10-10-2025, 01:31 PM
(10-09-2025, 06:13 AM)Winter Wrote: Actually, I think the only real 3-pt problem at the outset is AD. He's nowhere close to league average and he thinks he can shoot it.Bingo. That's how I see it as well with AD. He's a really great 2-way force but with him favoring the 4 position and now having a roster full of capable 5's behind him, his % from 3 and spacing ability can be the difference between a lot of W's and L's.
All the others have a reasonable chance of shooting around 38%. Lively is untested. Marshall has done it before. Some rotation members could come and go, but I don't expect our typical lineup to look like something in the bottom half.
Your #1 and #2 options in the star vs star wars that NBA games often come down 2 are expected to be AD and later Kyrie. 3pt. % and spacing from 3's will factor in all season to where the offense ends up overall.
(10-10-2025, 09:01 AM)mvossman Wrote: I think it very likely they will be in the bottom half overall (accounting for percentage and volume). They are playing two bigs with no history of shooting from 3 well, and few players on this roster should be expected to shoot better than league average (some of them might, but Kyrie, Klay and maybe Dlo are the only ones you could reasonably expect).
Marshall has done it before but he shot 28% last season. Hard to expect much spacing from him. Other than the three mentioned players, there is nobody on this roster that shoots a lot of volume either.
Throw the rookie Flagg in that mix as well since whatever he shoots is going to play significant role given he's poised to be in the play maker role. How does this team stack up to Luka for offensive play creation?
Interestingly enough Luka doesn't do his magic on the strength of a 40% ish 3 point threat although he does seem to have a J-Kidd like quality where he seems to shoot better when the shots are bigger. Luka has the clutch factor just as Kyrie does which made the Mavs so dangerous even against elite comp.
You could make the case however that his 3 may be getting better with age.
Quote:Luka Dončić's career three-point shooting percentage is approximately 34.8%. His three-point shooting has varied over the seasons, with his best percentage being around 38.2% during the 2023-24 season.