08-13-2021, 05:10 PM
(08-13-2021, 03:22 PM)jesusshuttlesworth82 Wrote: (I realize most advances stats will have noise like this. Just fun to look at. I wonder if each NBA team has their own formula/metric or how many organizations are lagging far behind. It seems easier to tell among MLB teams and the way they're covered who is really strong/weak in analytics.)
I always found fantasy basketball and rotisserie baseball easier to win than fantasy football. Alas, no time for any of that for years now. There is just a greater consistency to B-Ball players (both B's) than football players. I used to do really well for years in a league with mostly TV and newspaper sports types. It is easy to see where a growth curve is likely to peak and see where a trade might open up opportunities for an emerging player. I never found a formulaic approach to football. A change at left tackle can kill a wide receiver. Just too much to track.
Back to your point. Several years ago on another site I used to predict playoff series by minutes weighted PER. Even as flawed as PER is, it was a great guide to predicting playoff winners...even lower seed winners. It has been 10 years, but I think I remember it correctly called the Mav series up to the finals. Dallas and Miami were essentially a toss up (caution: it is possible I'm remembering 06...I'm not as young as I used to be).