Trade & FA 2023-24: Sexton On the Market? | ORL Likes Hartenstein?

[Mavs2021]

One of these is Bruce Brown in the 22/23 Playoffs and the other is DJJ in the 23/24 Playoffs


              Player 1     Player 2

Age          27            26
Points       9.8           12.0
Reb          3.8           4.0
FG%        .492          .511
3%          .396          .316
VORP        0.3           0.4
WS/48      .096          .141
PER          11.1          15.5   
D-Rtg       116            109
On Ct        +7.4          +10.5
On-Off       +5.8         +4.1

Some other interesting data.  DJJ has the worst D-Rating of any of the top 7 in our playoff rotation (starters plus Lively and Green) at 116.  Green is 4th best at 112.  Jones has the 6th best WS/48 at .096 slightly beating out PJ at 0.91 (Green is .130).  DJJ has the 7th best PER at 11.1 (Green is 12.1).  Green is historically the better three point shooter, but in the playoffs he trails Jones.  If Josh made two more of his 48 attempted 3's (or Jones missed two of his 53 attempted 3's), they'd be the same there.

I continue to think Jones is 'worth' more than the TP MLE.  Whether someone will pay it or not is another question.  It would probably be a sacrifice on his part to take the $5.2mm on a 1+1.  If he does, great.  But, I still don't think you 'burn' the THJ expiring contract 'just' to get Jones more than the TP MLE.  Green with consistent minutes is roughly equivalent to Jones Jr.  I'd rather use THJ plus some draft assets toward improvement as that combo probably gets you a player who is just as good as or better than either Jones or Green (and you'd still have the TP MLE to spend on someone else if Jones Jr. left).

Now you are really being ungrateful. People cut you some slack after your seven year advanced stats journey to prove that Dwight Powell is more than a Mark Madsen towel waiver on a championship team. And now you can´t even last two days before you start the same mess with Josh Green (and DJJ). 

Come on man.

Also no idea why everybody always bring up Bruce Brown. That was a genius contract by the Pacers that they wanted for salary-matching purpose. They never thought he was even worth half of it, especially to a non-contender. At least DJJ has meaning to the Mavs, which is the reason they will retain him in the mid-level exception range. 

I´m sure they´ll find a creative way to do it. 

Micic + Wizards 26th pick to Dallas
Bagley + complete unprotection of the Mavs 2027 1st round pick to Charlotte
THJ + Mavs 2025 1st (lottery protected) to Washington

That should give you enough breathing space to get very close to the necessary (imho) 44/4 to retain DJJ.

Added benefit for our minority owner: the Knicks pick 24th and 25th. If we acquire #26 for THJ and nail the pick, Cuban can claim he won the KP trade.