THJ is terrible and these MAVs will be swept by the Clippers

[ItsGoTime]

Quick fact check:

Offense

• His usage rate has been around 20% with a career low 17% this year. Career high 14.5 pts on 10.7 FGA/58.5% TS. This year 12pts on 9.4 FGA/ 56.8% TS. Seems reasonable to expect 15pts in a more featured role.    Ok.
  
  
• 3-point shooting seems to be at least league average. Increased his volume every year. This year nearly half of his shots come from 3-point range (44%). Percentage peaked at 39% on 2.6 attempts in 2019. This year he nearly doubled his volume (4.1 attempts) but the efficiency suffered (34%). For comparisation: Maxi (4.3 att/ 37%), KP (7 att/ 34%)  Ok. He's young and working on it, that bodes well for the thought that he can do better going forward. If 4.1 att at 34% is the bottom, hopefully the top is really good.
  
  
• Mavs rank 10th in ORR. Last in transition D. Compared to previous seasons rebounding and the possession game in general has been a strength. Turner is similar to bigs like KP or Dirk. Plays on the perimeter on offense and isn´t in position to go for offensive rebounds. Only averaged 1.3 this season. Career high 1.7 when he played closer to the basket.   In reference to how does MT replace the offense that THJ brings, having more OReb and bringing up the ORR rating for the team is a positive...right?
  
  
• Turner is not a banger or post player. In previous seasons nearly 50% of his shots came from midrange. This year he replaced most of them with 3s. For a player of his size his shooting volume in the paint is really low. He has a nice turnaround jumper but won´t backdown smaller players and dunk on them. 62.4 percentile in the post.   This was more in reference to the other team now has to pick their poison with how they need to defend this team, much like the Lakers have with AD and either Howard or McGee (along with LBJ). I get that it's ambitious to expect this coaching staff to teach and call post play, but getting MT should trigger a bit of a different approach to how this team is going to score the ball than they have now IMO. Which gives them a much more dynamic and unpredictable offense.
  
  
• He has been a bad pick and roll player. 41.7 percentile as the roll man. Low volume and not the 1st option. Obviously a difficult situation next to a paint scorer like Sabonis.  DP wasn't great until he worked on it. This coaching staff knows how to teach that skill and MT has all the tools to be good at it.
  
  
• Really hope that´s true but looking at KPs improvement this season I agree that coaching, scheme and teammates matter. So far he has a negative ast/tov ratio for his career.  Ok.
  
  

Defense

• 60.1 percentile as a post defender. Similar to KP he makes most of his impact as a help defender. Nevertheless it makes sense to match him up with the best opposing big. RC is already doing it with Maxi when he shares the floor with KP.  This was mostly about saving KP from having to get banged up with all the big bodies out there still. Having 2 guys that can roam the paint when the little guys penetrate is a very good thing to have also.
  
  
• See above. Good help defender. Woul really help the team to have a mobile rim protector on the floor for 48 minutes/82 games. Just stagger his minutes with KP.  Yep.
  
  
• Overall he would clearly improve the defense but I think a more complentary piece that can switch the pick and roll and defend the perimeter would be a better fit next to KP. Turner can move his feet but tends to stay in the paint and allows nearly 40% from 3-point range according to tracking data.  I don't see how getting him does not allow for us to look for 2 more starting quality wings to do that. Having 2 guys hunting for blocks when the offense breaks down our defense on the perimeter (which will happen even with the best of perimeter defenders) would be stellar.