01-20-2026, 10:10 AM
(01-20-2026, 09:14 AM)Smitty Wrote: I wanted to look at the financials of a deal like this, and why I think it's important to discuss.
If the Mavs make no moves at the TDL they will have a tax bill of ~$32M this season, while also missing out on ~$14M distribution, and become a repeater tax team next year, with a projected tax bill of ~$120M. We're talking about an extra $150M-$200M dollars for a non-contender. It's mind blowing. A move like this is what that would save Dumont.... ~$200-million-dollar difference in payroll and taxes the next 18 months.
As for what these two moves would like for the roster next season:
Irving (33) | Nembhard (22) | DLO (29)
Christie (22) | Ivey (23) | Hardy (23)
Flagg (19) | Martin (30)
PJW (27)
Davis (32) | Lively (21) | Cisse (23)
+FRP (Own), +FRP (CLE),
UFA: Powell, BWill, Kennard, Exum
RFA: Ivey
PO: DLO
The Mavs payroll would be roughly $188M, before paying Ivey. With a tax line of ~$201M next season, you would be able to pay Ivey up to ~$13M year 1 and stay below the tax line a second year in a row or ~$10M year 1, while also adding another Minimum player to get to 15 roster spots.
A projected Ivey deal of 3/$41M, which is the same contract Josh Green got.
Year 1: $12,654,321
Year 2: $13,666,667
Year 3: $14,679,012
The Mavs would start extension talks with Christie, who has a player option in '27-'28, that he will surely look to decline. They can also talk extension with Lively if they feel the need to do so.
I'm afraid Ivey is going to be looking for more than that. Josh Green averaged less than 10 points a game when he got that extension. Ivey was nearly 18 last season.
So I assume these projections including paying a top 10 pick? Which pick did you assume?
As a more general question, how much cap do the Mavs need to clear to get out from the tax assuming they pick around 7th next year?

