05-21-2022, 10:12 PM
(05-21-2022, 05:06 PM)Jakeospikez Wrote: Don't really think career average is good to use here. He was bad at it coming into the league and focused on developing it every season. The Knicks years are weird. This is where it's up to the FO to see if the situation/type of shots he was taking were out of rhythm etc. Dinwiddie is a career 32% 3pt shooter, is his 40% here a fluke? He's due for his regression to the mean and the Mavs should sell on him asap then. Regression to the mean is a pretty lazy take to me though generally.
So you are hyper focusing on a single year of sample (and not even most recent) and ignoring the rest but I have the lazy take?
Your right that career average is not a great measure, but the point was his last 3 year sample is not any different than his career, meaning that single year looks a lot more like an outlier than any real trend.
There is reason to believe Dinwiddie will shoot better with the Mavs than his career average because he will be playing with another playmaker instead of running the show and he is a lot better at catch and shoot 3s than off the dribble. But nobody thinks he is going to shoot 40% next season. I doubt any team is going to be knocking our door down for him based on a 23 game sample.