong vertical lob threat
• Multiple shooters
• A quick decision-making environment
• Permission to push the ball
• A favorable matchup against a smaller guard

The spacing of the NBA should gradually make the game easier for him.

Once he becomes comfortable with the speed, he will see large passing lanes that were rarely available in compact European defenses. His height should allow him to exploit those lanes.

However, the extra space will not solve his problems by itself.

To become a meaningful NBA lead guard, he must punish defenders individually when the possession requires it.

⸻

Long-Term Offensive Projection

De Larrea’s long-term ceiling rests on four swing skills.

1. Pull-up shooting

Can he force defenders to come over ball screens?

If yes, his passing becomes significantly more dangerous.

2. Handle under pressure

Can he consistently reach the middle of the floor against aggressive point-of-attack defense?

If yes, he can become a primary initiator.

3. Interior scoring counter

Can he develop a reliable floater or short pull-up?

If yes, drop coverage becomes much harder to use against him.

4. Physical strength

Can he absorb contact without losing his dribble or passing angle?

If yes, his size becomes an offensive weapon rather than simply a visual advantage.

If three of those four areas develop, de Larrea has legitimate starting-point-guard upside.

If only one develops, he is more likely to become a secondary creator or rotation combo guard.

⸻

NBA Comparisons

No comparison is exact, particularly for a young guard whose role remains fluid.

Stylistic comparison

There are elements of:
• Tomáš Satoranský, because of his size, connective playmaking and ability to function with or without the ball
• Greivis Vásquez, because of his deliberate pace, tall-guard passing angles and reliance on craft rather than elite explosiveness
• Josh Giddey, in the broad sense of a tall creator who sees over defenses, though Giddey entered the NBA as a more advanced rebounder and transition passer
• José Calderón, in terms of pick-and-roll patience and passing precision, although de Larrea is bigger and presently less polished as a shooter and decision-maker

These are stylistic reference points, not predictions of identical careers.

⸻

Ceiling

A starting-caliber 6’6” lead guard who averages approximately:
• 13–16 points
• 6–8 assists
• 4–5 rebounds
• League-average or better three-point shooting

At his ceiling, he would organize the offense, punish defenders who go under screens, create advantages with pace and survive defensively because of his size.

That player would be highly valuable.

He would not necessarily be a conventional star, but he could become the type of large, intelligent guard who elevates an entire lineup.

⸻

Median Outcome

A productive third guard and secondary creator.

In that role, he would:
• Run second units
• Play next to a smaller scoring guard
• Initiate transition
• Execute secondary pick-and-rolls
• Provide size and passing
• Shoot well enough to remain useful off the ball

This is the outcome I currently consider most likely.

A good version of this outcome would make him a valuable seventh or eighth man on a playoff team.

⸻

Floor

A talented passer whose lack of burst and handle prevent him from consistently creating NBA advantages.

In that outcome:
• Defenders go under screens
• Pressure disrupts his dribble
• He struggles against switching
• His defense is not strong enough to compensate
• He becomes a situational backup rather than a regular rotation player

The floor is lower than Biberović’s because point guards carry more creation responsibility and because de Larrea is significantly younger and less physically developed.

His ceiling, however, is higher because real primary playmaking is one of the NBA’s most valuable skills.

⸻

NBA Scout Summary

Strengths
• Exceptional size for a point guard
• Advanced passing vision
• Strong pick-and-roll instincts
• Sees over the defense
• Manipulates help defenders
• Good touch and encouraging shooting indicators
• Comfortable changing pace
• Productive rebounder for his position
• Can play on or off the ball
• Extensive professional experience for his age
• High-level feel for team offense
• Potential to defend both guard positions
• Long-term starting upside

Weaknesses
• Handle can become loose under pressure
• First step is not explosive
• Limited vertical finishing
• Needs greater functional strength
• Right-hand creation remains inconsistent
• Can be turnover-prone when attempting ambitious passes
• Must prove his pull-up shooting at NBA distance
• Can struggle to create against switches
• Screen navigation needs improvement
• May have difficulty containing the quickest NBA guards
• Offensive impact currently depends heavily on ball screens

⸻

Overall Projection

Category Grade
Passing vision 9.0/10
Pick-and-roll feel 8.5/10
Basketball IQ 8.7/10
Shooting projection 7.7/10
Ball handling 6.7/10
Finishing 6.5/10
Athleticism 6.8/10
Defense 6.5/10
Positional size 9.0/10
Rebounding 7.8/10
NBA readiness 6.8/10
Long-term upside 8.3/10


⸻

Final Assessment


Sergio de Larrea projects as a large, intelligent lead guard whose NBA value will be driven by his passing vision, pick-and-roll feel and unusual size for the position. He already reads the game at a high level, sees over defenses and manipulates help defenders with patience beyond his age. The key question is whether his handle, pull-up shooting, physical strength and interior scoring develop enough to let him consistently create advantages against NBA pressure.

The NBA’s wider spacing should benefit his playmaking, but faster and more athletic defenders will test his loose dribble, average first step and limited vertical finishing. Early in his career, he is likely to be more effective as a secondary creator and second-unit organizer than as a full-time starting point guard.

His median outcome is a valuable third guard who can run bench units, play beside another creator and provide size, shooting and decision-making. His ceiling is a starting-caliber point guard capable of producing 13–16 points and 6–8 assists per game. His floor is a situational backup whose passing talent is limited by ball pressure, defensive matchup concerns and an inability to consistently threaten the defense as a scorer. Overall, he is less NBA-ready than Tarik Biberović but offers significantly more long-term upside because of his potential to become a primary playmaker.

[KillerLeft]

Man, keep these coming!

Obviously, the conclusions aren't gospel, but on both of these I've found the questions and analysis of what the guys will need to focus on to be thorough and accurate.

[Chicagojk]

He is definitely not a finished prospect.  A lot of work left for him to do.   I am a sucker for guys with a good feel.   He sees things on the floor that not a ton of young players see.  Add this to his height and I think he is interesting.   I am not sure how much he plays next year, but I do think it is best for his development of him being around the NBA speed and quickness.   It is a learning curve but there is only one way to learn from it.

[Dundalis]

He is definitely not a finished prospect.  A lot of work left for him to do.   I am a sucker for guys with a good feel.   He sees things on the floor that not a ton of young players see.  Add this to his height and I think he is interesting.   I am not sure how much he plays next year, but I do think it is best for his development of him being around the NBA speed and quickness.   It is a learning curve but there is only one way to learn from it.

That's really the thing, it's very difficult to project how fast or slowly players are gonna pickup things and incorporate them into their games. Some do it quickly, some slowly, some obviously go nowhere and never really develop aspects of their game at all. It's also hard to know how much is ideal to expose players to playing time wise for their development. Too little they don't get that developmental experience that's required, too much and you can overwhelm them and destroy their confidence. Like Flagg being given the PG duties, it was so rough that it's likely to kill the confidence of the majority of NBA rookies, perhaps even permanently, but certain special characters it does the opposite.

[FireNicoHarrison]

Sergio is not Luka, he is not talented as him and mostly he has not his exp or leadership.

Luka went to NBA after won everything in Europe as MVP.

Sergio last year was a 6th/7th man of his team.

He needs time, i'm not start to worry about him until december/january.

[Knutsen]

Man, keep these coming!

Obviously, the conclusions aren't gospel, but on both of these I've found the questions and analysis of what the guys will need to focus on to be thorough and accurate.

Thanks for the flowers, Killer - you motivated me to do one on Ishchenko, you can find it in the 2026 draft thread. 

[DanSchwartzgan]

Very encouraging video on Larry:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vj6eLaTPYHg

[RoyTarpleysGhost]

I love the type of player he is. Good size and vision. It's really hard for me to tell though how effective a guy will be until he plays against NBA level competition. A lot of those passes in the highlight tape are getting picked off in a NBA game.

Gonna be interesting if he's the defacto backup PG this season or is brought along more slowly.

edit: That's not really limited to Sergio. We will see how much guys like Morez and Burries contribute as rookies in the NBA. I dont put a lot of stock into summer league.