THE GREEN MACHINE: The Subtle Emergence of Josh Green

[mvossman]

Several video’s out there previewing Green as an emerging player this upcoming season.
 
A few numbers contained in these…

His above the break 3% was an incredible 45% last season.

As a roll man he scored 1.18 points per attempt

His high rebound game is 12.  His high assist game is 10 (not something you see from people who are “only” 3 & D) 

In the comments of one of the videos, it was pointed out that Jimmy Butler’s age 23 season as an occasional starter was 8.6/4/1.4.  The next season (age 24) he was 13.1/5/2.6 finally achieving full time starter status.  The upcoming season is Green’s age 23 season.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p_qgkfZJZZ8

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_rqI0KZwl_w


These are a little older

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MPlBnOV9X_w

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=soNYtWFt0Ss

Jimmy Butler is a bold comparison.  In the year mentioned, Jimmy's FGA per 36 stayed roughly the same, and almost all of the difference in scoring was due to going from 26 minutes a game to 39.  I seriously doubt Green is going to get 39 minutes a game.

That being said, if you look at Jimmy's next season (age 25) his FGA per 36 jumped from 9.6 to 13.  That is a massive jump and the kind of jump Green would likely need to get near 15 points a game, so it can be done.  I'm just having a hard time seeing Green turn into Jimmy Butler aggressiveness any time soon.