NBA Summer League | Mavs end off 4-1

[WildArkieBoy]

It's also possible that it's a crapshoot, and that experts who spend thousands of hours researching and evaluating can't really project with any certainty whatsoever whether Player X will actually be an NBA player, or will be any better than Player Y.

So, rather than pillory front offices for "missing" on "obvious" picks, we should cut them a little slack and realize there's a pretty high degree of randomness in the whole process.

...and perhaps we should be a little slower to declare a GM as "genius" because he happens to hit on two picks in a row.

When you go to Vegas, do you stop and congratulate the slot machine winners because of their superior skill?

Yet, player evaluation is not merely a random "slot machine" style gamble.  Some front offices simply do a much better job of player evaluation and are rewarded with more hits than misses.  Grading on the curve, I suspect the Mavs FO to be on the lower end of that spectrum.