03-27-2021, 07:15 AM
If I elaborate what I started in the Mavs news thread. By operating over the cap, Mavs can have roughly 140 mil of salary in 2021/22 offseason, which is the hard cap limit. If they operate within the cap they can only have 112 mil+mini MLE+BaU, rougly 120 mil. So, I hope they will operate over the cap.
Let's assume Luka, KP, Maxi, DFS, Brunson, Green, Terry, Bey and Hinton are untouchable. Their total salaries will be roughly 67 mil. This means Mavs can sign another 73 mil salaries. Lets deduct MLE and Bau (roughly 13 mil), which leaves us with 60 mil to play with. A couple of vet min spots would be needed, so actual number would be a couple of mil lower, but I will not complicate. To bring 60 mil in we need to send (trade) 48 mil of salaries. Assuming JRich opts out, only Powell and Burke are under contract and we have team option on WCS - 17 mil together. Here bird rights and SnT come into play. JRich and THJ alone could cover the remaining 31 mil (difference between 48 mil needed and 17 mil of our tradeable contracts). If needed we can include Redick and Bobi into the math. It would be possible to construct one giant trade by just adding teams to it. Sort of stuff we have seen last offseason with a couple of those OKC deals. If we keep one of THJ/JRich and assuming he signs for 15 mil in his first year, we have 45 mil left to play with and we need 36 mil of outgoing salary. If we keep both and sign them for 30 mil combined, we still have 30 mil to play with and we need 24 mil of outgoing salary for that. Which starts to become difficult, as Powell WCS and Burke are only 17 mil of not very attractive salary and we would still need to SnT Redick and Bobi for the remaining 7 mil.
Questions Mavs will need an answer to:
1. Where do JRich, THJ, Bobi, WCS and Redick want to go? If the team is over the cap - you work out SnT and get something back. Mavs have a bit of leverage in this case. If the team is under the cap, you work out SnT by likely paying them cash or minor asset for a favour, as they have all the leverage (they could just sign the guy).
2. Which free agents want to come? If it is an UFA, we have a bit of a leverage (we can just sign him but we prefer SnT). Payment for a SnT favour shouldn't be very high and the UFA has all the power. If he says he will go, his current team doesn't have much choice. If it is a RFA, we need his team to play along. Which means overpay the player and compensate the team. So get the players to commit.
Based on that there are a gazillion of possible scenarios. 60 mil of available salary can be enough for three very good players. Lets pipedream: Collins 30 mil and Holiday 30 mil. Collins 30 mil, Ball 22 mil and someone for 8 mil. Collins 30 mil, Schroeder 18 mil and OPJ 12 mil. Or we keep one of our guys and go Collins 30, THJ 18, OPJ 12. Ball 22, THJ 18, Porter 12. Endless possibilities. A lot of work to pull it off but not impossible. And it would likely cost most of our remaining draft capital.
But, it could end us (for example) with:
Luka, Brunson, Terry
THJ, Green
OPJ, DFS
Collins, Kleber
KP, MLE, Bau
Let's assume Luka, KP, Maxi, DFS, Brunson, Green, Terry, Bey and Hinton are untouchable. Their total salaries will be roughly 67 mil. This means Mavs can sign another 73 mil salaries. Lets deduct MLE and Bau (roughly 13 mil), which leaves us with 60 mil to play with. A couple of vet min spots would be needed, so actual number would be a couple of mil lower, but I will not complicate. To bring 60 mil in we need to send (trade) 48 mil of salaries. Assuming JRich opts out, only Powell and Burke are under contract and we have team option on WCS - 17 mil together. Here bird rights and SnT come into play. JRich and THJ alone could cover the remaining 31 mil (difference between 48 mil needed and 17 mil of our tradeable contracts). If needed we can include Redick and Bobi into the math. It would be possible to construct one giant trade by just adding teams to it. Sort of stuff we have seen last offseason with a couple of those OKC deals. If we keep one of THJ/JRich and assuming he signs for 15 mil in his first year, we have 45 mil left to play with and we need 36 mil of outgoing salary. If we keep both and sign them for 30 mil combined, we still have 30 mil to play with and we need 24 mil of outgoing salary for that. Which starts to become difficult, as Powell WCS and Burke are only 17 mil of not very attractive salary and we would still need to SnT Redick and Bobi for the remaining 7 mil.
Questions Mavs will need an answer to:
1. Where do JRich, THJ, Bobi, WCS and Redick want to go? If the team is over the cap - you work out SnT and get something back. Mavs have a bit of leverage in this case. If the team is under the cap, you work out SnT by likely paying them cash or minor asset for a favour, as they have all the leverage (they could just sign the guy).
2. Which free agents want to come? If it is an UFA, we have a bit of a leverage (we can just sign him but we prefer SnT). Payment for a SnT favour shouldn't be very high and the UFA has all the power. If he says he will go, his current team doesn't have much choice. If it is a RFA, we need his team to play along. Which means overpay the player and compensate the team. So get the players to commit.
Based on that there are a gazillion of possible scenarios. 60 mil of available salary can be enough for three very good players. Lets pipedream: Collins 30 mil and Holiday 30 mil. Collins 30 mil, Ball 22 mil and someone for 8 mil. Collins 30 mil, Schroeder 18 mil and OPJ 12 mil. Or we keep one of our guys and go Collins 30, THJ 18, OPJ 12. Ball 22, THJ 18, Porter 12. Endless possibilities. A lot of work to pull it off but not impossible. And it would likely cost most of our remaining draft capital.
But, it could end us (for example) with:
Luka, Brunson, Terry
THJ, Green
OPJ, DFS
Collins, Kleber
KP, MLE, Bau