08-30-2022, 03:37 AM
(08-28-2022, 01:22 AM)F Gump Wrote: I don't think Ainge will go for a deal like that [Barrett/Fournier]where he's buried in bad salary (or bad salary choices). He needs kids (to start the build for the next generation) not salary. Where's the expiring salary filler?
Fournier would be 2 seasons of ugly salary no one wants, an over-30 veteran highly-paid role player on a rebuilding team. Barrett will have to be very overpaid starting very soon (2023) with no good way to avoid it.
So if a deal happens, imo it's more likely to look like:
Picks (at least as many as Gobert fetched, and maybe one extra just because)
Rose (expiring)
Quickley, Grimes, and one of (Toppin/Barrett)
Barrett is off the table now. Being extended. That looks like what I have been expecting, that if UT is letting go of Mitchell for a rebuild, they won't want to choke down multi-year big salary (Barrett, Fournier) with reduced attendance and revenues looming.
The deal (if it happens) now pretty much has to look like this for salary-match --
Picks
Rose or Fournier
Young pieces (Toppin, Quickley, Grimes)
Though a deal still isn't certain, I think it's more likely than not that if a Mitchell-to-NY deal happens, it would put Rose in play in the process. Rose, Toppin, Quickley, Grimes are enough to match Mitchell.
How much is Rose worth to the Mavs? I think he'd be a perfect fit for Kidd system IF the price was reasonable. Fortunately Ainge doesn't have time or latitude to hold out for perfect deals on the side moves, as he only has a month left to streamline his tank to start the season and jettison what's in the way. For a good guide to type of price it might take for Rose, maybe see the PatBev deal (no pick needed, THT and filler).
I think it's likely that Bogey gets moved too by UT, but I'm guessing he would be a completely separate deal cooking, as I don't see how NY could afford him too.