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2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived - Printable Version

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RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - omahen - 02-13-2021

(02-13-2021, 10:56 AM)dirkfansince1998 Wrote: That´s a legit question. I think Brunsons improvement reduces the need for another ballhandler. Same for THJs scoring ability. When both can combine for 30pts on an average night the Mavs are in a good spot. Personally I would prefer a more reliable 2nd/3rd/4th scoring option but the Mavs have bigger problems.
I think we have seen enough examples of teams with three allstar level scoring options to know that one of them is going to be marginalized. Only exception would be a spot up shooter like Klay Thompson. Maybe a defensive specialist or glue guy would be more valuable for the Mavs.


I think the main question is, if this group has the potential to contend. Are they like one good piece away, combined with their natural growth. If yes, than a guy like Lowry makes a ton of sense. We need a glue guy, a vet, someone who is capable to provide calm clutch minutes, create for himself and others. If we wouldn't need to touch our core to get him, we could even afford to play him less in regular season, saving him for playoffs. Like Heat did with Dragic. Or perhaps a Draymond Green to connect the dots on defense. 

If no, you basically have two options. First one is you can hope for internal development and play the patient game. The other one is start building a team anew, making everyone not named Luka available. Try to upgrade several positions. 

Personally I would give it a shot with the first option, adding one vet addition. Important and necessary thing is, that this vet plays defense. Perhaps Lowry is the answer. Perhaps Horford can lift his game in the playoffs. Perhaps Green. John Wall might be intriguing, even though it would be a nightmare matching that contract. Thad Young or George Hill are poor mans options, but I doubt they could move the needle enough.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - Tyler - 02-13-2021

(02-13-2021, 10:16 AM)Hypermav Wrote: https://www.nbaanalysis.net/2021/02/12/nba-rumors-miami-heat-dallas-mavericks-trade-kristaps-porzingis/2/

I know these are click bait...

Whenever clickbait artists start writing about other teams stealing KP for a bunch of bit pieces, I just take it as a sign that fans around the league are taking notice of his play. Keep it up, KP.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - Jason Terry - 02-13-2021

(02-13-2021, 10:34 AM)omahen Wrote: I was thinking after last night game, if Mavs really have room for a third star. Luka and KP took 51 shots out of 88 total. Ok, they were both hot and they were efficient shots. On average they take less, but still. Third most was THJ with 8. I think this affects him, he really looks shot hungry once he gets the ball. There might be too many score first guys on the roster. Even Brunson likes to take care of "himself". 

Luka and KP combined take nearly 40 shots on average. Out of the top 7 rotation Kleber and DFS are the only guys happy if they don't even take a shot, but of course defense leaves them wide open a couple of times a game and they shoot it. Over 10 per game between them. Brunson and THJ take their shots. Combined a bit over 20 shots per game. This leaves 10 shots for JRich and another 5-10 for other guys combined. If we bring another offensive talent into equation, things might become difficult if Brunson, JRich and THJ remain with the team. There will likely not be enough shots to go around. You would basically have to reduce KP and THJ shot number. I am not sure they would be happy about it.
This has always been the case. After terrible team shooting and a tough schedule and 5 guys missing huge chunks of games we STILL are a top 10 offense sitting at 9th. We probably finish top 5 or close enough to it. You don’t lose one role player(Curry) from the most efficient offense in league history and see a large enough decline for it to matter. Mavs ball the last 20 years we could go out blindfolded and put up some points. At this point it’s a franchise culture thing that we will be good on that end. Dirk was a pioneer that will go down in history for changing the game. Every team in the league plays “nellie ball” now.

We have enough scoring between Luka/KP/THj where we only need 2 of them to show up in order to win. We have plenty of ball handling and distribution between Luka/Brunson/JRich. Everyone’s shooting is returning to career levels. Just as we expected now that roles and chemistry are being cleaned up. 

Everyone who said THj couldn’t repeat and focused on his previous numbers from trash organizations were way off. He is the 3rd “star” offensively. Not only will he repeat, but fewer responsibilities seem to have made him better defensively/rebounding.

Now Richardson is that scape goat. Brunson before him. DFS has been that as well. The five guys playing the 1-3 positions all play hard every night. There’s a good mix of skills. All of them are close with Luka. I don’t see any reason why we would use our limited resources to make any changes to Luka, DFS, JR, JB, THj. 

Its always been about defense and rebounding. It’s the front court that possibly needs help.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - ClutchDirk - 02-13-2021

We need a better 4 next to KP...Maxi sucks currently and Powell is still in recovery mode...DFS should only play 4 for specific matchup or a couple of minutes only...

If a Beal or similar player is available of course you get them...but the Mavs need is to fix the problem at the 4...


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - loki - 02-13-2021

As far as a minor move to address the 4 is concerned, I would prefer a deal like Johnson/Terry for Thad Young. It's not splashy, but Thad is a small positive on both ends. Bjelica is available as well if they want to throw defense to the wind.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - ClutchDirk - 02-13-2021

https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2931385-nba-trade-rumors-heat-join-76ers-as-teams-interested-in-kings-nemanja-bjelica


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - Kammrath - 02-13-2021

RE: KP Trade to MIA

Achiuwa....Duncan Robinson....2 1sts....I like all those parts... but probably not enough (though I think it isn't that far off because Duncan should be an instant starter and then a bunch of assets.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - fifteenth - 02-13-2021

Am I alone in thinking the disaster of the last few weeks was possibly a combo of bubble hangover, short offseason, no handling the short offseason correctly by players (assuming it would be longer), lack of gel time because of KP's injury, lack of gel time for new roster, and of course, Covid?

Excuses ultimately don't matter. Your record represents your work. But analyzing the roster isn't just about whether this first half of the season is a success or not. It's about figuring out who we want and who we need going forward.

All that being said, for what it's worth, in any event, having said all of that which I had been saying...

I want to see what this roster is by the end of the season. 

I don't think this first half is representative of what this roster is. All this is probably obvious, and others have probably said it, too. And, I seem most of the time to be, patience, patience, patience...until some switch gets flipped, and then I'm ready for change. But I'm not ready for change. I feel like I haven't actually been able to see what this team is yet. And I want to see what it is before change is made...

...unless something obvious comes along, like a trade for top 2 or 3 player that doesn't torpedo the ability to fill in the roster around the stars.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - DanSchwartzgan - 02-13-2021

(02-13-2021, 11:24 AM)omahen Wrote: I think the main question is, if this group has the potential to contend.  

If no, you basically have two options. First one is you can hope for internal development and play the patient game. The other one is start building a team anew, making everyone not named Luka available. Try to upgrade several positions. 

(02-13-2021, 12:23 PM)Jason Terry Wrote: I don’t see any reason why we would use our limited resources to make any changes to Luka, DFS, JR, JB, THj. 

Its always been about defense and rebounding. It’s the front court that possibly needs help.


JT, I thought your entire post was really good.  We are better than our current standing and numbers indicate (Covid and injuries devastating the roster does matter).  I think Omahen's quote is a false dichotomy.  Clearly there are more nuanced options, though I would agree we are in a bit of a rock and hard spot dilemma as it relates to the options you provide and anything in-between.  Here are some things (and challenges) I think lie between doing nothing and starting from scratch:

ST Band-aid:  JT has posted some good backup PF options.  These would give us a good ninth man to add to the C/PG/Wing that we currently have in spots 6, 7 and 8.  I think of this as the Thaddeus Young option and personally think we need to do this at the very least.  We rely WAY too heavily on Maxi and DFS and an injury to either in the playoffs would be devastating.  James Johnson hasn't proven to be the answer.  Do we "contend" with this addition?  I view us as eventually returning to better than where we peaked last season, so small incremental improvements are valuable.

More than a ST Band-aid at the TDL:  We can all dream about a size-able upgrade at some position (I'll call this the John Collins option...Schwartz...to put a face with a theory).  Unfortunately, it is hard to trade for value when you have no value to give.  We have nothing to offer other than expiring deals.  None of the players we could offer are particularly young nor do they have high ceilings (does anyone seriously think we are trading KP?).  Plus, with 20 teams making the playoffs/play-in now and 26 or so thinking they have a chance (and the lottery odds less beneficial to tanking), there aren't a lot of sellers out there.   I think we are much more likely to see an expiring veteran on the downside of his career than someone on the level of Collins...so back to the ST Band-aid.

Summer:  As I've said for months, we have to give up a ton just to get in the conversation for high level FA's.  If you are going to give up all those guys in the summer for a shot, then you are better off doing it before the TDL and controlling said RFA (or at least having full Bird rights if he's a UFA).  Add the fact that there isn't an obvious home run UFA available and summer home runs don't seem likely.  I'm not saying we won't do anything.  I'm saying it is unlikely to be anywhere near a max level guy in the summer.

I will remind all of a complicating factor that might make Brunson more available than I'd prefer.  As most know, he's UFA in 22 and Dallas has no way of keeping him if he wants to go.  Yes, we can extend Brunson next season, but only up to 120% of the average salary (call it $12mm).  So, if Brunson is satisfied at that level or less, great.  If he sees himsellf as FVV if only given FVV's opportunity, then uh oh.  

I've posted something Eric Pincus wrote about Zach LaVine who is in a similar situation but at bigger dollars (basically renegotiate the 2021 contract and then extend him).  It would take additional research to see if that would work with Brunson.  But even if it does, that will require using some 2021 cap room...not ideal if we are trying to use cap room to add players.  Does Dallas want to deal with all that?  Or, do they let it become someone else's problem by moving Brunson?  I like Brunson and love how he looks with and without Luka this season.  But, when you add in all the financial gymnastics it becomes more of an open question than just my preference to keep him.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - omahen - 02-13-2021

(02-13-2021, 02:34 PM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: I think Omahen's quote is a false dichotomy. 


Perhaps it shouldn't be read to literate, I totally agree. Basically, I would have three scenarios:
1. Contend now: put the non elementary assets in a good vet. This means 2027 FRP, rookies, whatever needed (within reason, of course). We go all in starting this year. 
2. Patient game: continue developing the core with a minor tweak here and there. Like Johnson for Young
3. Reorganize. I never meant this a rebuild scenario. What I thought was - the building blocks don't fit well enough for Mavs to be a contender. Too many faults. More changes are needed for the pieces to fall together to create a contender.

As Mavs are playing now, they basicall have 30 mil of dead money sitting on the bench with Johnson, Powell and Bobi. Another almost dead 6 mil in Burke and Green. This needs to be upgraded. Young is sort of worst case scenario for me and I am affraid his stock has gained a lot of value, as he is playing very well. 

On a bit different topic, I would say Carlisle tightened the rotation not only to get back on track win wise, but also to have a mini traning camp/preseason, time for the key guys to start gelling together, which was not possible due to short preseason, injuries and Covid. I am quite sure he will start adding players to the rotation at some point. At least Green. I also don't believe the drop-off is so great that team couldn't function with deep bench guys getting involved here and there.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - MFFL - 02-13-2021

Oladipo "feels" available

Obviously it would be better to trade for him and have his bird rights. Johnson for Oladipo works as a trade (and reduces Houston's cap by $5m). What additional compensation would we be willing to add?


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - DanSchwartzgan - 02-13-2021

(02-13-2021, 03:01 PM)omahen Wrote: Perhaps it shouldn't be read to literate, I totally agree. Basically, I would have three scenarios:
1. Contend now: put the non elementary assets in a good vet. This means 2027 FRP, rookies, whatever needed (within reason, of course). We go all in starting this year. 
2. Patient game: continue developing the core with a minor tweak here and there. Like Johnson for Young
3. Reorganize. I never meant this a rebuild scenario. What I thought was - the building blocks don't fit well enough for Mavs to be a contender. Too many faults. More changes are needed for the pieces to fall together to create a contender.

As Mavs are playing now, they basicall have 30 mil of dead money sitting on the bench with Johnson, Powell and Bobi. Another almost dead 6 mil in Burke and Green. This needs to be upgraded. Young is sort of worst case scenario for me and I am affraid his stock has gained a lot of value, as he is playing very well. 

On a bit different topic, I would say Carlisle tightened the rotation not only to get back on track win wise, but also to have a mini traning camp/preseason, time for the key guys to start gelling together, which was not possible due to short preseason, injuries and Covid. I am quite sure he will start adding players to the rotation at some point. At least Green. I also don't believe the drop-off is so great that team couldn't function with deep bench guys getting involved here and there.

That is all quite reasonable.  I don't know how deep the rotation will be after "training camp", but I like the analogy.

Young is certainly more valuable than he was a month ago.  However, that $6mm guarantee next season will scare off some teams (I get that you can stretch-waive it for $2mm).  It comes into play for tax teams and teams trying to maintain cap space (including Chicago).  The Bulls may need to move non-expiring contracts so they can extend LaVine (as Pincus has described) AND use space on free agents.  Swapping him for expiring Johnson makes a lot of sense for Dallas and Chicago.  The question is the price past those two.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - Mavs03 - 02-13-2021

(02-13-2021, 03:03 PM)MFFL Wrote: Oladipo "feels" available

Obviously it would be better to trade for him and have his bird rights. Johnson for Oladipo works as a trade (and reduces Houston's cap by $5m). What additional compensation would we be willing to add?

I'm a big fan of Oladipo.  He provides us with defense and has a bit of an offensive game.  He's a ball handler as well.  Johnson and Terry for Oladipo?  Terry would be the additional compensation.

Luka
Oladipo
JRich
Kleber
KP

Brunson
THJ
DFS
Powell
WCS

Burke and Green rounding out the bench

Iwundu, Hinton, Bey and Boban complete the roster

I like the starting lineup.  The bench is stronger with DFS on the bench.  Oladipo has an opportunity to get acclimated in Dallas for a few months because I believe he would have been a target for us in free agency.  I don't think he stays in Houston.  Miami is a player for sure.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - omahen - 02-13-2021

(02-13-2021, 03:38 PM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: Young is certainly more valuable than he was a month ago.  However, that $6mm guarantee next season will scare off some teams (I get that you can stretch-waive it for $2mm).  It comes into play for tax teams and teams trying to maintain cap space (including Chicago).  The Bulls may need to move non-expiring contracts so they can extend LaVine (as Pincus has described) AND use space on free agents.  Swapping him for expiring Johnson makes a lot of sense for Dallas and Chicago.  The question is the price past those two.


I like Young. But I just don't see him as any difference maker for Mavs, just a marginal upgrade over Johnson. Is it really worth an asset? Is there really nothing better out there for Johnson expiring and whatever assets needed? 

While Johnson wasn't really impressing there was one thing he did well - he was excellent guarding big wings like LeBron.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - Kammrath - 02-13-2021

(02-13-2021, 03:51 PM)omahen Wrote: Young


[Image: giphy.gif]


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - Tyler - 02-13-2021

(02-13-2021, 03:03 PM)MFFL Wrote: Oladipo "feels" available

Obviously it would be better to trade for him and have his bird rights. Johnson for Oladipo works as a trade (and reduces Houston's cap by $5m). What additional compensation would we be willing to add?


When trading with Houston right now, the first question I always ask is "how can we save Fertitta more money?"

I wouldn't touch Wall or Gordon with a 10-foot pole, but something like Johnson/Boban/Terry/cash for Oladipo/House could be a decent monetary haul that would at least get his attention. Houston saves money this year in cash considerations and salary reductions, could save even more if Johnson is interested in a buyout, and they also get out of House's money next year. Terry is a cheap rookie to root for and Boban is a much needed positive (and expiring) locker room personality to make a bad season a little less painful.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - omahen - 02-13-2021

(02-13-2021, 04:23 PM)Tyler Wrote: I wouldn't touch Wall


Is there any other reason beyond his contract?


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - Tyler - 02-13-2021

(02-13-2021, 04:24 PM)omahen Wrote: Is there any other reason beyond his contract?

At least two: injury history and gang associations. He's just not the type of player I think you can trust to stay healthy and not be a distraction in the locker room. There's a reason Washington paid Houston to take him.

Even if one is willing to give him the benefit of the doubt, $90mm over the next 2 years is pretty hard to ignore. I just don't think he's worth it.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - omahen - 02-13-2021

(02-13-2021, 04:46 PM)Tyler Wrote: At least two: injury history and gang associations. He's just not the type of player I think you can trust to stay healthy and not be a distraction in the locker room. There's a reason Washington paid Houston to take him.

Even if one is willing to give him the benefit of the doubt, $90mm over the next 2 years is pretty hard to ignore. I just don't think he's worth it.


On the plus side, he plays defense, would likely be cheap in terms of assets and plays well this season. I understand the concern about his behaviour, but Mavs also kind of need a "bad boy". They severly lack toughness. Did he actually had any problems in his career due to his off court activities? I know there was some bad image during his rehabilitation. But before?


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - Fuerza1 - 02-13-2021

If a move needs to be made, I think the most obvious guy of any relevancy to trade is Josh Richardson.

1.) His defense has not been as advertised -- last night he had a team worst defensive rating of 150 (yikes). Second worst defensive rating on the team for the season (behind KP). 

2.) Expiring contract -- he has been playing better lately but that is mainly on offense; might be playing for that summer payday. If it leads to more wins, great. If not, don't see him in the long term plans. Big month ahead.