2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived

[Omega_Supreme]

That's valid, and I don't think anyone is trying to downplay it. I think we're all excited about his clear step forward this year, and about his potential. 

But, like others have said, his small track record so far doesn't guarantee him star status after a requisite waiting period. That's just not how it works. Plus, I'd argue that a LOT of younger players are putting up historically great stats these days, not only because they're great, but also because the current NBA allows them to. Encourages them to, even, through play style and how the game is officiated. It's a much different NBA now than it was when Lowry was a young player.

Players in the NBA on average start to hit their stride in year 3. This has been said by many NBA players. You are right Brunson does have a small track record but that small track record is trending up. You are also right that I cannot predict what Brunson will become. 

However, my point was never to state it as a fact that Brunson will become an All Star. It was simply that he is on an upward trajectory and has not reached his ceiling. Steve Nash did not become an elite player until he was around age 26 or 27. You do not trade a young player that is on the upward trend of getting better for a guy that is 10 years older on the decline. That logic does not work in any sport. 

As for the NBA being different yes the game is different but Dennis Smith Jr declined and never showed to be on the positive side of development after year 3. Lonzo Ball is another good example of young players hitting their stride in year 3.