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2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived - Printable Version

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RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - SleepingHero - 06-12-2021

(06-11-2021, 06:27 PM)StepBackJay Wrote: To me the sticking point would be Washington's pick #15. I have a feeling they will make a deal because otherwise they are locked into mediocrity anyway.


I think the sticking point is that the Mavs don't want to give up KP for a bunch of spare parts that have done nothing to contribute to winning while they were on a losing team. 

KP isn't being moved for anything less than 2 good solid role players. Again I believe that's the FLOOR of any KP trade that the Mavs are looking for. That might not be KP's supposed value to other GM's but it doesn't matter. Mavs set the price. It's up to the other teams to pay.

For that reason, he's going to be in a Mav jersey next season. The real goal this offseason is turning THJ/Brunson/DFS/Maxi from our 3rd/4th/5th/6th best players to 5th/6th/7th/8th best.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - Mavs2021 - 06-12-2021

(06-11-2021, 06:27 PM)StepBackJay Wrote: I don't think its hard at all to get salaries synced up. I agree that Mavs wouldn't be bothered by Bertans contract. Bertans is a high volume shooter so 16/yr is actually pretty good. I am pretty sure Mavs would want Avdija and Bryant which would put you at 28-29 which is good enough for salary matching. Avdija has some promise, Bryant is sort of a flier with his injury but on a 1 yr deal.

To me the sticking point would be Washington's pick #15. I have a feeling they will make a deal because otherwise they are locked into mediocrity anyway.

In this move they would be losing two starters that were both injured this year (Bryant, Avdija) for KP. If they want to start a Hachimura/KP front court they could go that route and just figure out SF. Hutchinson is another SF they drafted and they would probably have the full MLE to round out the roster.

Say the other trade pieces are

Bryant (coming of an ACL injury)
Avdija (coming of a hairline fracture fibula)
Bonga (RFA, S&T)
15th pick

For starters two of these players had significant injuries themselves and you are taking a chance on two unproven talents in Avdija/Bonga.

There is a chance Bryant becomes a 20 PPG offensive stud, Bonga/Avdija become shutdown defenders and the 15th pick turns into Donovan Mitchell, but there is also a chance none of these things happens, so the 2nd big part of such a strategic trade is capspace in 2022. Now you can actually try and sign a 2nd star. You don´t get that, if Bryant/Bertans account for nearly 80% of Porzingis long-term salary. Therefore I think it should be very difficult to match salaries, unless you find some RoLo overpay workaround OR the Wizards include Hachimura.

And that´s assuming the Mavs would be willing to take on any of these "projects", when they usually want finished pieces.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - Chicagojk - 06-12-2021

I did my third deep dive of our rookies the last two days by watching all their college highlights.    I still think I was right in thinking Green was a tad of a reach but as a group all 4 had a lot to be excited about looking forward.   It is not the most important thing for this franchise, but their development is very important for this franchise.  

I wasn't expecting much from any of our rookies this year, but if I am being honest it was disappointing that they mostly looked lost (outside of a few appearances from Green) when they got on the floor.   Especially as you see a few 30 point games from Maxi, a few big performances by Malachi Flynn, etc.   As we saw, it wasn't like the Mavs roster was filled with amazing talent either.  This offseason is big for all of them.   Who knows if all 4 are back, but it will be interesting to see if any development happened behind the scenes.   

In my perfect world, they are hiding in plain site.  As in, in time they pop and look like good young rotational pieces.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 06-12-2021

(06-11-2021, 10:36 PM)mvossman Wrote: Turner is a good defensive player, but there is no way he can make up for Luka/THJ/Bertans.  That lineup would be a shitshow defensively and there is still nobody to take some pressure off Luka offensively.

Well you could bring Bertans off the bench still and start Maxi or even Powell next to Turner. Part of the appeal of Turner is that I think he can play with a Maxi-type or Powell. Bertans being a flamethrower off the bench would still work.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 06-12-2021

(06-11-2021, 10:45 PM)mvossman Wrote: If KP is struggling to play the 5 defensively due to lack of mobility, how is it going to work with him playing the 4?  Again, Turner is a really good rim protector, but he can't cover KP at the 4 and THJ and Doncic.

If that playoff series taught anything it was that our biggest issues are defense, second unit when Doncic is off the floor, and better offensive decisions by supporting cast when Doncic is doubled.  This does not really address any of that.

This has been my point for a while now. KP does not have strength, footwork and now agility to anchor the defense as the 5. Now maybe a full offseason can help him get back to where he was and improve in that area. I am skeptical that he can. I would rather him play the 4 with of course the ability to play some 5 in the game, just not FT.

He already gets attacked with PnR but when he's guarding Crowder he will be attacked not with a roller but with a shooter. Mavs won't run zone all game so he would have to figure out how to cover these situations on the perimeter. These situations aren't unsolvable but it means you are likely giving up some perimeter shots that are hard to contest in PnR defense. 

I like the upside of him being a weak-side shot blocker vs the primary guy underneath the basket. WCS has been that at times and done well. WCS helps our defense but kills our offense. KP's foot speed is actually not the problem as much as his lateral movement and ability to swivel. I think being on a stand-still shooter like Crowder and being able to help with weak-side shot blocking would be great. Again if he can't deal with PnR then teams will just attack him relentlessly there.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 06-12-2021

(06-11-2021, 11:10 PM)Branduil Wrote: Thinking about it, if the Mavs could include JRich and Burke in a Kleber-for-Collins trade, whether going to the Hawks or a 3rd team with cap space, they could operate as an over-the-cap team. So trade for Collins, re-sign THJ, and go after guys like Reggie Jackson for the MLE, and maybe Batum with the BAE.

Luka / Brunson
Jackson / THJ
DFS / Green
Collins / Batum
KP / WCS / DP

I think the way to get Collins is money whip him with the max SnT amount (29 first year) and so I don't see an over-the-cap route unless you are able to send quite a bit of salary in a multi-team trade. Maxi seems like a suitable replacement for the soon to be cap-strapped Hawks but they might not care for pieces like J Rich, Burke or Powell. Green is another guy you might have to part with to make all this happen. There's scenarios where a 3rd team will take some of those players "for free" which makes the math work for an over the cap situation.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 06-12-2021

(06-11-2021, 11:10 PM)Branduil Wrote: Thinking about it, if the Mavs could include JRich and Burke in a Kleber-for-Collins trade, whether going to the Hawks or a 3rd team with cap space, they could operate as an over-the-cap team. So trade for Collins, re-sign THJ, and go after guys like Reggie Jackson for the MLE, and maybe Batum with the BAE.

Luka / Brunson
Jackson / THJ
DFS / Green
Collins / Batum
KP / WCS / DP

Batum also is going to be more than BAE. I would peg him at 5-10 mil (ie tax payer / rMLE level to full MLE level).


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 06-12-2021

(06-12-2021, 02:58 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: I think the sticking point is that the Mavs don't want to give up KP for a bunch of spare parts that have done nothing to contribute to winning while they were on a losing team. 

KP isn't being moved for anything less than 2 good solid role players. Again I believe that's the FLOOR of any KP trade that the Mavs are looking for. That might not be KP's supposed value to other GM's but it doesn't matter. Mavs set the price. It's up to the other teams to pay.

For that reason, he's going to be in a Mav jersey next season. The real goal this offseason is turning THJ/Brunson/DFS/Maxi from our 3rd/4th/5th/6th best players to 5th/6th/7th/8th best.

So I think you are probably right but that's why I think likely Mavs would be routing pieces to another team like the Pacers for Turner. The Wiz could 'break up' KP into some usable/tradable pieces that then could net something the Mavs want like Turner. If at the end of it Mavs do a simple KP swap for Turner + filler then that's probably still a move in the right direction.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - DanSchwartzgan - 06-12-2021

(06-12-2021, 09:36 AM)StepBackJay Wrote: I think the way to get Collins is money whip him with the max SnT amount (29 first year) and so I don't see an over-the-cap route unless you are able to send quite a bit of salary in a multi-team trade. Maxi seems like a suitable replacement for the soon to be cap-strapped Hawks but they might not care for pieces like J Rich, Burke or Powell. Green is another guy you might have to part with to make all this happen. There's scenarios where a 3rd team will take some of those players "for free" which makes the math work for an over the cap situation.

Maxi and JRich get you to $25mm.  That is plenty of money for Collins.  JRich expires before things get really expensive for ATL.  The question is draft compensation.  ATL doesn't need another pick in the near term.  They have plenty of youth.  The 2025 Dallas pick would be a smart play.  Kind of like buying a Put on the Dallas front office.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - Kammrath - 06-12-2021

(06-12-2021, 10:02 AM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: Maxi and JRich get you to $25mm.  That is plenty of money for Collins.


Do you think Maxi and JR get the conversation started for a JC sign and trade? I would LOVE, LOVE that.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - SkenfromLMF - 06-12-2021

(06-12-2021, 10:06 AM)Kammrath Wrote: Do you think Maxi and JR get the conversation started for a JC sign and trade? I would LOVE, LOVE that.

If Atlanta is convinced that they can't keep him and they would rather have the '25 draft pick rather than let him walk for nothing. 


My fear is that Atlanta wants the pick, but doesn't want the salary and forces Dallas to off-load salary on OKC, which costs another 1st rd pick to get the deal done.

Of course, in that scenario I would like to send out the end of the bench (Burke/WCS) to OKC rather than actual contributors. The threat of creating a TE that can be leveraged as the potential of cap space would create an advantage for Dallas AND still maintain the full MLE if used as an actual TE.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - DanSchwartzgan - 06-12-2021

(06-12-2021, 10:28 AM)SkenfromLMF Wrote: If Atlanta is convinced that they can't keep him and they would rather have the '25 draft pick rather than let him walk for nothing. 


My fear is that Atlanta wants the pick, but doesn't want the salary and forces Dallas to off-load salary on OKC, which costs another 1st rd pick to get the deal done.

Of course, in that scenario I would like to send out the end of the bench (Burke/WCS) to OKC rather than actual contributors. The threat of creating a TE that can be leveraged as the potential of cap space would create an advantage for Dallas AND still maintain the full MLE if used as an actual TE.

I'd rather trade match.  The theory is THJ + MLE > Maxi/JRich/rMLE on a team that has Collins.  This is where Caruso comes in IMHO.

KP/WC-P
Collins/DFS
DFS/THJ-Green
THJ/Caruso
Luka/Brunson



(06-12-2021, 10:06 AM)Kammrath Wrote: Do you think Maxi and JR get the conversation started for a JC sign and trade? I would LOVE, LOVE that.

Like I said, It probably takes a pick also.  Maybe Green too if you have to get to $28mm for Collins.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 06-12-2021

I am not in love with Collins as much as you guys are but he feels like a guy Mavs will go all in on. Maxi seems like a good replacement for Collins that is cap friendly but if not I feel like a third team will want those pieces (JR, Maxi) without compensation or might even give up 2nds or something. Maxi in particular I still feel like is worth a late first all things considered.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 06-12-2021

Remember that Collins turned down like 22/Yr. The higher the cap number the less you have to give to Hawks because you make it uncomfortable for them to match. If they poo poo every offer then you have to go full 27/yr to back them into a corner.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - loki - 06-12-2021

I still just don't see any opportunity to land Collins. The Hawks aren't going to s&t him to Dallas out of the goodness of their hearts. Any package the Mavs could offer takes them a huge step back on the court. Their ownership is all-in on winning now and won't find that acceptable. They are going to put the 90/4 offer back out there to Collins, dare some team like Dallas to offer a max, and immediately match if they do.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - SkenfromLMF - 06-12-2021

(06-12-2021, 10:40 AM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: I'd rather trade match.  The theory is THJ + MLE > Maxi/JRich/rMLE on a team that has Collins.  This is where Caruso comes in IMHO.

KP/WC-P
Collins/DFS
DFS/THJ-Green
THJ/Caruso
Luka/Brunson




Like I said, It probably takes a pick also.  Maybe Green too if you have to get to $28mm for Collins.

I agree... BUT I also believe that the THREAT of a salary dump to OKC might be required to get Atlanta to negotiate.

Ultimately how Dallas operates will depend on Mark Cuban being willing to pay the TAX in 21-22.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 06-12-2021

@"loki" I don't agree. Hawks have a lot of contracts on the books with additional big deals in the way. A max Collins deal plus a max Trae extension is going to put them deep into luxury tax 1 yr from now unless they start finding ways to shed money. Hunter, Huerter will get paid in a couple years. So somebody is getting moved unless they want to have a 170 million dollar cap sheet.

Now they could move a guy like Gallo but maybe they don't want to. He is a guy you could keep one more year and then move. Maxi is an example of a cheap rotation player. So I don't think it's a done deal at all that they want to match a max offer especially if they don't get past the Sixers.

It was pretty public that Collins was available for the right price at the TDL. I don't think he was moved bc they knew the same type of offers would still be there in the summer.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 06-12-2021

(06-12-2021, 12:14 PM)SkenfromLMF Wrote: I agree... BUT I also believe that the THREAT of a salary dump to OKC might be required to get Atlanta to negotiate.

Ultimately how Dallas operates will depend on Mark Cuban being willing to pay the TAX in 21-22.

Cubes will pay tax no problem but he isn't going to do that unless he has 3 stars or otherwise a contending team bc it's stupid to do so. Luxury tax has real penalties so you don't just do it bc you can.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - SkenfromLMF - 06-12-2021

Does Kemba count - (I don't know how I feel) - because a trade of Richardson and JJ Reddick signed and traded for $17.133 million gets you Kemba at $36.02 million (couple of rounded #'s). I could see Dallas getting a couple of late 1st round picks out of that deal.

Then a trade of Powell, WCS and Burke gets you a $23.53~ million window to get Collins. In my estimation This deal would require a pick to OKC (maybe 2) and a pick to Atlanta.

At which point Dallas' payroll would skyrocket roughly $30 million BEFORE taking into account THJ and the full MLE...


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - loki - 06-12-2021

(06-12-2021, 12:18 PM)StepBackJay Wrote: @"loki" I don't agree. Hawks have a lot of contracts on the books with additional big deals in the way. A max Collins deal plus a max Trae extension is going to put them deep into luxury tax 1 yr from now unless they start finding ways to shed money. Hunter, Huerter will get paid in a couple years. So somebody is getting moved unless they want to have a 170 million dollar cap sheet.

Now they could move a guy like Gallo but maybe they don't want to. He is a guy you could keep one more year and then move. Maxi is an example of a cheap rotation player. So I don't think it's a done deal at all that they want to match a max offer especially if they don't get past the Sixers.

It was pretty public that Collins was available for the right price at the TDL. I don't think he was moved bc they knew the same type of offers would still be there in the summer.

I agree they're going to have to make some tough decisions, but I don't see Collins at 28M vs Collins at 22.5M being where they line they draw in the sand. If they had only offered him 70/4 I might believe in it a bit more. I guess we'll find out.