2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived

[SleepingHero]

So you're using Buddy being on a bad Team as a sign he will be better, but want to use THJs carrier numbers as a sign he will regress? 

I mean no? That's not how statistics works. 

I'm using THJ's entire career to project how he will perform. There is a larger sample size (6 seasons worth), that says THJ is a career 34% from 3. Last season he outperformed any season in his career, hitting highs in 3pt% at 39.8% and 3PM with 204. We saw THJ in the bubble shoot 34% from 3. Can THJ continue his hot shooting? Possibly. I think playing next to Luka and being in RC's system makes THJ shooting better than 34% more likely than if he was on a different team. But it'd be foolish to not be wary that THJ can regress. Especially since he already showed some signs of regression in the bubble. 

Buddy on the other hand has been on bad teams. Despite this, he's consistently a top 3 shooter in the league. And I'm projecting the same environment that contributed to THJ's newfound shooting prowess will also significantly improve one of the league's best shooters into something even more.

Given that Buddy has performed this consistently on even bad teams, it shows that his shooting touch isn't a fluke. We cannot say the same for THJ at this point (there needs to be at least 2 seasons of 40% shooting for there to be definitive claims imo). And because of Buddy's established shooting, I think him in THJ's role here would be undoubtedly better overall, given the pressure he alone puts on defenses. I'm also using the career numbers of BOTH players. I'm not cherry picking stats to make an argument.