Trade & FA 2024-25:

[Mavs2021]

Inspired by the Jason Timpf video that KL linked, I found data on pivotfade that allow you to view stats on above the break 3's only. Here are the top 9 Mavs. The bench mob actually shoots it reasonably well, but not on enough volume to make a huge impact. We could expect a healthy Luka to be better next time around, but PJ+DJJ are definitely big concerns. THJ is useless and will kill the Mavs next season if he's still on the roster.



Of the few players from other teams I've looked at so far, Gary Trent Jr seems to stand out. He's made at least 38% of his ATB 3's each of the last 5 seasons. He also hit 51.3% of his wide open 3's on 3.3 attempts/game last season. That's double Exum's volume.

I think we need to see what Green and Hardy can do off the ball and forced into a high volume of shots in the 1st half of the season. It´s basically time to force Green to shoot and to let Hardy shoot. Just need a better offensive system than heroball to maximize their shooting skills.

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I go a little off the beaten path, but two trades I think are fairly realistic:

1. Thybulle + 34th pick + 40th pick for our 2025 lottery protected + THJ (imho you might even be able to go even higher in the protection)

Thybulle is a much better player in theory than in reality. I think the Blazers care about him as much as we do about THJ, but Thybulle´s contract is longer. 

Problem: The Blazers roster is already expensive for their record. They might be more interested to shed current salary in their transactions than add some. So this deal might need a 3rd party or requires other financially benefitial trades from the Blazers end (Grant, Brogdon, R. Williams).

2. Jalen Smith S&T + 36th pick for Kleber + Powell + 58th pick

Smith is an UFA, so the Pacers have little leverage and Kleber could be a real useful player to them. We add Powell to gain maximum financial flexibility.

Problem: While I believe the Pacers would gladly do this deal without Powell, he might be a deal breaker. But that´s a situation that can be resolved using the Pistons cap dumpster. Powell´s contract is only $4M so a little cash and one of the three 2nd rounders might have to be re-routed to Detroit.

Player                  Salary           Notes
1 Doncic              43,031,940
2 Irving               41,000,000     ULTBE $1,000,000
3 THJ                  16,193,183
3 PJ Washington   15,500,000     ULTBE $500,000
4 Gafford             13,394,160
5 Green               12,654,321
6 Thybulle           11,025,000
7 Maxi                 11,000,000
7 DJJ                  10,000,000
8 Jalen Smith        7,500,000 
9 Lively                 5,014,560
9 Powell                4,000,000
10 Exum               3,150,000     Team Option 6/28
11 Omax               2,870,400
12 Lawson             2,120,683     NG
13 Hardy               2,019,699     NG
14 Morris               2,093,637
15 2nd round pick  2,000,000

Dead                     2,208,856    McGee

Total Salary (including unlikely bonuses)        177,079

Doncic/Exum/2nd round pick
Irving/Hardy/Green
DJJ/Thybulle/Lawson
Washington/Smith/OMax
Lively/Gafford/Morris

You got the #34 + #36 + #40 pick for a lottery protected 1st. You can pick Dadiet, Djurisic or/and Nunez to stash them overseas. You can potentially take Bronny.

Only problem is that it does not solve the PG/3rd scoring guard problem, but maybe you delay that until the TDL or worst case next summer.