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2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived - Printable Version

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RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - mvossman - 07-07-2021

(07-07-2021, 07:35 AM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: DeRozan was the subject of the Locked on Mav's Podcast yesterday.  I think everyone has come to the same conclusion...he's an excellent shot creator for himself and others with size.  All of those things are needed.  However, the lack of a three and the poor D are probably killers in the playoffs.  I'd put Dinwiddie in the same category.  Someone else who can't hit a three, but does play good D is Kelly Oubre Jr.  I thought he deserved a little mention here.

When I read the current rumors, I thought they were simply a regurgitation of the Jake Fisher stuff from late February.  I don't doubt that Dallas was looking for a package and expiring Oubre might have been a component.  But, I've kind of ignored the current version of that rumor as I doubt this is the summer of Kelly Oubre.  I'm not sure a THJ for Oubre swap helps you.  But, what if he was the secondary move?  What if getting him was in addition to Collins or Ball or (fill in your favorite $20+ million player)?  Would an athletic defender who is a poor three point shooter be of interest?  He's not a shot creator, but he's not a statue either.  

If you want to make a positive case for Oubre, I think you have to ignore the stint in Golden State.  That didn't work at all.  But he did some interesting things in Phoenix (man that team has changed in a year).  He was an elite shooter from 16' to the 3 point line.  DeRozan has been .429 from this area his three years in SA.  Oubre was .534 his two years in Phoenix.  They are similarly good 0-3 feet and Oubre is the better 3 point shooter (faint praise).  Oubre is terrible 3-10 and 10-16 which is where any comparison to DeRozan ends.  Oubre is actually a good player to have on your fantasy team.  The last year in Phoenix he was 93rd percentile in scoring, 88th percentile in rebounding, 92nd in steals and 82nd in blocks for his position.  Something that surprised me is he was in the 94th percentile as the PnR ball handler (small sample size alert, but interesting nonetheless).  And he can create some in ISO...not elite, some.  In a lineup with KP, Luka and two other shooters, he'd have a great opportunity to attack the basket.

Defensively, there is a level of athleticism that doesn't currently exist on the Mav's.  I suspect we are going to spend at least a little time blitzing the PnR under Kidd.  Oubre can play with force whether on the ball or helping away from the ball.  He can cover a lot of ground when KP needs help.  Like Dorian, he's probably a better help guy than on the ball.  But he has the quicks to take PG's on the switch and the size to handle most 4's in the post.  If you had DFS, Oubre, Luka and say Ball in addition to a non-KP center, you could switch everywhere.  Adding long switchable athletes like Oubre and Ball would be a way of helping if KP's defensive issues persist.

He's a Nike guy.  I'll repeat that this has to be a secondary move if it is a move at all.  Unlike deals sending JRich to Utah, I think GS would actually have some interest in one year of Richardson to be a wing defender off the bench.  You can get to $16.7mm on a deal for Oubre with JRich as the outgoing.  But, you do that deal after spending the $23mm you have left (without THJ and WCS, but with opted in JRich) on a bigger fish.  Move Burke somewhere and you are in the conversation for that main target being any of the guards we've discussed...Conley, Lowry, Powell, Ball.  If JRich opts out, this actually becomes harder as you are now splitting space between Oubre and someone else and lose the $5mm of leverage you get from including Richardson in the deal.  I don't love it, but if you told me we got any of those guards (especially the younger ones) and 26 year old Oubre, I'd be pretty happy.  I mean, I'm happy with 30+ Conley and Batum, so why wouldn't I be happy with a younger duo like Powell/Oubre or Ball/Oubre.

I like the idea of Oubre, but the reality is he is a 3&D player without a good 3 and despite all of his athleticism not particularly good on D.  The comparison to DeRozan is apt in that they both have had bad on/off numbers for most of their careers.  Honestly I think our reaction to him is going to be similar to JRich, and if I had a choice between a long term 15+ contract for Oubre and an opted in 1 year 11 mil contract to see if JRich can bounce back with a new coach, I would probably prefer the later.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - cow - 07-07-2021

(07-07-2021, 05:27 AM)Branduil Wrote: People aren't doubting DDR can score, he can. But there are two major issues which would be amplified with the Mavs:


1. What happens during the 90% of the time when Luka has the ball? If DDR is standing on the perimeter his man will ignore him and come double Luka. If DDR goes inside then he'll be crowding the lane if Luka tries to drive. You can't compare him to Booker or CP3 because even though they're good mid-range shooters, they can ALSO hit threes.

2. DDR is one of the worst defenders in the league. He would compound our already serious issues on that end, we'd be playing 2 guys who can't guard anyone on the perimeter, and Luka isn't great there either.

There are better options who are better fits out there.

I'm not sure why you are replying to my post.  Nothing you said is counter to what I said.  I don't really want DDR.  I've been on team youth movement save for Chris Paul.

Regarding Luka and 90%.  Part of the reason this team should want a secondary ball handler and facilitator is that you want to bring that 90% way down if for no other reason than to keep him fresh in the clutch and throughout the season.  It is the same reason I'd like to see the team get better at rebounding.  Triple doubles are great and all but at some point the team is relying on him too much.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - JamesConway - 07-07-2021

https://twitter.com/thenbacentral/status/1412834617758044160?s=21

https://twitter.com/massey_evan/status/1412819526329192448?s=21


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - cow - 07-07-2021

That much money for Oubre would be a mistake.  I just don't think he's ever going to live up to the early potential we saw in Washington.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - SleepingHero - 07-07-2021

(07-07-2021, 01:30 PM)cow Wrote: That much money for Oubre would be a mistake.  I just don't think he's ever going to live up to the early potential we saw in Washington.

I'd be so incredibly mad if the Mavs threw 20+ million at Kelly Oubre.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - Kammrath - 07-07-2021

"consider".....

Very generic language....I would say OF COURSE the Mavs will "consider" all the possible options. Smile


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - mvossman - 07-07-2021

(07-07-2021, 01:32 PM)SleepingHero Wrote: I'd be so incredibly mad if the Mavs threw 20+ million at Kelly Oubre.

Hell I would be pissed if they spent more than MLE on him.  He would be Wright/JRich 3.0.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - SleepingHero - 07-07-2021

(07-07-2021, 01:40 PM)mvossman Wrote: Hell I would be pissed if the spent more than MLE on him.  He would be Wright/JRich 3.0.


Ah, I'd be more interested at the MLE. I wouldn't be over the moon with that, but it's more stomachable. 

He still can score and is a switchable forward. At least he could prove to be a useful bench piece at that price.

But 20 million? I'd probably vomit and pass out. And then Cuban will parade him around as signing "their guy" 

Ugh please no.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - Mavs2021 - 07-07-2021

(07-07-2021, 01:32 PM)SleepingHero Wrote: I'd be so incredibly mad if the Mavs threw 20+ million at Kelly Oubre.

I´d be mad at 20/3. Big Grin

I doubt there is a big market for Oubre or Conley to be honest.

I think Conley is purely agent-driven to get the best offer from the Jazz. They´ll eventually work it out.

Oubre is probably a bit of both, agent and Warriors. I don´t think there is much interest in him at all. He´ll end up getting MLE money somewhere and in that case the Warriors lose him without any S&T compensation.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - Tyler - 07-07-2021

(07-07-2021, 01:12 PM)JamesConway Wrote: https://twitter.com/thenbacentral/status/1412834617758044160?s=21

"Teams such as the New York Knicks, San Antonio Spurs, Mavericks and Miami Heat can create the requisite cap space and will consider signing Oubre, according to multiple reports."

When reading Twitter headlines from aggregation accounts, I find it useful to track down the original article. In this case, it's from a Bay Area newspaper.

https://www.mercurynews.com/2021/07/07/source-warriors-kelly-oubre-jr-on-same-page-in-free-agency/?utm_campaign=socialflow&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_content=tw-mercnews&&__twitter_impression=true

The part I find funny is that most of the article is a straight-up interview with Oubre's agent Torrel Harris, but when getting to the salary demands and rumored interested teams the author abruptly switches attribution to "league sources" and "multiple reports." LOL. How naïve does he think we are?

I do have to admire Harris for the work he's putting into keeping Oubre's name out there in the media rumor mill. It's probably all smoke and mirrors, but I respect the hustle.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - VintagePejav2 - 07-07-2021

There is apparently a lot of momentum in the building towards a Conley + Oubre free agency, after the inevitable Kawhi strikeout. Utah is thirsty for some perimeter defenders and J-Rich + Kleber for Conley fits (Utah expects to let Niang walk as well). It will not be $20M per for Oubre.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - mvossman - 07-07-2021

(07-07-2021, 03:13 PM)VintagePejav2 Wrote: There is apparently a lot of momentum in the building towards a Conley + Oubre free agency, after the inevitable Kawhi strikeout. Utah is thirsty for some perimeter defenders and J-Rich + Kleber for Conley fits (Utah expects to let Niang walk as well). It will not be $20M per for Oubre.

I can think of a lot of guys out there that I would much rather pair with Conley than Oubre, and many of them will cost less.

Not sure Utah will be interested in S&T given current tax situation.  And if they do, don't think I want to give up Maxi at 8 unless we can do something really worth while with that extra cap.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - SleepingHero - 07-07-2021

(07-07-2021, 03:13 PM)VintagePejav2 Wrote: There is apparently a lot of momentum in the building towards a Conley + Oubre free agency


VP do you have some inside sources? Are you apart of Cubes new MBT?


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - VintagePejav2 - 07-07-2021

(07-07-2021, 03:28 PM)SleepingHero Wrote: VP do you have some inside sources? Are you apart of Cubes new MBT?

Pretty good source told me..

Plan A Kawhi (they’re trying but unlikely)
Plan B Conley & Oubre (Conley has a lot of fans, especially Dirk; Luka and Oubre know each other from BDA, Nico has a relationship from Nike)

Thinks Collins signs a max offer sheet with the Spurs


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - omahen - 07-07-2021

(07-07-2021, 03:43 PM)VintagePejav2 Wrote: Plan B Conley & Oubre (Conley has a lot of fans, especially Dirk; Luka and Oubre know each other from BDA, Nico has a relationship from Nike)


I could think of a worse offseason SmileOubre on a reasonable deal is worth taking a shot. Mavs really lack athletic guys. I would certainly expect an asset from Utah for Maxi.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - Chicagojk - 07-07-2021

(07-07-2021, 03:43 PM)VintagePejav2 Wrote: Pretty good source told me..

Plan A Kawhi (they’re trying but unlikely)
Plan B Conley & Oubre (Conley has a lot of fans, especially Dirk; Luka and Oubre know each other from BDA, Nico has a relationship from Nike)

Thinks Collins signs a max offer sheet with the Spurs

Thanks for sharing.   

Oubre doesn't do much for me even while admitting he is still relatively young and definitely has upside due to his athleticism.    I viewed him as a better shooter but his stats certainly do not reflect this.   Sort of very J-Rich in percentages.

Also, he has been passed around a little.   Washington traded him for very little return.   He popped a little in PHX but there were reports they were looking to move him and not extend.   He was a part of the Chris Paul trade, so you can't ding him for this.  But apparently PHX decided he would not be in their long term plans.   Then last year in GS was very disappointing.   He should have played well in that system as GS really needed more scoring and that offense gets you a lot of open looks.   

So sure he could find the right place at the right time and really flourish, but I would prefer a different direction.  And with 3 teams in the last 3ish years and up and down production, there is no way he is getting 20 million.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - JamesConway - 07-07-2021

https://twitter.com/basketballtalk/status/1412879352157642755?s=21


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - SleepingHero - 07-07-2021

(07-07-2021, 03:54 PM)Chicagojk Wrote: Also, he has been passed around a little.   Washington traded him for very little return.   He popped a little in PHX but there were reports they were looking to move him and not extend.   He was a part of the Chris Paul trade, so you can't ding him for this.  But apparently PHX decided he would not be in their long term plans.   Then last year in GS was very disappointing.   He should have played well in that system as GS really needed more scoring and that offense gets you a lot of open looks.   

So sure he could find the right place at the right time and really flourish, but I would prefer a different direction.  And with 3 teams in the last 3ish years and up and down production, there is no way he is getting 20 million.


My problem with Oubre is that some really good teams are passing him up/don't want him in their long term plans.

Kerr couldn't get anything from him all season and the Warriors are unlikely to resign him. He had ALL the opportunity to shine there and it never came. OKC didn't even let him suit up for them before trading him the Warriors after the CP3 trade.

PHX were 12-5 without him (including 8-0 in the bubble) in his final season there. 

Oubre on paper fills a lot of needs that we're looking for. He can score in bunches. He's a switchable forward. He can defend at times. He's young. Despite all of that there is lots of evidence that Oubre isn't a winning player.

If he can be a buy low type of guy I'll be all for it because to me he's a great candidate for a reclamation, but if he's searching for 20+ mil then I hope the Mavs stay very far away. 8mm per year is what I'd aim for.

(07-07-2021, 04:23 PM)JamesConway Wrote: https://twitter.com/basketballtalk/status/1412879352157642755?s=21

So it seems like Collins can be had for a max contract and a little extra in a SnT.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - dirkfansince1998 - 07-07-2021

(07-07-2021, 04:27 PM)SleepingHero Wrote: Oubre on paper fills a lot of needs that we're looking for. He can score in bunches. He's a switchable forward. He can defend at times. He's young. Despite all of that there is lots of evidence that Oubre isn't a winning player.


He is the kind of long and athletic wing that is an ideal fit in the modern NBA. But as you pointed out. Only on paper. Impact metrics suggest that he is below average on defense. His shooting percentages are horrible. Sounds like an even more overpaid version of Derrick Jones Jr. Not a 20m per year starter.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - JamesConway - 07-07-2021

Kleber and Brunson make a sense for ATL in a SnT. Kleber could play the Collins role cheaper and they are reportedly looking for a backup PG. Should be a solid base for SnT negotiations.

If you’re convinced he’s the guy then I guess you have to try. I really don’t know about him.