07-31-2021, 04:22 PM
(07-31-2021, 03:51 PM)Mavs2021 Wrote: Here is where we stand
Option 1: Lowry S&T for a combination of Kleber, Powell, Brunson and draft assets, ability to retain THJ + MLE + TPE.
Option 2: Lowry outright into capspace, lose TPE + MLE + THJ.
Option 3: TPE + MLE + THJ
Option 4: 15-18M player(s) into capspace + THJ
I just don´t see any way that Option 2 comes even close to Options 3 and 4 in terms of overall talent. So the only way Lowry lands here is Option 1. That would tie us down, until we have actually won the signature from Lowry AND negotiated a deal with Toronto. How good are those odds of success? How big would the talent upgrade over Options 3+4 be, in case of success?
I´m just not sure the (emphasis on: ) new MBT wants to do that and risk losing out on THJ and all the potential TPE/MLE targets.
So the most likely Lowry option is not in your list. We trade Powell + asset either as part of S&T or to a 3rd team (it does not matter so probably get a better deal with a different team). That would be Lowry + THJ + room. This would be a good offseason. That Lowry contract is more than I want to pay, but in two years we could use his expiring as salary filler for a big trade when we have access to our picks again.
On option 4, we are not required to retain THJ. That would be a deal we work out, and his market may not be more than 4/60. We could start that around 13. That means we could afford to pay someone roughly 4/100. There has been no smoke, but I would love it if we downshift from Lowry to a big offer to Ball. A Ball/THJ offseason would be a success.