2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived

[DanSchwartzgan]

Out on DeRozan. Walking net negative. Only one season in his entire career with positive on/off numbers. This year the Spurs defense is 9.9 points better when he is on the bench. I would probably take him in the Brunson/THJ role. Offense of the bench and closing some games but he probably still wants to start. Not to mention that he wants starter money.

Was just about to post the on/off stat.  He was 22 that one season when he was positive.  It is kind of shocking considering how good he’s been over the years at WS and VORP.

I think you have to look at the UFA guards together as a group if you assume Dallas would be interested in one.  Here, I’m mainly talking about DeRozan, Fournier and N. Powell.  All are similar in terms of Usage (mid-20’s).  DeRozan and Fournier have Assist %’s in the 30’s and a 2/1 Assist % to TO% ratio.  Powell is not a distributor, but he is a GREAT three point shooter.  Powell hasn’t been anything special in terms of On/Off, but Fournier has been positive most seasons.  You wouldn’t call any of them a defender.  The average DWS’s and DBPM’s for each for their career’s are:  Fournier (1.13, -0.8), DeRozan (1.73, -0.8) and Powell (1.35, 0.1).  For reference, JRich is 2.0 and 0.4.  Someone who really is a great defender, like Marcus Smart is 2.37 and 1.2.  20 year old THT is 1.7 and 1.4...did I mention he was only 20?  He has an Assist % of 19 (but TO’s are high) and as of now shoots 3’s worse than DeRozan (though he shows signs of being able to post a good TS% like DeRozan does).

I personally think Fournier is the better fit among Powell, DeRozan and Fournier.  Recall that we tried to trade for both Fournier and Powell and might have had Fournier if not for the Boston TPE.  Fournier isn’t starting in Boston, so I’m not sure his Bird rights mean much there.  Fournier is basically Hardaway with handles, something we could use.  But, I suspect you have to start him to get him and to justify the money he will command.  If you start him in place of JRich, you’ve solved two issues (3’s and playmaking) and created another (point of attack D).  But, to get that, you have to look at RFA’s like Lonzo and THT.  Rock meet hard place.