05-18-2021, 11:27 PM
(05-18-2021, 07:12 PM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: My working number, based on something I heard around the TDL has been around $17mm. The interesting thing with Holmes is there isn't a S&T path to anything like that. So, if everyone with cap room that needed a Center suddenly found one, then he's screwed. I suspect he will be one of those super early announcements with Dallas or Charlotte or someone else with cap room committing quickly. He would be wise to not wait around for the music to stop and all the chairs be full.
That comes into play as regards Collins. Holmes is gone if Dallas spends any time on Collins in terms of an outright offer sheet. So, it means any Collins deal is something Dallas and Atlanta know they are doing before 5:01. With Schwartz as the agent, that isn't hard to imagine (and I think we all know these conversations happen prior to the opening bell). But, if Atlanta has any thought of getting something for Collins and using space themselves, they will have that agreement in place. If not, Dallas will (or at least should) know that and can move on.
The big thing with Holmes and Dallas is the faction of the board who insists we need a playmaking guard more than a center. IF we are moving on from THJ and JRich, there is money left to work with. IF F Gump is correct and JRich opts in, then the options for replacing THJ after you've signed Holmes are largely on our team already. Either that, or we need to be looking for JRich for a guard trade opportunities.
It's a game of chairs. We can sit someone on JRichs chair, we can add a chair with the MLE or we can burn a chair for a big we don't need.
Then we have to trade assets and bigs on better contracts for guard help.
I'd prefer keeping JRich than paying above market value to a big.
I'm fine with overpaing his upgrade after we kept THJ because it would be the last piece then.