07-30-2021, 04:19 PM
(07-30-2021, 04:02 PM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: Josh provides a way of leveraging what we bring back to $16mm instead of the $11mm of space he creates. So, I tend to agree that waiting is potentially positive. I think his highest and best use is probably to a team that would be hard capped if they took back a S&T player and has no real way to replace a departing FA. Oubre, Caruso, Batum and Dinwiddie come to mind.
Josh is feeling like a r-MLE or tp-MLE kind of guy right now. So, it would take 2 years to make up what he's walking away from. The payoff for opting out is the possibility of a third year at half of what he'll make next year in guaranteed money. Doesn't sound enticing. Or, you work with Dallas to get to a good location, make your $11.6 and hope for good things a year from now on a team that will be hard pressed to replace you.
Disagree a bit with your valuation of Josh but I think you are right about it taking more than a year to get the value of his opt-in back but that's unimportant. I think the more important thing is that there are a lot of options out there if the rumored Lowry plan falls through.