2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived - Printable Version +- MavsBoard (https://www.mavsboard.com) +-- Forum: Boards (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=1) +--- Forum: Dallas Mavericks and the NBA (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=2) +--- Thread: 2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived (/showthread.php?tid=682) Pages:
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RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - RedFlag41 - 06-14-2021 What do you guys think of these off season ideas and their feasibility: 1. Trade KP for Kyle Lowry via S and T, 2. Sign THJ for 17M using capspace, 3. sign Richaun Holmes for 17M, 4. Sign PJ Tucker using RMLE, 5. Sign Frank Ntilikina using BAE, Potential Roster: Starters: PG Luka SG Lowry SF DFS PF Tucker C Holmes Bench: PG Brunson SG Franky SF THJ PF Maxi C DP Lowry will provide leadership playmaking, scoring, defense. Holmes will provide interior presence, pick and roll partner for Luka and Lowry. Frank Ntilikina will provide defense off thr bench alonside JB. Tucker will provide defense and corner of the three shooting. THJ will provide scoring punch off the bench. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - dirkfansince1998 - 06-14-2021 One thing I have noticed in a few proposals that is not possible. Cannot use the BAE and cap space at the same time. Teams that create and use cap space forfeit the BAE. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - SleepingHero - 06-14-2021 (06-13-2021, 02:50 PM)StepBackJay Wrote: My list of "dump" players you can potentially get without using cap space or MLE: Love this list. I'd add some others:
RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - SleepingHero - 06-14-2021 (06-13-2021, 03:29 PM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: Instead though, I'm going to convince Charlotte I want Devonte Graham instead of THJ. Charlotte desperately needs a center. Their plan would be to hang onto his $4.7mm hold, grab a center with space and sign Graham above the cap. Yes, Graham is restricted, but if a team signs him to an offer, they can't match AND get their center. They only have $20.6mm to work with if you assume they want to keep the Graham hold, the Martin brothers and Jalen McDaniels (and I do). BTW, that $20.6mm in space does not include the cost of their pick. They are walking away from holds on Monk, Zeller and Biyombo in this scenario. I've been seeing off and on a lot of Devonte Graham love and for the life of me I just don't understand it. Can someone please illuminate to me how signing a 6'1 shooting guard who's career splits are 37/37/85 to a massive deal fixes our problems? I'll admit I do not watch a lot of Charlotte, so perhaps my boxscore preaching is leading me astray... But on the face of it, it seems to me that Graham is an undersized guard that can't do anything other than spot up. 44% of Graham's shots this year came off the spot up where he shot 42% from 3. 40% of his shots came off the dribble and he shot a harrowing 37% from 2 and 29% from 3. Anywhere in the paint Graham shot 37%. Meaning this dude is good at sitting in a corner and waiting for his chance to launch it, which I'm fine with but he cannot create off the dribble at all which was our biggest issue when Luka went to the bench. I'm not okay with throwing a massive offer to scare CHA away for such a one dimensional guy. I'm skeptical of his defense given his size as well. Bob Myers has been circulating the news recently with a series of quotes from his exit interview that I think applies to a lot of our players: "We’ve played some great shooters in the playoffs and have neutralized them. Because if that’s all you can do – shoot the three – you’re not necessarily the weapon we sometimes make you out to be in the regular season" [b]"That two feet of space you had in the regular season, is two inches [in the playoffs]. You watch how many can not make a shot in the playoffs and shoot 42% in the regular season. You watch the playoffs; you’ll know who can play basketball"[/b] That last quote applies especially to Maxi. This line of thinking completely changed my viewpoint to building a team. You need players that can do everything in the playoffs, because it's a totally different game. It's near impossible to win anything big with undersized guys eating up a lot of minutes. The only 2 having any consistent championship level success being Isiah Thomas and Allen Iverson. Now make those guys one dimensional and that path becomes even steeper. I'm a hard pass on Graham unless he wants to come for the BAE and play the 6th man role. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - omahen - 06-14-2021 (06-14-2021, 04:07 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: Can someone please illuminate to me how signing a 6'1 shooting guard who's career splits are 37/37/85 to a massive deal fixes our problems? I don't think anyone is speaking about a massive deal related to Graham. Roughly 15 per is not massive imho. Graham plays defense, can shoot a three and can create for others to some extent. So he is a guy who could look well next to Luka. Of course not a star by any account. (06-14-2021, 04:07 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: It's near impossible to win anything big with undersized guys eating up a lot of minutes. The only 2 having any consistent championship level success being Isiah Thomas and Allen Iverson. Raptors won it with Lowry and FVV both at 6'0. In SA championship days Parker was 6'2 and Mills 6'0. Phil Jackson Lakers featured Fisher at 6'1. Boston had Rondo at 6'1. Probably many more cases showing it is not really a problem having a smaller guy as your starter. We would not expect Graham to be our main star. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - SleepingHero - 06-14-2021 (06-14-2021, 04:40 AM)omahen Wrote: I don't think anyone is speaking about a massive deal related to Graham. Roughly 15 per is not massive imho. I think 15 per is massive for a guy like Graham. He's at best a 25mpg kind of guy on a good team that would probably be served best as a 15mpg spot microwave guy. In terms of defense, a quick look at Grahams counting stats says he's a below average defender with limitations. Opponents shot above their career averages across the board below the 3pt line with Graham guarding him. Graham defending the 3pt line is slightly above average though in both of his last 2 years opponents shot much higher being guarded by him. Did he get better? Or did he have an outlier year? Only time will tell. I just think there are several better options before Graham that the Mavs should focus on. If they want an RFA that can create for others and shoot well then Lonzo Ball is there. (06-14-2021, 04:40 AM)omahen Wrote: Raptors won it with Lowry and FVV both at 6'0. In SA championship days Parker was 6'2 and Mills 6'0. Phil Jackson Lakers featured Fisher at 6'1. Boston had Rondo at 6'1. Probably many more cases showing it is not really a problem having a smaller guy as your starter. We would not expect Graham to be our main star. Consistent championship level success rules out both FVV and Lowry. I know you're not trying to make this point, but the talent difference between Graham and guys like Tony Parker and Rondo could fill the Grand Canyon. Mills and Fisher are good comparisons because both were bench guys that played a limited role on their teams and were asked to do very specific things. Mills was paid 3.5 mil a year during their championship window. Fisher was the 4th-6th highest paid guy on those Lakers teams topping out at 5 mil. Graham commanding 10 mil more than those guys per year to me is a gigantic waste of money. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - DanSchwartzgan - 06-14-2021 (06-14-2021, 05:01 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: I think 15 per is massive for a guy like Graham. He's at best a 25mpg kind of guy on a good team that would probably be served best as a 15mpg spot microwave guy. I'm not sure I'd consider $14.2mm "a lot of love" for Graham. The ProFitX website places his value at about $10 million. I think I was pretty clear to say there is a range of numbers that will trade match JRich and satisfy BYC. In a world where all possibilities are on the table, there are certainly guys you'd rather have. But, that isn't the world we live in. We are NOT likely to have cap room. THJ is coming back. JRich very well could opt-in. So, unless KP is traded, we are dealing with the MLE and trades...period. Oh, and we really don't have any assets to send out in deals. What we are really looking for is teams that are in a pinch that might believe JRich or WCS to be "better than nothing". I guess you could apply the Bob Myers quote to anyone you don't happen to like. Lonzo's profile from three is very similar to (Graham's). He's in the 57th (52nd) percentile on Pull Up 3's, the 69th (81st) percentile on Corner 3's and 78th (86th) percentile on C&S 3's. Neither player gets many open looks. How does Bob Myers apply to one and not the other. BTW, on a team with Luka and in the role either would play here...Advantage Graham. Graham has led his team two years in a row in Simple Rating (82games.com). Charlotte was 5.4 points better defensively when he was on the floor (NO is 1.6 points worse defensively when Lonzo is on the floor). Graham was a team leading +7.5 in total On - Off (+8.0 the year before). He's the 6th best PG in the league in total RPM and 7th best at D-RPM (Lonzo is 3rd and 11th). There is something odd in Graham's counting stats because a lot of the compilation stats (LEBRON, RAPTOR and BPM) aren't kind to him defensively. But, those stats love him offensively (90th percentile plus on average). I'm not sure how to handicap the two guys defensively. Both spend a high percentage of their time guarding the point of attack. Just what we need. Ball has better counting stats and Graham appears to have better on-court impact. Still, I probably take the taller more switchable guy. Neither Graham nor Lonzo get to the rim very often or very effectively. But Graham has a 90th percentile assist rate on drives and is in the 95th percentile in Isolation PPP. Ball is in the 66th percentile in Drive Assist Rate and the 5th percentile in PPP in Isolation. Again, on the Mav's we are talking about a "secondary" playmaker. Off the ball, but when things break down we need you to hit an open three or create something for yourself of for your teammates. Graham crushes Ball on both counts and is better than Ball at Corner 3's. We have tried two guys who can't hit 3's or won't take them in this spot the last two years and neither has panned out. Graham isn't shy and is used to playing with another guard who can create and his on-court data says it worked. Lonzo was so good at running his team that NO turned to Point-Zion late in the season. One guy costs $20 million and is basically unattainable. The other costs something between $10mm and $14mm and plays for a team that just drafted a potential superstar at the same position. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - ClutchDirk - 06-14-2021 https://www.inquisitr.com/6492296/mike-conley-viewed-as-ambitious-free-agent-target-for-mavericks- Just a what if article not a real rumor... RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - khaled1987 - 06-14-2021 (06-14-2021, 03:10 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: What happened to the guy? In 17/18 he was really good scorer, and even in 18/19 playoffs he was decent playoff performer. Loved him back then but didn't follow him after. Is it related to injury? or was his game exposed? If it isn't for injury, then he might be a reclamation project I would love to get RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - RedFlag41 - 06-14-2021 What if the Mavs sign and trade for Kyle Lowry in exchange for Dwight Powell, Maxi Kleber, and Jalen Brunson; Keep Kristaps Porzingis ; And, sign John Collins to a max contract, sign PJ Tucker for thr RMLE. Starting Line up: PG Luka SG Lowry SF Tucker PF Collins C KP Bench: PG Terry SG Burke SF Green PF DFS C Bobi RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - omahen - 06-14-2021 (06-14-2021, 08:05 AM)khaled1987 Wrote: What happened to the guy? In 17/18 he was really good scorer, and even in 18/19 playoffs he was decent playoff performer. Loved him back then but didn't follow him after. He is JRich with twice as high salary. I see absolutely no sense in trading for him, unless it is part of "dump KP" campaign. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - khaled1987 - 06-14-2021 (06-14-2021, 08:29 AM)omahen Wrote: He is JRich with twice as high salary. I see absolutely no sense in trading for him, unless it is part of "dump KP" campaign. Can't say you are wrong based on past 2 season tbh RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - mvossman - 06-14-2021 (06-14-2021, 07:19 AM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: I'm not sure I'd consider $14.2mm "a lot of love" for Graham. The ProFitX website places his value at about $10 million. I think I was pretty clear to say there is a range of numbers that will trade match JRich and satisfy BYC. In a world where all possibilities are on the table, there are certainly guys you'd rather have. But, that isn't the world we live in. We are NOT likely to have cap room. THJ is coming back. JRich very well could opt-in. So, unless KP is traded, we are dealing with the MLE and trades...period. Oh, and we really don't have any assets to send out in deals. What we are really looking for is teams that are in a pinch that might believe JRich or WCS to be "better than nothing". They are surprisingly similar players. The biggest difference is size. Ball has more defensive versatility as he can handle wings as well as guards. I am concerned with Graham might be a poor matchup in some situations due to his size. If he can hold his own against the point of attack from bigger guards, then he makes a lot of sense as the Wright/JRich replacement. The other difference is the nature of their play-making abilities. Graham is a more traditional point guard who would excel running the second unit. Ball is a great passer and has high IQ. He is not a guy running P&R but he is a guy that can take the lead in transition (taking some responsibility off Luka) as well as make quick decisions to take advantage of 4 on 3 when Luka gets doubled. For me the most important role is a guy who fits well with Luka on the starting unit and Ball seems perfect in that role. He brings spacing, volume scoring and BB IQ to the starting unit, while being able to cover for Luka to some degree on the defensive end. Is he unattainable? If he has his heart set on Chicago then probably so. If he is interested in playing with Luka, then not sure why we couldn't get him. Worst case we send Brunson in a S&T (although I like the Ball/Brunson combo in the second unit where Brunson is basically the mini Luka). But if we can't get Ball, then Graham is somebody to consider. He makes more sense to run the second unit. His value really hinges on whether he is an asset or a liability defensively with the starters. He is kind of an awkward fit with Brunson. I would be willing to trade Brunson away to get Ball if I had to, but not for Graham unless I was sure he was a plus defender against the point of attack. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - Chicagojk - 06-14-2021 I am really having trouble really liking any move/plan that factors both KP and Hardaway back next year. I am just not thrilled with the options. I want Hardaway back. And at this stage, I want KP back just as an asset more than anything else. I think Hardaway is a good fit, but my mantra is to upgrade your starting unit this offseason, and I am really questioning how this is possible if Hardaway is resigned. This leaves the Mavs trying to improve around the edges....the exact spot I don't want to be in. Therefore, I am really questioning if letting Hardaway go and signing Derozen and a 3 and D wing like Danny Green or Batum would be the better direction. Derozen may not be as good as a fit as Hardaway, but he is the better player and then Green/Batum/someone similar would be signed a little over MLE. This would give you better odds and would also give you a defender/shooter to add to your bench. It really scares me when you look at the MLE guys from last offseason. Most of them didn't really help their teams that much. More than likely they are good rotation pieces. This is going to be a weird offseason. I am already checking instagram accounts and wonder if Luka will like KP's offseason post (he didn't). I am also seeing if Cuban likes Jalen's posts as I think he is a sneaky guy the front office uses in a trade (I would like to see Jalen back). I am also bracing for the probably false reports throwing Mavs in every possible trade. I will try to not let a probably false report frustrate me. But this is a huge offseason. I have difficulty believing the Mavs re-sign Hardaway, use the MLE, find a spare trade for Richardson (if he opts in) and try it again. They are feeling the heat now. I expect something bigger....but will they deliver? RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 06-14-2021 (06-13-2021, 10:44 PM)RedFlag41 Wrote: How much would Lonzo Ball command in the free agency market do you think? I bet 20+ but it sort of is irrelevant to the Mavs if he doesn't want to come here (which all indications are that he wants to go to Chicago). RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 06-14-2021 (06-13-2021, 11:10 PM)mvossman Wrote: That would be a terribly disappointing off season. This is our last year where we have any room to maneuver and we don't improve the starting lineup at all? So it would be nice if there was a silver bullet like just signing Kawhi but there isn't. I think you need to improve the roster. I am penciling in Powell bc I actually think he played the best with both KP and Luka. I feel like when Maxi was out there the offense didn't look as good because Luka didn't have his roll man which has played with pretty much his entire career. Plan A for the Mavs (imo) is to upgrade Powell to Collins. If there's no Collins then I think finding a Powell upgrade gets harder. Certainly KP is on the trade block. I wouldn't rule out a Turner trade or something like that. I just think with KP's stock being so low he might be around a little while longer. In the meantime I feel like Lauri on a discount deal would be a talent upgrade with some upside. Enough so that I feel like Mavs would prioritize him over some other targets. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 06-14-2021 (06-14-2021, 03:10 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: Love this list. I'd add some others: I think Bledsoe qualifies. I actually think Raptors might not pickup Baynes option so I see him as a FA target but its unclear. I have thought about Wall before but his contract is just too ridiculous. And Houston will not want to give up assets to dump him, they are more likely to do the opposite which is take on contracts for assets. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - Chicagojk - 06-14-2021 Ouch...happy Monday. Just saw an alert for an athletic article the title: Inside the Mavericks front office, Mark Cuban's shadow GM is causing a rift with Luka Doncic. looks like it is about Voulgaris. I was excited when the Mavs hired him and who knows what he is doing, but they really haven't done anything right in the past two years as an organization. If Luka does not like him, then get rid of him. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - Chicagojk - 06-14-2021 Not a positive article. Not a good look. Fix it Mark! RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - jesusshuttlesworth82 - 06-14-2021 (06-14-2021, 04:07 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: I've been seeing off and on a lot of Devonte Graham love and for the life of me I just don't understand it. Analytics darling. He's an undersize shooting guard in a PG body so he'd work with Luka. 38% last two years on high volume 3s. Wouldn't be the worst THJ or even Seth Curry replacement. However, I'm not buying the defense. |