Thread Rating:
  • 0 Vote(s) - 0 Average
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
Porzingis Postup Debate - Rick Carlisle vs TNT
#78
(12-31-2019, 03:26 PM)Dahlsim Wrote: I can buy that, especially when you consider how much better his stats were with a Knicks team that was not even in a playoff discussion. 

The flip side would be that if KP's close to the rim  vs perimeter shot ratio were better then is shooting % would be better AND the team would be even better still.  Of course that's only true IF KP TS% is higher all the way around due to the the adjustment.

In the case of KP, the flip side doesn't exist:

"[b]Dallas doesn’t want him to post up because he’s not good at posting up.
[/b]

Among the 62 players who have played at least 15 games and used at least 1 chance per game in the post, per Synergy data, Porzingis is dead last in efficiency, averaging 0.57 pts/play. Overall, the Mavs are averaging a touch under 1.02 pts/play, one of three teams averaging over 1 point per play (alongside the Bucks — more on them in a minute — and Rockets). So a Porzingis post up is barely generating half of the offense as an average Dallas play, which seems bad.
The “but he’s Seven-Foot-Three” cry misses an important point. While he has a height advantage over virtually anyone who will guard him, he does not necessarily have a size advantage, at least not in a functional sense. When exploiting a size mismatch, the advantage is gained by almost literally putting the smaller player under the basket with superior strength and length. While a tall player might be able to shoot over a smaller one, a contested 12 footer is still a contested 12 footer, and if a player can never bully his way closer to the restricted area, those turnaround jumpers are a tough living."

"Even if one were to argue that Porzingis would be more effective posting up if Dallas were more committed to it, he has about one half of one season of demonstrated effectiveness as a post player, before his ACL injury in 2017-18, where he scored 0.96 points per chance, good for 75th percentile after being 311st and 45th percentile in post efficiency the previous two seasons. Plus, as discussed below, Carlisle isn’t in the business of maximizing Porzingis, his job is to put out the best overall offense he can. Carlisle didn’t say postups were bad for Porzingis, he said they were bad for the Mavs’ offense, full stop:"

The article goes on to point out that Dallas, like Lopez and Milwaukee is incredible in the paint BECAUSE KP (and Lopez) spend so little time there clogging things up.  It is just a different philosophy than Barkley or Shaq backing their man down on the block.  That Philosophy has "Luka and a bunch of 7th/8th men" putting out one of the most prolific offenses in history (we hear a lot about the 116 O-Rating being the best raw per 100 number ever, but the article says it is the 13th highest spread to league average.  I think that is the more fair way to view it.  O-Rating inflation is rampant and we are the biggest beneficiary of NBA Quantitative Easing.
Like Reply


Messages In This Thread
RE: Porzingis Postup Debate - Rick Carlisle vs TNT - by DanSchwartzgan - 12-31-2019, 06:03 PM

Forum Jump:


Users browsing this thread: 1 Guest(s)