2021-2022 AROUND the NBA: GSW Champs [ARCHIVED]

[Hogmelon]

Here's a crazy stat. Chris Paul is 0-14 in games officiated by Scott Foster. Foster was the lead ref in the Suns loss to the Pels. I wonder what the Mavs record is in Tony Brother's officiated games?

Is not crazy. Is not coincidence. 0.006% chance if random.

71-51, since the 1996-97 season.

https://www.basketball-reference.com/ref...to99r.html


https://www.basketball-reference.com/tea...erees.html  

I assume you [Jommybone] arrived at your 0.006% figure by taking 50% to the fourteenth power.

1/16384 = 0.0061035%

What if I told you that Chris Paul has a career winning percentage of 65% in the 1155 regular season games he has played?

[Chris Paul also has a career winning percentage of 50.38% (66-65) in playoff games.]

1 - 0.65 = 0.35

35% to the fourteenth power is approximately 0.000041395%

0.0061035% = 147.44 X 0.000041395%  ... so I suppose the situation might be even "crazier" than the first estimate would suggest.

Someone [not I] won the Mega Millions jackpot on April 12.

Someone else [again, not I] won the Mega Millions jackpot on April 15.

(The probability of winning the Mega Millions jackpot is 1 in 302575350, which is approximately 0.00000030496%.)


Do you believe that Scott Foster deliberately cheats for the purpose of screwing Chris Paul?

Yes?  No?  Maybe?

Deliberately cheat? That's strong. I think Foster might have an inherent negative bias against CP3, which is enough on it's own to prevent him from reffing any game, but the NBA doesn't see it that way and it's hard to prove without a thorough audit of every call Foster has made to look for inconsistencies. 

In any case Foster is a terrible ref. The fact that his name is so well known is proof enough the NBA should ban him, but his union prevents such use of power. 

I will say I find that quite incredible that the chance of CP3 losing that many games is 4.1e-5. The Mega Millions chance is still a couple of order of magnitudes difference though!
 

Thank you. However Jommybone has a more mathematical, scientific view. I was just pointing out what I read, until it was obliterated and blown to smithereens......

WTF???  I don't understand your defensiveness, @"HoosierDaddyKid" 

Jommybone did not "obliterate" or "blow to smithereens" anything you wrote.

I did not "obliterate" or "blow to smithereens" anything you wrote.

Nobody "obliterated" or "blew to smithereens" anything you wrote.

You posted two statements (about Scott Foster and Chris Paul), and asked one question (about Tony Brothers and the Dallas Mavericks).

Jommybone apparently assumed your statements about Scott Foster and Chris Paul were 100% accurate, and so did I.

I gave the most straightforward answer possible to your question (see above):

Q: "I wonder what the Mavs record is in Tony Brother's officiated games?"

A: "71-51, since the 1996-97 season." [with two relevant links to basketball-reference dot com]

Then, I attempted to BOLSTER  Jommybone's mathematical analysis by pointing out that Chris Paul has lost only 35% of the regular season games he has played (rather than the 50% assumed initially).

I never "obliterated" or "blew to smithereens" or even disagreed  with anything asserted by either HoosierDaddyKid or Jommybone, and I honestly don't understand WHY some people are so quick to take offense at every word I post.

Seriously, ... good fucking grief.

And ... (back to the math) ...

I would be very interested in Chris Paul's stats in those fourteen losses officiated by Scott Foster.


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Correlatio..._causation