12-02-2020, 06:05 PM
(12-02-2020, 05:41 PM)Aussiebballer Wrote: With cap space for next season if they want to sign Giannis and keep Richardson it would require him opting in and dumping Powell?
Or if Richardson opts out they would also have to dump Klieber?
Since Richardson would have a high cap hold, $17mil approx
Man that would be a great problem to have. No doubt Mavs would figure out a way to keep their best players. I am of the mind that he will sign the Supermax and if you ever want a shot at Giannis it will be bc he forces his way out in a year or two. In that scenario you are giving up KP as your main piece and doing so gladly.
I am 99% sure Richardson will opt out. For him to opt in he would have had to have an awful year and/or a career altering injury. I expect him to have a good to great season and be worth at least starter level money at 15 mil+, likely even above his cap hold of 17ish mil. Jerami Grant got 3/60 so I could see J Rich getting something like that off a statistically good year with some playoff success.
With 65M in capholds and an estimate cap of 112, Mavs could have 47M with no opt-ins by my math. That would be you could do 17+ for J Rich (if necessary) while still leaving 30M left for THJ and another starting-level player assuming no big fish are left in that 30M to max range.
THJ's value is hard to gauge but I expect his deal to look team-friendly. I think Mavs are going to want a 2 or 3 deal at the most. Many teams are handing out less 4 year deals these days. Mavs could do like 3 for 30 which would be Crowder-level money or a 2/30 which we have seen more players get. In a 2 year deal you get an expiring contract the next year which we know the Mavs like.
THJ is a good player but I think his interest across the league will be limited and perhaps MLE-level if not slightly above MLE given his limitations. That would put him more in that Crowder 10 mil/yr type range.
All that to say I think you could have a pretty solid roster headed into 2021 where you do retain J Rich, potentially retain or upgrade THJ and/or add an additional starter perhaps to upgrade DFS's position.
Jerami Grant is one to watch bc I could see a situation where Detroit stinks and they are like why are we paying a 3D guy 60 mil when we are 10th place in the East? That could lead to a situation where Mavs could get him for cheap with 2 years left on his deal (just an idea). In that scenario you retain your guys and bring in Grant as that 5th starter and as an upgrade over DFS. This makes DFS expendable potentially or you can move him to the bench.