(11-02-2021, 09:00 AM)HAguiar95 Wrote: How are we favorites? Is anyone out out the Heat's side? I think we are major underdogs.
The line was set with Mavs as favs because the experts/computers don't think the Mavs are as poor as their play so far. And the experts/computers don't think MIA is as good as their 5-1 record. You see this fact in MIA being 5-1 against the spread (they have massively overperformed) and DAL is 2-4 against the spread (they have underperformed).
The experts/computers could be wrong of course, but Vegas doesn't give up on them that quickly.
Bettors and fans though have now poured a ton of money into MIA on this line....so now MIA is 2.5 pt favs in Vegas. The bettors have swung this line 4.5 pts toward MIA. Will be curious when the late "smart money" comes in whether it pushes the line back toward DAL.