10-31-2020, 05:40 PM
(This post was last modified: 10-31-2020, 06:01 PM by KillerLeft.)
So, it's very simple.
IF the Mavs believe there's a difference maker (more than a role player) in the lottery of this draft, then it's a good year to move up for him, because so many teams are trying to move out of those spots. This is the Cuban "do the opposite of whatever everyone else is doing" approach. Less resistance.
But, the reason so many teams want to move out of those spots is because they don't see sure-fire difference makers to select. In other words, they feel like the guaranteed money attached to those draft slots has a good chance of seeming misspent on the best players available at those positions. They'd prefer to flip those spots for safer picks further down the line while picking up additional assets. They want to spend the same money on multiple role players, rather than one player who they don't really love.
So, for the "go in the opposite direction" approach to work and not be another move in the long tradition of Cuban outsmarting himself, there has to be a player who will be a difference maker there that these other teams are undervaluing. "Going in the opposite direction" relative to the trend is smart, IF you see something other teams don't.
Does anyone here believe that there's a player or multiple players in the lottery of this draft that somehow, only the Mavericks of all teams truly appreciates?
EDIT: The last question was rhetorical. Obviously, some of you do and have said as much. I'm skeptical, but the post was an effort to frame the situation.
I am all for trading up a LITTLE for a GREAT role player, like Vassell or SBey, for example. That's something I could see making sense in a "going in the opposite direction" as everyone else year. You could potentially get a relative value steal that way in these circumstances.
But I'm really skeptical that Mavs are prepared to do anything near what it would take to get up to pick #6, for example, in this draft. Yes, the price of #6 is likely to be far less than what it would be in a more typical draft, but it's still going to hurt, and the guy you draft there will be much, much farther away from a sure thing that some are admitting.
I think it's awesome that we have a few draft/prospect scouting enthusiasts here. It makes the community a more enriching experience for all of us (that's an understatement). But I think watching hours of film on these guys, spending so much time immersed in the vision of how the best case scenarios of their careers might play out has a drug like effect on our thinking. There will be 30 more drafted players next year, and the year after, and the year after. There quite literally isn't a player in this draft that will make or break the Mavs like Luka did. If you can efficiently and cost effectively snag a good one, then SUPER! Anything above that, idk...
IF the Mavs believe there's a difference maker (more than a role player) in the lottery of this draft, then it's a good year to move up for him, because so many teams are trying to move out of those spots. This is the Cuban "do the opposite of whatever everyone else is doing" approach. Less resistance.
But, the reason so many teams want to move out of those spots is because they don't see sure-fire difference makers to select. In other words, they feel like the guaranteed money attached to those draft slots has a good chance of seeming misspent on the best players available at those positions. They'd prefer to flip those spots for safer picks further down the line while picking up additional assets. They want to spend the same money on multiple role players, rather than one player who they don't really love.
So, for the "go in the opposite direction" approach to work and not be another move in the long tradition of Cuban outsmarting himself, there has to be a player who will be a difference maker there that these other teams are undervaluing. "Going in the opposite direction" relative to the trend is smart, IF you see something other teams don't.
Does anyone here believe that there's a player or multiple players in the lottery of this draft that somehow, only the Mavericks of all teams truly appreciates?
EDIT: The last question was rhetorical. Obviously, some of you do and have said as much. I'm skeptical, but the post was an effort to frame the situation.
I am all for trading up a LITTLE for a GREAT role player, like Vassell or SBey, for example. That's something I could see making sense in a "going in the opposite direction" as everyone else year. You could potentially get a relative value steal that way in these circumstances.
But I'm really skeptical that Mavs are prepared to do anything near what it would take to get up to pick #6, for example, in this draft. Yes, the price of #6 is likely to be far less than what it would be in a more typical draft, but it's still going to hurt, and the guy you draft there will be much, much farther away from a sure thing that some are admitting.
I think it's awesome that we have a few draft/prospect scouting enthusiasts here. It makes the community a more enriching experience for all of us (that's an understatement). But I think watching hours of film on these guys, spending so much time immersed in the vision of how the best case scenarios of their careers might play out has a drug like effect on our thinking. There will be 30 more drafted players next year, and the year after, and the year after. There quite literally isn't a player in this draft that will make or break the Mavs like Luka did. If you can efficiently and cost effectively snag a good one, then SUPER! Anything above that, idk...