05-09-2021, 09:08 AM
(05-09-2021, 12:21 AM)SamStetz Wrote: In the event Dallas operated under the cap, I like the plan you laid out but I tend to think if Dallas brings back THJ, it makes more sense to stay over the cap. WCS could have his team option picked up. You mention Dinwiddie as a candidate at 17mil, Dallas could S&T Redick to Brooklyn (at no less then 12mil per year) for him, still operate over the cap to utilize the full MLE, and explore JRich trade options to bolster the bench. (I didn’t do the math so I’m not sure whether we’ve reach luxury tax territory, that could sway the thinking or at least the potential return for a JRich trade)
The biggest question I would have in this scenario would be this: is Dinwiddie (or any other Redick S&T option i.e. Danny Green) enough of an upgrade to the starting lineup/bench, that whatever tax penalties or hard cap triggers that come into place are worth the limited flexibility in a JRich trade and MLE signing?
If you could turn Redick and JRich into Dinwiddie(S&T), T. Young(S&T), + MLE signing while keeping the rest of your roster the same, is that enough of an upgrade to limit in season flexibility from the hard cap?
So the thing ab the Nets is I don't think they can do anything that would trigger a hard cap, including a S&T of JJR which would otherwise make a lot of sense. I would need my cap experts to chime in on that. Now a JR opt-in swap for a Dinwiddie swap may not trigger a hard cap and would also make a lot of sense in that the Nets would get a rotation player without having to give up anything or using exceptions.
Mavs don't have to worry ab hard caps this year. Next year with two RFA max players + other contracts, they might but that is a problem for another day.
I do believe Mavs have a lot of flexibility in how they operate this summer and don't need to decide whether or not to operate under-the-cap until the dust settles with their targeted signings. THJ's deal will probably be negotiating while they are talking to other guys.
I expect their bigger targets to be "off the board" pretty quickly. Collins is a guy they like but would require a S&T so I think if they don't have a framework in place with ATL before the opening of FA then he is scratched off the list. The older guards we like will probably also not be looking Dallas way to I think THJ + another piece or two will be the plan.
The going rate for THJ's player profile has been around that 4/70 number. Mavs could negotiate that while talking deals with J Rich and looking at the "bargain" guys like Dinwiddie and Dragic. A Dinwiddie/JR swap would be perfect to me in that it would still allow you to get Dragic for MLE.
A THJ/Dinwiddie/Dragic summer would be great imo. WCS would be signed for that BAE number and then you are off to the races.