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Don't see how he realistically makes it in the East.

Starters are Donovan Mitchell and probably Kyrie just based on fan vote. 

Then he's competing with Harden, Jaylen Brown, Darius Garland, and Trae Young as his stiffest competition. Then you got guys that can get a legacy vote in Demar DeRozan, Bradley Beal, and Zach Lavine.  Lamelo Ball is also a candidate. 

Right there that's 10 guys that all have a case to make it before Brunson, with at least 5 of them being shoo-ins.

I'm a huge JB fan, but I think you nailed it in saying he will have a hard time squeezing in.

It's a beauty contest. To get in, JB's numbers would have to be super-impressive and better than others, and where the team sits in the standings also tends to matter. But the competition is stiff.

Compare -- JB's team has won 22, and he's at 21p, 7a, 3r.

Irving and Mitchell will likely get voted in, and they also have the credentials. There likely will be 4 more.

Brown - 29w, 27p, 7r, 3a -- he's a lock
Young - 19w, 28p, 10a, 3r  - the elite scoring and history should also make him a lock despite the lousy team
Garland - 26w, 21p, 8a, 3r -- with Mitchell a lock, him being on CLE might work for him or against
Harden - 24w, 22p, 11a, 6r -- the strong stats, elite team, and history likely make him a lock

IF THERE's ROOM FOR ANOTHER:
If Derozan is a guard, he is probably a lock with 26p, 5a, 5r despite the bad team
Haliburton - 23w, 20p, 10a, 4r
Beal - 17w, 23p, 5a, 4r
Lavine -  19w, 23p, 4a, 4r

JB is probably in the same tier as the bottom of that list, which is good player you'd want, but probably on the outside looking in when it comes to all-star selection.