2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived - Printable Version +- MavsBoard (https://www.mavsboard.com) +-- Forum: Boards (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=1) +--- Forum: Dallas Mavericks and the NBA (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=2) +--- Thread: 2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived (/showthread.php?tid=682) Pages:
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RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL w/ $22.7M-$34.4M | FA Aug 2, 5 pm | trading KP top priority? - TXBamanut - 07-13-2021 (07-13-2021, 10:09 AM)Kammrath Wrote: Right, I do NOT think he has any inside connection to DAL to know what the REAL priority is for the new front office. Which honestly, is MORE to the advantage of another front office to spread DISinformation to feed any rift between KP and the front office or prey on any uncertainty with the new coach/front office to try to facilitate a trade under tense circumstances (ala NY) and get a player for less than market value or at very least, try to put Luka's team in turmoil chemistrywise, which is an advantage to all the other teams. There is NO benefit to Dallas, so it's quite obvious to me that this is nonsense....and your take makes it even more convincing to me that it's nonsense. But hey, like I said, it's more wishful thinking that actual reporting of consequence, because you are even admitting you are having to daisy chain a reason together for that. If legionhoopsross put out there that trading Luka was the #1 priority, you'd dismiss it hands down, because it's just a hot take....same here with me. The only difference is that you have KP coming off a frustrating injury year, obviously coming back from surgery too soon, him and Luka obviously not buddy-buddy, him obviously dealing with mobility issues from the afore mentioned injury and obviously dealing with a war of ideology between the superstar, the coach and some moron analytics guy who thinks he's playing NBA2K rather than dealing with people, which shows in how Haralabob DEALS WITH...people (and why they hate his guts) ....but it is what it is. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL w/ $22.7M-$34.4M | FA Aug 2, 5 pm | trading KP top priority? - mvossman - 07-13-2021 (07-13-2021, 09:45 AM)Kammrath Wrote: 100% agree. With ONE addition... get a starting C (like Richaun Holmes) to go next to JC. Putting aside for a second the limited chances of that KP trade or getting JC, why would you want to get Holmes and JC? You are spending nearly 50 mil on the front court and with Powell its roughly 60 mil (assuming Maxi goes out in JC trade). Most JC value is what he can do in the paint and his offensive versatility. If you pair him with Holmes you turn him into Kleber standing out on the 3 point line. One of the reasons I'm not that excited about spending the max and an asset for Collins is the issue of fit. He also seems like a luxury. He is not a defensive anchor, and he can't create for himself or others. He is a great compliment to Luka, but does not really reduce his offensive burden. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL w/ $22.7M-$34.4M | FA Aug 2, 5 pm | trading KP top priority? - Kammrath - 07-13-2021 (07-13-2021, 12:15 PM)VintagePejav2 Wrote: I thought the primary takeaway from last season is that the Mavs top need was another ball-handler that could create his own shot? To me that was a secondary need.....but yes lots of people have come to believe that another ball handler is primary. When Luka is PLAYING (which are the key moments of the game) I think what he needs is an ELITE pick and roll partner, not another guy to have the ball. I feel very strongly about this opinion, but I might be mostly alone in it. Not sure. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL w/ $22.7M-$34.4M | FA Aug 2, 5 pm | trading KP top priority? - Kammrath - 07-13-2021 (07-13-2021, 12:33 PM)mvossman Wrote: why would you want to get Holmes and JC? Because I think an elite, complementary-to-Luka frontcourt is the primary need for this team and the hardest role to fill with random guys from year to year. I think spending $50M on a starting frontcourt that complements Luka is a great decision. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL w/ $22.7M-$34.4M | FA Aug 2, 5 pm | trading KP top priority? - mvossman - 07-13-2021 (07-13-2021, 12:21 PM)ItsGoTime Wrote: 1. The truth to that is not about 1 decision. Sure, we got Luka right. Great, I'm glad we can swing for home runs and get a grand slam. Problem is those other teams are scoring every other inning (1-2 runs per), and we got the 1 grand slam. It's a blow out, but we got that Sportscenter moment! This is not a good analogy. In the NBA its all about the home run. It's nearly impossible to win it all with singles and doubles (just ask Boston). That Luka trade was probably more important than all the decisions combined for any of those franchises in the last 3 years. We should also be careful about comparing apples to oranges. The Suns have been tanking/rebuilding longer than the Mavs. They are at a different stage. They were also extremely fortunate to be in the finals. Every opponent they have played had a key star injury that made a huge difference. Even given that, if I had a choice of entire rosters amongst those teams, I would still probably pick the Mavs. That is how valuable Luka (and that trade) is. As for Donnie, that comment was more about Cuban dysfunction than pro Donnie, but I'm not sure his accepting of working for an overly hands on owner automatically excludes him from being able to make quality GM decisions. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL w/ $22.7M-$34.4M | FA Aug 2, 5 pm | trading KP top priority? - Kammrath - 07-13-2021 (07-13-2021, 12:33 PM)mvossman Wrote: You are spending nearly 50 mil on the front court To be clear (and I think it is an IMPORTANT difference), I am suggesting spending up to $27M on JC (preferably $23-25M if you can get away with it) and something like $15-17M on RH. This is $38-44M between the two. That $6-12M difference is a big deal IMO. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL w/ $22.7M-$34.4M | FA Aug 2, 5 pm | trading KP top priority? - ItsGoTime - 07-13-2021 (07-13-2021, 12:48 PM)mvossman Wrote: This is not a good analogy. In the NBA its all about the home run. It's nearly impossible to win it all with singles and doubles (just ask Boston). That Luka trade was probably more important than all the decisions combined for any of those franchises in the last 3 years.Sure it is. The other team constantly has the bases loaded so the opportunity of a grand slam is always looming (CP3 was a pretty big hit there wouldn't you say?). We keep swinging for the home run and keep striking out. OUR REBUILD STARTED THE SUMMER OF 2011! It's been the FO gift that keeps on giving. This started out about a comment about FOs doing better than ours, which you yourself said there is truth to that. I was pointing out the truth to it. Getting a grand slam through the draft once every 23 years is not a good record. (07-13-2021, 01:01 PM)Kammrath Wrote: To be clear (and I think it is an IMPORTANT difference), I am suggesting spending up to $27M on JC (preferably $23-25M if you can get away with it) and something like $15-17M on RH. This is $38-44M between the two. That $6-12M difference is a big deal IMO.Why are you such a penny pincher?!?! RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL w/ $22.7M-$34.4M | FA Aug 2, 5 pm | trading KP top priority? - VintagePejav2 - 07-13-2021 I think the winning formula includes multiple players that can create their own shot and positional flexibility, particularly on the defensive end. While I like both players, neither Collins nor Holmes hit on either of those qualities. Collins is a 4 and only a 4. Holmes is a 5 and only a 5. Their offensive games are reliant on somebody else creating the space for them. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL w/ $22.7M-$34.4M | FA Aug 2, 5 pm | trading KP top priority? - mvossman - 07-13-2021 (07-13-2021, 12:38 PM)Kammrath Wrote: Because I think an elite, complementary-to-Luka frontcourt is the primary need for this team and the hardest role to fill with random guys from year to year. I think spending $50M on a starting frontcourt that complements Luka is a great decision. Well, to use a Kammrath response, I 100% disagree. Last season, they were the number 1 offense with the front court pairing of KP (much maligned) and Powell (also much maligned). They had the following lineup data: KP/Powell/DFS/Luka/THJ 120 off +11 net (this was the most used starting lineup) KP/Powell/Luka 118 off +8 net This season, after guys recovered from injury they went with KP/Maxi for a 5 out lineup: KP/Maxi/DFS/Luka/JRich 124 off +13 net (this was the most used starting lineup, and included the hated JRich!) KP/Maxi/Luka 123 off +12 net These are elite numbers with a frontcourt people don't want on the team anymore. There is nothing in these number to suggest Luka needs an elite frontcourt in order to excel on offense. There is also not anything to suggest he needs a rim runner (actually the numbers suggest he might be even more effective with 5 out). Watching that Clippers series, what stood out was Luka getting worn down by the 4th quarter, the other 4 starters struggling to take advantage of 4 on 3 when Luka was doubled, and the bench generally sucking when Luka was not on the court. Luka was completely dominating in 5 out (before the silly zone) with his newly developed mid range game. Not once did I think, "if only he had an elite rim runner right now". This teams biggest issue is clearly defense, and that could mean replacing KP with a rim protecting, rim running big (Holmes). But the biggest need offensively is somebody to help relieve some pressure off Luka, and certainly not a second rim runner in the starting lineup. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL w/ $22.7M-$34.4M | FA Aug 2, 5 pm | trading KP top priority? - jesusshuttlesworth82 - 07-13-2021 Gotta agree with those guys. Like both Collins and Holmes. (I was actually wanting Holmes when he signed with Sac) That lineup looks good on paper but not enough dynamic offensive players. Also have some hesitation on Holmes. He was a great buy low hustle big. Not sure how I feel about him getting a 4/$72 type of deal AND maxing Collins. I'd rather get a cheaper center. Theis or Noel type. In general, I want to spend more money on wings/guards than bigs going forward. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL w/ $22.7M-$34.4M | FA Aug 2, 5 pm | trading KP top priority? - Kammrath - 07-13-2021 (07-13-2021, 01:34 PM)mvossman Wrote: what stood out was Luka getting worn down by the 4th quarter, the other 4 starters struggling to take advantage of 4 on 3 when Luka was doubled, and the bench generally sucking when Luka was not on the court Luka WAS worn down....because of conditioning and diet IMO primarily AND because he had to create so much ONE ON ONE because he didn't have an elite pick and roll man. Yes, the other starters failed because there was no rim runner to pressure the D "vertically" (like JC or RH) nor a guy who could get his shot inside (like JC is really good at if you allow him). Yes, the bench was awful when Luka wasn't in. JC is someone who is capable of having some offense worked through him when Luka is on the bench. His inside and midrange game is underrated IMO. And yes, the D was awful....KP of the main rotation guys was by FAR the worst, being -8.8 defensively on/off. I think JC and RH would have both massively improved the D of the Mavs. JC/RH accomplish these things: 1) They EASE the burden on Luka by actually being guys who set good screens AND demand the defense's attention AND cannot just be switched against (because they will punish smaller guys inside). THIS is what Luka needs, not to stand in the corner or at half court without the ball. 2) They make the rest of the starters better and give them more space by spacing the floor "vertically." 3) JC would help make Luka's resting time better if you allow him to be a focal point offensively with some bench guys. 4) They massively improve the D by being bigs who are switchable AND an interior presence. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL w/ $22.7M-$34.4M | FA Aug 2, 5 pm | trading KP top priority? - Okstate819 - 07-13-2021 (07-13-2021, 01:34 PM)mvossman Wrote: This teams biggest issue is clearly defense You know what both your + offensive rating lineups have in common? Luka. We are never going to struggle offensively, especially in the regular season with Luka running the show. Luka/Powell/KP vs Luka/Holmes/Collins - estimated offensive rating - Maybe a wash (Id go with the latter) Luka/Powell/KP vs Luka/Holmes/Collins - estimated defensive rating - Luka/Holmes/Collins (By a mile) Yes we do need a competent second creator. (Id be looking to trade KP for that player like Hayward). But I'm with Kamm, the frontcourt that fits on Offensive but particularly is a plus on defense is a must for a team headlined by Luka. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL w/ $22.7M-$34.4M | FA Aug 2, 5 pm | trading KP top priority? - Scott41theMavs - 07-13-2021 (07-13-2021, 01:46 PM)jesusshuttlesworth82 Wrote: In general, I want to spend more money on wings/guards than bigs going forward. That's a great principle to have. Thing is, with this free agent class, the only great wing available is Kawhi (maybe), who is a pipe dream, and the only great guards available are Ball (whom many here are leery of money-whipping, for whatever reason) and 2 or 3 dudes who need a cane. Oh, and Dennis Schroeder, whom I want no part of. If you don't want Ball and can't get Kawhi, then Collins is likely our best-case scenario for offseason. In free agency, that is. Perhaps we should be thinking entirely in terms of trades. We just don't have a lot of great assets for that (everyone knows that what I really want is Brogdon, but given RC and our lack of assets, that's going to be a tough get). That's one of the reasons I like the idea of trading KP for White or Murray, thus clearing a bunch of cap space, and then getting all four of Portis, Jackson, Tucker, and Payne, and signing the best center possible for the rMLE. Then you've stocked up on a lot of tradeable assets. You haven't really punted on the year because that's a decent enough team around Luka (who, after all, has established himself as a one-man wrecking crew) to have a shot at the second round or better, and can improve through trade (or clearing cap room by shedding tradeable guys) next summer. All that said, I still think Collins is the best-case scenario because the Mavs used their best asset - cap space - to *improve their team,* something they notably haven't done the past two offseasons. Improvement of the talent base is huge this offseason. I am also hoping that Kidd and Sweeney can coach up Green, Terry, Bey, and Hinton into rotation players and/or tradeable assets. That would be huge, no? RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL w/ $22.7M-$34.4M | FA Aug 2, 5 pm | trading KP top priority? - mvossman - 07-13-2021 (07-13-2021, 02:51 PM)Okstate819 Wrote: You know what both your + offensive rating lineups have in common? Luka. We are never going to struggle offensively, especially in the regular season with Luka running the show. I agree with all of this until the conclusion. You are not paying Collins a max contract because of his defense. You could plug DFS or Maxi in the same spot and get roughly the same defense (in some cases better). I have stated that if KP's mobility is lost for good, then he has to go. But you don't need to spend 45 mil to improve on his defense. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL w/ $22.7M-$34.4M | FA Aug 2, 5 pm | trading KP top priority? - Scott41theMavs - 07-13-2021 (07-13-2021, 03:05 PM)mvossman Wrote: I have stated that if KP's mobility is lost for good, then he has to go. But you don't need to spend 45 mil to improve on his defense. Um, what? Defense is what we were looking for primarily when we traded for KP. If, as you said, his mobility is lost for good, then yeah, we'd better improve on his defense. Both Collins and Holmes look like one of their greatest strengths is defensive switchability, which is the best single trait in big men in this day and age. The Mavs could do a lot worse with their offseason. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL w/ $22.7M-$34.4M | FA Aug 2, 5 pm | trading KP top priority? - mvossman - 07-13-2021 (07-13-2021, 02:59 PM)Scott41theMavs Wrote: That's a great principle to have. Thing is, with this free agent class, the only great wing available is Kawhi (maybe), who is a pipe dream, and the only great guards available are Ball (whom many here are leery of money-whipping, for whatever reason) and 2 or 3 dudes who need a cane. Oh, and Dennis Schroeder, whom I want no part of. I'm in the camp that would prefer Ball to the older guys or Collins. But neither Ball or Collins will just cost cap, they will cost overpay and asset to land. I am skeptical either are available. If you do manage to dump KP (don't see SA giving up White or Murray, but who knows) and pick up Holmes, I would probably rather have Norman Powell. Actually, if we land Collins I would probably rather have Norman Powell and spend MLE level money on a center. I just think spending huge on both Holmes and Collins is a misallocation of resources. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL w/ $22.7M-$34.4M | FA Aug 2, 5 pm | trading KP top priority? - mvossman - 07-13-2021 (07-13-2021, 03:08 PM)Scott41theMavs Wrote: Um, what? Defense is what we were looking for primarily when we traded for KP. If, as you said, his mobility is lost for good, then yeah, we'd better improve on his defense. Collins is a 4. He can't guard the rim. Him being "switchable" is expected of a 4. Maxi and DFS are switchable as well and Maxi is actually a better rim protector (not counting his Covid season). The point of the post I was commenting on was that what we really need is defensive improvement, and Collins does not really provide that over what we currently have. And defense is not what we were primarily looking for in KP. You don't spend the max on a defensive center unless its Gobert (and that contract is being questioned). We traded for him because we thought he would be a perfect offensive match with Luka in that he could drag centers out of the paint and generate incredible space, while also being able to protect the rim on the defensive end. We saw the closest version of this the second half of last year including the bubble and playoffs. Its very possible we can get back to that with a healthy offseason, but who knows. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL w/ $22.7M-$34.4M | FA Aug 2, 5 pm | trading KP top priority? - KillerLeft - 07-13-2021 (07-13-2021, 12:35 PM)Kammrath Wrote: I feel very strongly about this opinion, but I might be mostly alone in it. Not sure. Well, one person we absolutely know for sure disagrees, at least according to what he has recently said in public, is Mark Cuban. Now, I have observed that Mark will change his tune from interview to interview, depending on what has happened in between, even if the public speaking events are only weeks apart. But, this could be our first chance to see who is really running things over there, within reason. I predict that Spencer Dinwiddie will be trumpeted as a ginormous free agent signing on the very first day of free agency, and that most people here will buy into a narrative that he is a real accomplishment of an acquisition, and just what the team needs. Personally, I plan on throwing up several times that day. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL w/ $22.7M-$34.4M | FA Aug 2, 5 pm | trading KP top priority? - KillerLeft - 07-13-2021 (07-13-2021, 03:26 PM)mvossman Wrote: And defense is not what we were primarily looking for in KP. I totally agree with this statement, as well as the rest of the ensuing paragraph. However, what I feel like I have learned throughout this KP saga is that even the most offensive-minded center MUST at least be better than average on defense for the team to win. This isn’t a perfect analogy, but my mind kind of goes to the idea that if the best offensive player in major-league baseball happened to be a short stop, his team should be OK with overlooking the fact that he is the worst defensive shortstop and the leak. No matter how many home runs that guy cranks, he’s still going to hurt the team more than he helps, imo. You’re even worse off in basketball, because that shortstop can be moved to a different position, probably, whereas it seems clear to me that Porzingis cannot play any other position in the modern NBA. I think it’s possible to build a good team defense in the NBA if one of your guards and one of your forwards is defensively challenged. But, after living through this KP thing I am more convinced than ever that if your center can’t play defense, your team is not going to be very good defensively. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL w/ $22.7M-$34.4M | FA Aug 2, 5 pm | trading KP top priority? - Kammrath - 07-13-2021 (07-13-2021, 03:48 PM)KillerLeft Wrote: Well, one person we absolutely know for sure disagrees, at least according to what he has recently said in public, is Mark Cuban. Now, I have observed that Mark will change his tune from interview to interview, depending on what has happened in between, even if the public speaking events are only weeks apart. But, this could be our first chance to see who is really running things over there, within reason. Indeed. I am on the record saying that my whole tune this offseason might be completely wrong and QUICKLY proved wrong by the new regime. Cuban MIGHT be the whole issue. I am not ready to go there....but we will potentially soon find out.... |