10-04-2023, 02:46 AM
(10-03-2023, 05:49 PM)mvossman Wrote: Did we see a ton less timidity last season? His FGA per 36 was identical to the prior year (just under 9). He averaged over 25 minutes a game on great efficiency yet still couldn't break 10 points a game.
Oh, I'll definitely take the over. He was 12.6 points in the game where he got minutes and the vibes were not immaculate last year. This year's O is going to be way better.
And timidity did decline last year in games where he got minutes. As I posted...in the >25 minute games (when he was in some kind of flow) he took twice as many shots per 36 (10.1) as when he didn't get those minutes (4.8). So, 8.9 is an average that will go up if you cut out the low minute games as a consistent starter.
He hits 1.42 points per shot attempt when he gets minutes which is elite for a guard. So, what do you want to drop that to? 1.25 is still very good and at 10 shots that's 12.5 without any kind of a step forward. 10 points a game is a layup for starter Green.