11-02-2021, 02:15 PM
(11-02-2021, 02:09 PM)mvossman Wrote: I'm not a fan of the "due" mentality. They will surely shoot better than 31.2 from three for the season, but that does not really have any impact on this one game.
It does have bearing. The Mavs have been winning (4-2) while shooting 31.2% from three and the odds of them shooting better than 31.2% are very high this game. Not because they have shot poorly before this game, but because the odds of them shooting 31.2% any given game are low given the track record of their players. They aren't "due" but their players are much better than 31.2% three point shooters, especially when you consider they have had MORE open looks per game this year than last year.