03-03-2021, 11:21 AM
(03-03-2021, 10:49 AM)HanspardShowerVoice Wrote: Honestly, if Rozier keeps this up for another 1.5 years he could be looking at a max or near max. Maybe he might be overpaid, but that's what the market offers like Gordon Haywood. It just takes one small market team willing to pay a premium because they know that's the only way they can get draw talent.
Yeah, I'm not sure THJ right now is really that overpaid by 2021 standards. Since THJ has improved his 3 point shooting to the ~39% range while he's been with the Mavs, I think he is pretty similar to Bogdan Bogdanovic, who got $18 million per season on the open market at the same age as THJ. Its sometimes hard to adjust that a player is overpaid early in his contract becomes properly paid or even underpaid as his skillset changes and/or the market rate for the skillset inflates.
Now the question is whether I want to pay THJ his market rate or if I would rather pay another player his market rate with my finite amount of cap space. And that's where my Brunson appreciation really kicks in ... because good luck finding point guards who can run your offense and effective score off the dribble who aren't 87 years old and could fall off the production cliff at any moment (DeRozan, Conley, Kyle Lowrey) or just complete trainwrecks on defense. And while Brunson 's 115 career defensive rating isn't world beating it's servicable ... there's a lot of offensive point guards out there who are running layup drills. So for me, on Brunson, it's not just the production but the scarcity.
So Mavs might have to overpay? Or Jalen would be smart to test the open market?