07-04-2024, 02:54 PM
Hollinger free agent PG rankings from a few weeks ago. I wouldn't take his Bords salary rankings seriously.
6. Spencer Dinwiddie, L.A. Lakers: $18,851,993
Dinwiddie is a risky player to me, and I was surprised by this valuation. His offense and shot-creation both fell off sharply this season, across two different teams, and you’re not really employing a 33.3-percent career 3-point shooter as a floor spacer.
While his plus size for a point guard gives him some cross-positional functionality, and he generally held up well on defense last season, I’d be worried that the 31-year-old has lost a step and adjust my offer accordingly. I’m not sure BORD$ has caught up to that yet, as it still weighs his stronger 2022-23 season in putting together this estimate.
8. Dennis Smith Jr., Brooklyn: $13,153,326
One consistent fact about BORD$ is that it rates good defensive players much more highly than the free-agent market historically has. Smith is another example, as an All-Defense-caliber guard who struggles to hit shots from the perimeter. I doubt he gets anywhere near this amount, but he’ll be good value as a disruptive defensive presence off the bench for whichever team lands him.
. Kyle Lowry, Philadelphia: $11,067,500
Lowry is 38, and his play tailed off last season, but my numbers still see him as a valuable player, if no longer a starter. Philadelphia likely would prefer to bring him back and has ample cap room to do it (the Sixers have no Bird rights on Lowry and are limited to a 20 percent raise on his minimum if they sign him without cap room or the room exception). However, the Sixers will have to weigh that against the opportunities to take home run swings with their max cap space. Lowry could also be a popular target for other contenders, but will any want to dig deep enough to offer their full MLE on a one-year deal?
6. Spencer Dinwiddie, L.A. Lakers: $18,851,993
Dinwiddie is a risky player to me, and I was surprised by this valuation. His offense and shot-creation both fell off sharply this season, across two different teams, and you’re not really employing a 33.3-percent career 3-point shooter as a floor spacer.
While his plus size for a point guard gives him some cross-positional functionality, and he generally held up well on defense last season, I’d be worried that the 31-year-old has lost a step and adjust my offer accordingly. I’m not sure BORD$ has caught up to that yet, as it still weighs his stronger 2022-23 season in putting together this estimate.
8. Dennis Smith Jr., Brooklyn: $13,153,326
One consistent fact about BORD$ is that it rates good defensive players much more highly than the free-agent market historically has. Smith is another example, as an All-Defense-caliber guard who struggles to hit shots from the perimeter. I doubt he gets anywhere near this amount, but he’ll be good value as a disruptive defensive presence off the bench for whichever team lands him.
. Kyle Lowry, Philadelphia: $11,067,500
Lowry is 38, and his play tailed off last season, but my numbers still see him as a valuable player, if no longer a starter. Philadelphia likely would prefer to bring him back and has ample cap room to do it (the Sixers have no Bird rights on Lowry and are limited to a 20 percent raise on his minimum if they sign him without cap room or the room exception). However, the Sixers will have to weigh that against the opportunities to take home run swings with their max cap space. Lowry could also be a popular target for other contenders, but will any want to dig deep enough to offer their full MLE on a one-year deal?