STATE OF THE MAVS: 5/8 Point

[Kammrath]

34 games into a 72 game season, the Mavs have just reached the All Star break the almost 1/2 point of the season. Let's see how they are doing:

Record: 18-16
(8th in the West, 11th in the NBA, 5-2 in the last 7)

Offensive Rating: 112.3
(13th, down 4 from 3/8 point)

Defensive Rating: 112.6
(24th, up 2 from 3/8 point)

Net Rating: -0.3
(17th, up 4 from 3/8 point)


OFFENSE

Pace: 18th

Offensive eFG%: 54.0% (15th)
Offensive Turnover %: 12.4% (3rd)
Offensive Rebound %: 23.1% (27th)
Offensive FT/FGA: 0.264 (7th)

Fastbreak Points: 13.2 (14th)
Points in the Paint: 44.4 (23rd)

Corner 3%: 36.1% (24th)
Above Break 3%: 34.8% (22nd)
MidRange: 45.9% (4th)
Paint: 44.2% (10th)
Restricted Area: 66.2% (9th)

Drives: 50.1 (9th)
Passes: 274.8 (24th)
Potential Assists: 44.1 (23rd)
Assist %: 56.0% (27th)


DEFENSE

Defensive eFG%: 54.0 (16th)
Defensive Turnover %: 13.5% (18th)
Defensive Rebound %: 72.9% (20th)
Defensive FT/FGA: 0.266 (21st)

Opp Fastbreak Points: 13.2 (23rd)
Opp Points in the Paint: 44.8 (6th)

Deflections: 12.8 (26th)
Loose Balls Recovered: 5.7 (28th)
Charges Drawn: 0.59 (13th)
Contested Shots: 53.4 (16th)
Box Outs: 10.0 (20th)



ON/OFF (more than 300 minutes on court):

WCS: +11.1
Maxi: +5.9
DP: +5.3
Luka:+4.9
DFS: +1.1
JB: +0.1
THJ: -2.3
TB: -2.8
KP: -3.4
JJ: -3.6
JR: -5.2

[Kammrath]

[Kammrath]

Takeaways from the two man pairings for Luka:

• Luka has been significantly better with Maxi, JB, and WCS
  
• Luka has been significantly worse with KP and JR
  

[Kammrath]

Takeaways from the two man pairings for KP:

• KP has been significantly better with Luka, JR, Maxi, and WCS
  
• KP has been significantly worse with JB, THJ, and DFS
  

[dirkfansince1998]

Just shows what we already knew. KP hasn´t been good but looking at the last few games he is slowly getting better. Among all bigman combinations Doncic-KP ranks last in net rating. Just difficult to build a team when the two "star" players cannot really play together.

Small addition...

Richardson-THJ: -85 in 415 minutes (last among all two-man combinations that played more than 300 minutes)
Richardson-DFS: -32 in 578 minutes
THJ-DFS: -29 in 455 minutes

The three most used wing combinations are all net negatives.

[Kammrath]

KP hasn´t been good but looking at the last few games he is slowly getting better.

Luka's numbers took a BIG hit these last few games and KP has dug himself out of a giant hole. His first two years Luka's on/off numbers have tanked toward the end of each season if I remember right.... He really needs to change that trend.

[Kammrath]

Richardson-THJ: -85 in 415 minutes (last among all two-man combinations that played more than 300 minutes)
Richardson-DFS: -32 in 578 minutes
THJ-DFS: -29 in 455 minutes

The three most used wing combinations are all net negatives.

That is really interesting and not great news for the Mavs.

[Kammrath]

[Kammrath]

45 games into a 72 game season, the Mavs have just reached the 5/8 point of the season. Let's see how they are doing:

Record: 24-21
(7th in the West, 10th in the NBA, 6-5 in the last 11)

Offensive Rating: 113.9
(10th, up 3 from 1/2 point)

Defensive Rating: 112.5
(23rd, up 1 from 1/2 point)

Net Rating: +1.4
(9th, up 8 from 1/2 point)


OFFENSE

Pace: 23rd

Offensive eFG%: 54.9% (10th)
Offensive Turnover %: 12.3% (3rd)
Offensive Rebound %: 23.8% (25th)
Offensive FT/FGA: 0.248 (14th)

Fastbreak Points: 12.4 (14th)
Points in the Paint: 44.0 (24th)

Corner 3%: 35.9% (24th)
Above Break 3%: 35.9% (13th)
MidRange: 46.7% (1st)
Paint: 43.5% (9th)
Restricted Area: 67.5% (5th)

Drives: 47.7 (15th)
Passes: 269.7 (27th)
Potential Assists: 42.4 (26th)
Assist %: 55.6% (27th)


DEFENSE

Defensive eFG%: 53.7 (13th)
Defensive Turnover %: 12.8% (24th)
Defensive Rebound %: 73.5% (15th)
Defensive FT/FGA: 0.257 (20th)

Opp Fastbreak Points: 12.6 (17th)
Opp Points in the Paint: 44.5 (5th)

Deflections: 12.5 (29th)
Loose Balls Recovered: 5.8 (27th)
Charges Drawn: 0.60 (12th)
Contested Shots: 53.0 (16th)
Box Outs: 10.5 (14th)



ON/OFF (more than 400 minutes on court):

WCS: +9.1
Luka: +7.4
Maxi: +4.5
DFS: +2.7
JB: +2.1
DP: +0.6
KP: -0.5
THJ: -2.6
JR: -3.2
TB: -5.1
JJ: -7.1

[Kammrath]

Some observations:

• The Mavs are now #1 in the league in midrange shooting percentage. 
  
• The corner three is the greatest weakness of the Mavs offense.
  
• The Mavs have been driving less as they have gone away from such a Luka-centric offense.
  
• Free throw attempts are also dropping because of this.
  
• Passing is also down.
  
• Rebounding is improving.
  
• KP has almost dug himself out of that atrocious impact hole that he started the season in.
  

[StepBackJay]

Mavs are sort of stuck on the treadmill of mediocrity but there is some hope. Obv having Luka as your best player will give you hope of getting to the next level that having a roster like the Spurs will not. I would argue KP also adds to some of that hope.

In terms of playoffs now with this play-in game you only need to be better at most 2 teams trying to get the last play-in spot. The bottom 2 teams of each conference are usually trying to tank. So this makes the Mavs a likely perennial "playoff" team for better or worse. I like it in the sense of it helps Rick not worry ab regular seasons as much and focus on what he likes to do which is putting together the best rotation for the playoffs and leaving the rest in Luka's hands.

[StepBackJay]

Some observations:

• The Mavs are now #1 in the league in midrange shooting percentage. 
  
• The corner three is the greatest weakness of the Mavs offense.
  
• The Mavs have been driving less as they have gone away from such a Luka-centric offense.
  
• Free throw attempts are also dropping because of this.
  
• Passing is also down.
  
• Rebounding is improving.
  
• KP has almost dug himself out of that atrocious impact hole that he started the season in.
  

I think if Mavs can stay healthy that JJ and Melli help round out the rotation. It's possible that Melli steals the spot backup minutes and JJ takes Burke's minutes.

[mavsluvr]

In terms of playoffs now with this play-in game you only need to be better at most 2 teams trying to get the last play-in spot. The bottom 2 teams of each conference are usually trying to tank. So this makes the Mavs a likely perennial "playoff" team for better or worse. I like it in the sense of it helps Rick not worry ab regular seasons as much and focus on what he likes to do which is putting together the best rotation for the playoffs and leaving the rest in Luka's hands.

I like the play-in too, mostly because it cuts down on tanking. 


But I think the idea that all the Mavs have to do is get into the playoffs and then anything could happen is largely fools' gold. They need to begin above the 7th-8th seed to have a realistic chance. 

Followill discussed this in his podcast yesterday. As long as the playoffs have been in this format, the eighth seed has won the first-round series only five times. The seventh seed has won the first-round series only five times. The sixth seed has won 25% of the time -- still not a good chance, but at least not essentially negligible, like the seventh and eighth.

[KillerLeft]

Followill discussed this in his podcast yesterday.

Nice try, Mark. 

What's the name of your podcast? I'm not sure I know about it!

[mavsluvr]

Nice try, Mark. 

What's the name of your podcast? I'm not sure I know about it!

LOL. 

Mark and Dameris do an episode of Take Dat Wit You every Tuesday.

[StepBackJay]

I like the play-in too, mostly because it cuts down on tanking. 


But I think the idea that all the Mavs have to do is get into the playoffs and then anything could happen is largely fools' gold. They need to begin above the 7th-8th seed to have a realistic chance. 

Followill discussed this in his podcast yesterday. As long as the playoffs have been in this format, the eighth seed has won the first-round series only five times. The seventh seed has won the first-round series only five times. The sixth seed has won 25% of the time -- still not a good chance, but at least not essentially negligible, like the seventh and eighth.

Ya I am sure they want to get higher than 7th and will talk themselves into their offseason moves making them better I just think when reality sets in they will see themselves as a 7-10th seed. That's what's happening this year. I don't think Rick is going to work very hard to try to get ahead of Portland given this year's reality.

[khaled1987]

Record: 24-21
(7th in the West, 10th in the NBA, 6-5 in the last 11)

It has been there for too long, but man, I hate the disparity between the 2 conferences.

[Kammrath]

[ClutchDirk]

Mavs putting up elite contender stats lately...hopefully this carries on the rest of the season and through the playoffs...

[Kammrath]