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2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived - Printable Version

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RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - dirkfansince1998 - 01-19-2021

(01-19-2021, 11:10 PM)KillerLeft Wrote: I honestly don't think people are watching Randle play. It's true he's having a great season, but that's because NY is playing to his strengths, finally. He is at his best when he has the ball in his hands going downhill. 

For perspective, imagine someone who plays like Johnson (better) who expects and needs the ball to succeed. Sure, Johnson's versatility is intriguing here, as it's something we haven't seen on the Mavs in quite some time. Maybe ever. But, is anyone looking at his offensive game and thinking "yeah, I see EXACTLY how that fits in with this group and think the team needs to double down on that"?

Randle isn't a spacer or a screen and roll guy. He's like Johnson. The Mavs currently have a version of that player they're having trouble integrating, but at least this version is expiring, grateful for the opportunity and happy to come off of the bench. He'll probably be ok with a more limited role as the rotation tightens up, too.

The point I was trying to make is that this season Randle isn´t a liability on defense. Next to a good rim protector he is looking like an above average defender. As you pointed out that is obviously playing to his strength. Put him at center or next to a guy like Kanter and he would probably look just as bad as he used to. Thing is that the Mavs have guys that can do exactly what Robinson and Noel are doing.
Mavs are also struggling on offense. Especially when Luka is on the bench. There is obviously time to make adjustments and I expect some improvement when the missing players return but the lack of shot creation is still an issue. Richardson, DFS and Kleber can help with the spacing and overall flow of the offense (move the ball, cut, set screens) but they don´t have the skills to create for themself.
Just like Johnson Randle can handle the ball but he is simply a way better scorer/playmaker and rebounder. Be it as a shooter, in the post or even as the pick and roll man or ballhandler. Randle is scoring 23ppg on 58% TS. He is the 1st option and sole focus of the opposing defense. Johnson struggles to score vs  bench units.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - cow - 01-19-2021

I like Randle a lot for the same reason I've always liked Kanter. They are the type of players I want to run my second team offense through as they can just get buckets. Randle's not at that point in his career and he wouldn't thrive here with the ball in Luka's hand so much.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - SleepingHero - 01-20-2021

(01-19-2021, 11:41 PM)cow Wrote: I like Randle a lot for the same reason I've always liked Kanter.  They are the type of players I want to run my second team offense through as they can just get buckets.  Randle's not at that point in his career and he wouldn't thrive here with the ball in Luka's hand so much.


To be fair our offense is on life support currently. Outside of Luka and KP, there isn't anyone on the roster that I can say that can reliably get a bucket when needed. 

Maybe Randle is exactly what the Mavs need hmmmm


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - cow - 01-20-2021

(01-20-2021, 12:22 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: To be fair our offense is on life support currently. Outside of Luka and KP, there isn't anyone on the roster that I can say that can reliably get a bucket when needed. 

Maybe Randle is exactly what the Mavs need hmmmm

I'd break it down like this:

-Could he co-exist with Luka and KP in the starting unit?  I've been getting this vibe from KP of late that he isn't in love with being Robin to Luka's Batman and then you'd add another ball dominate guy to the mix.  Seems like a recipe for someone being unhappy.
-Would he be willing to take a sixth man role and feast on second units?  I'm not sure.  He's young and getting more minutes is going to be important for his next contract.
-What would he cost?  New York's been a trade partner in the past but we owe them our pick this year.  Helping us improve our team hurts them in the short term.  If it costs us a future first and I certainly think it would, I don't think I would.  I'm not sure a bunch of seconds and lifting protections gets the deal done (assuming they don't want THJ back, Johnson + Brunson works).  If our 2021 conveys to New York this offseason, we'd finally be at a place to offer two FRPs in future deals which is the starting point for getting a 3rd piece. 
-Does New York think and/or want to make the playoffs?

I just don't think there is a deal to be done for Randle.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - SleepingHero - 01-20-2021

(01-20-2021, 01:07 AM)cow Wrote: I've been getting this vibe from KP of late that he isn't in love with being Robin to Luka's Batman


What makes you say that? I noticed Luka missing KP a bit early on and KP sulking for the play, but other than that it seems like both are on good terms in my eyes? Did I miss something? 


(01-20-2021, 01:07 AM)cow Wrote: Would he be willing to take a sixth man role and feast on second units?  I'm not sure.  He's young and getting more minutes is going to be important for his next contract.


He's been in that role for the majority of his career, most notably in New Orleans that got him the fat contract he's on now. I can see him being fine with a 6th man position. But these days you never truly know. 


(01-20-2021, 01:07 AM)cow Wrote: What would he cost?  New York's been a trade partner in the past but we owe them our pick this year.  Helping us improve our team hurts them in the short term.  If it costs us a future first and I certainly think it would, I don't think I would.  I'm not sure a bunch of seconds and lifting protections gets the deal done (assuming they don't want THJ back, Johnson + Brunson works).  If our 2021 conveys to New York this offseason, we'd finally be at a place to offer two FRPs in future deals which is the starting point for getting a 3rd piece. 


That's always the sticking point. The fact that NYK has an actual incentive to not make us better I believe rules out any real deal from coming to fruition unless it's an overpay. And Randle isn't worth that, even during a career year. Further, I think the cost of 1 additional FRP is the minimum to start negotiations because again, NYK doesn't want to make us a better team. 

For that I think you're right. I don't think there's a deal between Dallas and NYK alone for Randle. Perhaps another team can jump in and provide NYK a prospect they've been eyeing, but other than that I can't see it and the price of admission is already at an uncomfortable level.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - cow - 01-20-2021

(01-20-2021, 01:31 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: What makes you say that? I noticed Luka missing KP a bit early on and KP sulking for the play, but other than that it seems like both are on good terms in my eyes? Did I miss something? 

I don't think you did, more of a gut thing on part. I just get the feeling he's not in love with how he's being used on offense and how ball dominate Luka is. Someone asked him about that Duncan-like bank shot the other night and he mentioned that was always something he had in his bag in New York and not been asked to utilize in Dallas. I might be reading into things too much but KP is super intelligent and thoughtful, so I don't think he's going to ever outright say it and he knows how special Luka is. I don't think he wants out or anything but a more equitable share on the offensive end is probably in order. Might be why he's been so shot happy in his limited minutes so far.

I'm starting to come around on Dipo at this point if we can do it without using a first. Kick the tires to see if he fits, let our medical staff get a real close look and then make an educated decision. Speaking of New York, I can see them pulling out the stops for him this offseason.

Or maybe go the other direction and look for bad contracts you could trade expiring contracts first and pick up assets. Love or Wiggins to get off of Powell and get future picks. I haven't studied this much.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - HanspardsShowerVoice - 01-20-2021

(01-19-2021, 09:32 PM)Scott41theMavs Wrote: Hanspard's take on Burke is hyperbolic. He had a 15+ PER in the bubble, in his earlier stint with the Mavs, and as the starting point guard in NY before the trade. He's good at what he does. He just happens to be slumping right now. He's just fine as a scorer off the bench.

Some fans overrate Burke based on a small sample of bubble games the same way people way overrate draft prospects who had a couple of high profile games in the NCAA Tournament and ignore the entire body of evidence. Why do 12 cherrypicked games define who is as a player instead of the entire 406 he has played  in his career?    If he's good at what he does, why can't he convince the entire NBA market of front offices to pay him more than $3.3 million as an unrestricted free agent?    Why was he sitting there unemployed going into the bubble?   Why did it take a WCS backing out of the bubble and Brunson's injury to put him on the Mavs radar in the first place, when they had previously had him in their building for half a season and then put no effort into retaining him? 

He's not in a slump, this is who he is. His true shooting % for the season (.551) is better than his career number (.499). If anything, we should probably expect that he'll shoot worse as the season goes along. He's just a fringe NBA player. The kind of player who gets released in midseason (from a team desperate for guard play) and then is just hanging out looking for an employer going into the bubble.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - HanspardsShowerVoice - 01-20-2021

(01-19-2021, 09:01 PM)omahen Wrote: You made a great example of Mavs options. As they don't have near enough assets to go after best "surefire" options like Beal or other disgruntled star that might appear on the market, they will have to take educated risks with guys that are "damaged goods" to a certain extent. This includes overpaid guys (Tobias), injury proned guys (like KP), dominantly one way guys (LaVine), guys who performed better in the past but are underperforming at the moment (Oladipo in the bubble) or guys that we believe have potential but didn't show it yet (Bagley Smile ). The price for such a guy fluctuates based on where he is. Randle is a perfect example - he would be likely very cheap in the summer. He is not cheap now after a good start of the season. Same goes for Oladipo, LaVine and many others. Might be Mavs don't have assets for them when they are playing well. So we should start looking for potential stars that are underperforming based on their contracts or expectations. 

I think we desperately need an upgrade but I totally agree it makes no sense to pay remaining assets for someone who is perhaps just on a hot streak. We should more likely be looking at players that are underperforming at the moment. As strange as it may sound Smile

This is exactly right. The Mavs have to be value investors, not momentum investors. This is why I wouldn't discount the Talen Horton-Tucker rumors.   That's the type of free agent the Mavs should be researching.  Players who might be undervalued to their talent level now compared to where they will be down the road.    In THT's case  1) He just turned 20 years old.  2) He's buried on easily the best team in the NBA where it's hard to earn minutes and shots.  Whereas if he played for a lesser talented non-contender he would be given more opportunities  3)  People irrationally anchor their opinions on where players are drafted which is why they desperately want to believe there must be more to WCS/Nerlens Noel than there really is and less to Christian Wood than there really is.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - cow - 01-20-2021

(01-20-2021, 02:13 AM)HanspardsShowerVoice Wrote: This is exactly right.  The Mavs have to be value investors, not momentum investors.  This is why I wouldn't discount the Talen Horton-Tucker rumors.   That's the type of free agent the Mavs should be researching.  Players who might be undervalued to their talent level now compared to where they will be down the road.     In THT's case  1) He just turned 20 years old.  2) He's buried on easily the best team in the NBA where it's hard to earn minutes and shots.  Whereas if he played for a lesser talented non-contender he would be given more opportunities  3)  People irrationally anchor their opinions on where players are drafted which is why they desperately want to believe there must be more to WCS/Nerlens Noel than there really is and less to Christian Wood than there really is.

I'm super high on THT which means there is zero chance the Mavs are interested in him.  The MBT has also been traditionally bad at these type of evaluations but I guess this is a bit different as THT as an end of the bench player rather than a core rotational piece like Barnes/Parsons.  He'll also command nowhere near the investment we put into those two reaches.   On the flip side, the team has done a good job with reclamation projects (Powell, THJ, West, etc.) or fading stars and redefying their roles (Matrix, Tyson, etc.).


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - KillerLeft - 01-20-2021

(01-19-2021, 11:33 PM)SleepingHero Wrote: The thing is though, Randle will not be played to his strengths here. He will not be the focal point of the team while he's on the court. That will be Luka. And when Luka sits that will be KP.

So the question is, how effective does Randle become in a role like Johnson's? Is he still worth that kind of package with worse defense? I lean towards no. We've seen that play out and he's anywhere from a 10-15ppg game on mediocre metrics across the board. Is that what this team needs? 

This was my point, exactly.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - HanspardsShowerVoice - 01-20-2021

I think a good trade possibility to upgrade the offense is Derrick Rose. He's a vet on an expiring deal on a rebuilding franchise, so he shouldn't cost much. You don't have to really change what Luka or KP does to fit him into the team, he slots in easily as an upgrade over Burke in the same role without disrupting continuity. He's providing a pretty steady 20 PER player at 20-25 MPG since he embraced being a 6th man. Carlisle has done well with former stars who are now in the 2nd or 3rd Act of their careers. While he can still get a basket off the dribble, he's changed his game and not the same ball dominant player he was when he was a star in Chicago. Since he's been in Detroit his AST% has been around ~40%. He now feasts on 2nd units, and I actually think Luka, Rose and Richardson would a pretty nice complementary 3 guard lineup if you wanted to play small in the final 4 minutes. If you're going to have Richardson and DFS in your Final 5 lineup, you're going to need offense.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - SkenfromLMF - 01-20-2021

(01-20-2021, 08:44 AM)HanspardsShowerVoice Wrote: I think a good trade possibility to upgrade the offense is Derrick Rose. He's a vet on an expiring deal on a rebuilding franchise, so he shouldn't cost much. You don't have to really change what Luka or KP does to fit him into the team, he slots in easily as an upgrade over Burke in the same role without disrupting continuity. He's providing a pretty steady 20 PER player at 20-25 MPG since he embraced being a 6th man. Carlisle has done well with former stars who are now in the 2nd or 3rd Act of their careers. While he can still get a basket off the dribble, he's changed his game and not the same ball dominant player he was when he was a star in Chicago. Since he's been in Detroit his AST% has been around ~40%. He now feasts on 2nd units, and I actually think Luka, Rose and Richardson would a pretty nice complementary 3 guard lineup if you wanted to play small in the final 4 minutes. If you're going to have Richardson and DFS in your Final 5 lineup, you're going to need offense.

I would like to see how it plays out with Luka, Richardson, DFS, Maxi/THJ, KP before I jump to the conclusion that we need more for the closing lineup...
I would look to improve the team if given the opportunity, but we don't have to make a move YET. AND we don't have to take someone's offer because they call, we are actually in a position of strength when it comes to making a deal (ie we don't need to pay for the privilege of moving Powell)


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - HanspardsShowerVoice - 01-20-2021

(01-20-2021, 10:30 AM)SkenfromLMF Wrote: I would like to see how it plays out with Luka, Richardson, DFS, Maxi/THJ, KP before I jump to the conclusion that we need more for the closing lineup...
I would look to improve the team if given the opportunity, but we don't have to make a move YET. AND we don't have to take someone's offer because they call, we are actually in a position of strength when it comes to making a deal (ie we don't need to pay for the privilege of moving Powell)

I like Josh Richardson.  H fixed a lot of Dallas' perimeter defense from last year so I want him on the floor, but at the same time we should be clear about who he is offensively.   He is 27 years old in his 6th year in the league with a career 12.6 PER and negative offensive plus/minus.  I don't think he has a lot of ceiling left to reach at this point in his career,  pretty much is what he is.   Which isn't bad per se, but it's hard to compete at a Championship Level in the modern NBA with both him and DFS on the floor as your crunchtime 5, unless you are getting a whole lot of offense from the other 3 players.   Especially when Luka  is the only threat to play on-ball. Mavs will run into the same issue that Milwaukee does in the playoffs ... opponents will just endlessly throw bodies at Luka and make someone else beat them, and that's hard to do when you don't play on ball unless you have just insane efficiency. I dunno ...maybe KP becomes a Top 15-20 player. That's the only hope I see with the current roster.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - RDB - 01-20-2021

I don’t follow other teams closely so my knowledge of other players is somewhat limited...maybe others can fill in some blanks.

The player I find SUPER intriguing is John Collins.  He seems to check a lot of the right boxes for the Mavs: basically 20/10 (per 36) for the last 3 years, super efficient shooting %, can stretch the floor, can create, rim runner, great P&R, can guard multiple positions (per Atl. writer, not my observation), doesn’t require heavy usage, good in space, and is only 23.

I know there was some discussion on this board about him late last year but I think it was mostly around TDL assets (or lack thereof).  I have also read that there has been some friction around how Trae is running the team.  My question is could the Mavs be LEGITIMATE players in free agency (if he makes it past the TDL)?  Does he have any power or because he is a RFA, does Atl. hold all the cards on his destination?  As a 23 year old who has likely not reached his ceiling, do others think this could be a good improvement now and a potentially great improvement in the future?  He and C. Wood seem to have a lot of similarities but Collins has done it for 3 years and seems to be more well rounded.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - omahen - 01-20-2021

(01-20-2021, 11:46 AM)RDB Wrote: I know there was some discussion on this board about him late last year but I think it was mostly around TDL assets (or lack thereof).  I have also read that there has been some friction around how Trae is running the team.  My question is could the Mavs be LEGITIMATE players in free agency (if he makes it past the TDL)?  Does he have any power or because he is a RFA, does Atl. hold all the cards on his destination?  As a 23 year old who has likely not reached his ceiling, do others think this could be a good improvement now and a potentially great improvement in the future?  He and C. Wood seem to have a lot of similarities but Collins has done it for 3 years and seems to be more well rounded.


Collins is a restricted free agent, so Atlanta basically controls his destiny. Even if Mavs offer max contract Atlanta can match it. The cost for Dallas to get enough cap space is basically THJ and Richardson. I also doubt Atlanta would be really willing to trade him for what we have to offer. So, unfortunatelly, I doubt there is a way for Mavs to get him. I would love it though


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - SkenfromLMF - 01-20-2021

(01-20-2021, 11:34 AM)HanspardsShowerVoice Wrote: I like Josh Richardson.  H fixed a lot of Dallas' perimeter defense from last year so I want him on the floor, but at the same time we should be clear about who he is offensively.   He is 27 years old in his 6th year in the league with a career 12.6 PER and negative offensive plus/minus.  I don't think he has a lot of ceiling left to reach at this point in his career,  pretty much is what he is.   Which isn't bad per se, but it's hard to compete at a Championship Level in the modern NBA with both him and DFS on the floor as your crunchtime 5, unless you are getting a whole lot of offense from the other 3 players.   Especially when Luka  is the only threat to play on-ball. Mavs will run into the same issue that Milwaukee does in the playoffs ... opponents will just endlessly throw bodies at Luka and make someone else beat them, and that's hard to do when you don't play on ball unless you have just insane efficiency. I dunno ...maybe KP becomes a Top 15-20 player. That's the only hope I see with the current roster.

I get it... I just think that the top 6 in the crunch time rotation need to see the floor together before trading away those pieces. I am all for an upgrade using Powell and maybe the rookies, but I don't know what we can do to upgrade the top 6 with those pieces. I think maybe that between Maxi and THJ we can find that 3rd piece for the offense to work while we have 2 positive defenders on the floor. There might also be times where DFS/Richardson is off and the lineup looks like: Luka; THJ; Jsoh/DFS; Maxi; KP. Let me see what that flexibility does for us before we start moving those pieces.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - Jommybone - 01-20-2021

After 13 games (Richardson has played in 8), how off was our opinion on THJ? Rich needs more familiarity with his role and his open spots. The offense will improve. Just hard to know by how much.

On the other side of the ball, Rich looks like the answer for defending point guards. And the big question that remains is who can stop the bully ball that keeps getting us torched by the likes of Chicago and Toronto.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - cow - 01-20-2021

(01-20-2021, 01:36 PM)Jommybone Wrote: After 13 games (Richardson has played in 8), how off was our opinion on THJ? Rich needs more familiarity with his role and his open spots. The offense will improve. Just hard to know by how much.

On the other side of the ball, Rich looks like the answer for defending point guards. And the big question that remains is who can stop the bully ball that keeps getting us torched by the likes of Chicago and Toronto.

THJ was always destined to take up the mantle of Wes/Barnes.  Everyone has been trying to trade him since he got here.  I think people were surprised by how good of a locker room guy he is and his stock certainly improved with his performance last season but he's at best a neutral defender, streaky shooter who falters when asked to do too much and carries an overpriced contract.  

And speaking of faltering when asked to do too much, that was the main criticism of JRich on the offensive side of the ball with the 76ers.  I've been surprised with his ability to create shots with himself at the rim, less pleased with his outside shot selection at times (that will certainly improve) and don't think he adds much as far as creating shots for others.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - HanspardsShowerVoice - 01-20-2021

(01-20-2021, 11:46 AM)RDB Wrote: I don’t follow other teams closely so my knowledge of other players is somewhat limited...maybe others can fill in some blanks.

The player I find SUPER intriguing is John Collins.  He seems to check a lot of the right boxes for the Mavs: basically 20/10 (per 36) for the last 3 years, super efficient shooting %, can stretch the floor, can create, rim runner, great P&R, can guard multiple positions (per Atl. writer, not my observation), doesn’t require heavy usage, good in space, and is only 23.

I know there was some discussion on this board about him late last year but I think it was mostly around TDL assets (or lack thereof).  I have also read that there has been some friction around how Trae is running the team.  My question is could the Mavs be LEGITIMATE players in free agency (if he makes it past the TDL)?  Does he have any power or because he is a RFA, does Atl. hold all the cards on his destination?  As a 23 year old who has likely not reached his ceiling, do others think this could be a good improvement now and a potentially great improvement in the future?  He and C. Wood seem to have a lot of similarities but Collins has done it for 3 years and seems to be more well rounded.

I never understood why the Hawks didn't want to just give him the max and make him a cornerstone of their franchise with Trae and build on that, but they seem very reluctant to do so.    I get that he's a bit of a tweener on defense ... too slow to guard stretch bigs on the perimeter and doesn't provide enough rim  protection to plant under the rim.   Also maybe his offense is little anitiquated and built around mid range 2, though he's very efficient at making them maybe they don't want to make it a feature  of their offense.   It's very strange.   Maybe they just don't view him as a max player.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL) + Salary Chart - omahen - 01-20-2021

(01-20-2021, 02:33 PM)HanspardsShowerVoice Wrote: Maybe they just don't view him as a max player.


There is no need for them to just give him the max now. They can always do that or match a max offer because he is restricted. They have the luxury to wait. Perhaps he will accept a lower offer to secure his future, perhaps there will not be a max offer on the table in the summer from any other team.