2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived - Printable Version +- MavsBoard (https://www.mavsboard.com) +-- Forum: Boards (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=1) +--- Forum: Dallas Mavericks and the NBA (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=2) +--- Thread: 2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived (/showthread.php?tid=682) Pages:
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RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 06-10-2021 The other thing you could say is well with 2 bigs you get killed in transition. Well Mavs already DO get killed in transition and I think we have seen a shift in the NBA to where now teams just take fouls in transition. I believe there is probably analytics to say its better to just take fouls instead of worrying about trying to stop a fast break. KP is already at the perimeter, not crashing the offensive glass most offensive possessions so it's easier for him to get back. You are trading some offensive boards for transition opportunities but I like the trade-off especially given the shift I mentioned where teams just take fouls in transition. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - DanSchwartzgan - 06-10-2021 (06-10-2021, 07:55 AM)omahen Wrote: I don't think KP contract is nearly as equaly bad as Kemba one, so I would never consider it without significant assets going our way. He is way older, same injury liability, higher yearly number taking away more of our cap space, doesn't play defense. The only advantage is one year shorter contract. If Boston takes JRich with KP, is that “significant”? I’m thinking KP/JRich for Kemba + Someone (RWIll, GWill or Nesmith). Saves us cap space and gives us that secondary piece who eventually becomes the main focus of the trade. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 06-10-2021 (06-10-2021, 12:13 PM)StrandedOnBeauboisHill Wrote: "some" is putting it realllllllly lightly. Well my first option would be KP on another team. I am going to stand by my 2 big assessment, I think it can work. It would work better with more nimble guys like Holmes or Turner but I think it could work even with Adams. Obv if Mavs don't go this route then who knows but we do believe they have interest in Holmes and Turner. They also have interest in Collins and I am just not there. I think you are just going to give up baskets at the rim and on the perimeter. Why not take away one? It's easier to take away the paint. Part of the reason why Mavs stink at perimeter shots is all the rotations that have to happen when the other team uses a 1-dribble move to get past the first line of defense which causes an immediate scramble. Drop coverage with KP has not been good. We will see, it's hard to judge something before it happens. We don't know whether Mavs will go bigger (Holmes) or try to upgrade Maxi's spot with Collins. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StrandedOnBeauboisHill - 06-10-2021 (06-10-2021, 12:19 PM)StepBackJay Wrote: Well my first option would be KP on another team Then we certainly agree on the big picture. Not really trying to come at you or anything, I enjoy your posts. I just think the league has moved way too far away from a two big system right now to try to deploy it ourselves. You can really only pull it off with guys like Giannis or AD who can basically guard anyone on the planet. I agree that our drop coverage has not been good but as long as KP is on the floor then you're going to see it. Holmes and Turner can be more switchable which is what I'd like to see out of our defense but when the playoffs roll around then teams will just hunt KP again and you'll get to see us go back to the zone. The other thing is that you even admit that we stink at perimeter shots because the offense gets by our first line of defense with ease but at the same time you're suggesting that we have KP out there...just doesn't add up. Holmes/Maxi or Turner/Maxi on the other hand...that speaks to me. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - mvossman - 06-10-2021 (06-10-2021, 12:15 PM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: If Boston takes JRich with KP, is that “significant”? I’m thinking KP/JRich for Kemba + Someone (RWIll, GWill or Nesmith). Saves us cap space and gives us that secondary piece who eventually becomes the main focus of the trade. No. If JRich opts in (which I think is very unlikely) then I doubt we have to pay an asset to dump him. I would much rather have KP than Kemba, regardless of the extra year. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 06-10-2021 Looking at some stats, from the last couple of years... 2019-20 Offrtg: 120, Defrtg: 109 with the THJ/Powell lineup 2020-21 Offrtg: 123, Defrtg: 111 with the Rich/Kleber lineup Offrtg: 127, Defrtg: 125 with the THJ/Powell lineup (very small sample size) Offrtg: 127, Defrtg: 108 somehow with Brunson, Rich lineup somehow (used late in games sometimes) I think with Powell/KP you are probably middle of the pack defensively which isn't terrible. To me Collins would probably be no worse than Powell who himself is a bit underrated defensively. I imagine Mavs are thinking Collins would keep you top 5 offense and maybe slightly better or no worse than 2019. In the playoffs the Boban/KP lineups were pretty bad defensively: 124. Kleber/KP was 115. We don't really have a sample to look at with a true 2 big lineup like a Turner/KP type lineup but my theory is that you will get closer to a top 10 defense with that type of frontcourt without giving up offense. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 06-10-2021 (06-10-2021, 12:35 PM)mvossman Wrote: No. If JRich opts in (which I think is very unlikely) then I doubt we have to pay an asset to dump him. I would much rather have KP than Kemba, regardless of the extra year. I still haven't see any kind of J Rich exit interview which leads me to believe he is done with Dallas and thus the opt-in would only happen if there is a deal in place to move him (Mavs working with Duffy to find him a landing spot). RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - omahen - 06-10-2021 (06-10-2021, 12:15 PM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: If Boston takes JRich with KP, is that “significant”? Not for me. Unless player coming our way is Smart and probably a younger player (Nesmith), I wouldn't consider it. I would be more interested in a three team deal where Boston dumps Kemba to cap space team like OKC and we get Smart/Williams for KP. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - mvossman - 06-10-2021 (06-10-2021, 10:12 AM)Chicagojk Wrote: I think Ball does some nice things. He was my favorite prospect in that draft. I loved his game. Your right that Ball is not going to break down a defense off the dribble. He is a good shooter who is also a very good passer with a high BB IQ (as you stated). I would argue that is the perfect compliment to Luka. Somebody who can space the floor, make an open shot or get it quickly to someone that is open. That kind of IQ on the court is something we could really use. Guys like Wright and JRich are hesitant ineffective shooters, not particularly good passers, and tend to dribble around aimlessly. They completely bogged down the offense. Ball is literally the opposite of that. DeRozan would be very handy in the last minute when you need a 2. He would also make some sense running the second unit. His offensive fit with Luka though is questionable. Most of his value on the court is when he has the ball in his hands because he can't space the floor due to his terrible shooting. I understand the idea of taking some offensive pressure off of Luka, but he is not as good at breaking down a defense (not sure anyone is) and he clogs up the spacing when Luka has the ball. On top of that, he is a terrible defender. We already struggle with perimeter defense, and he would exacerbate that issue. There is a reason he has been literally a net negative on the court almost his entire career. Add in that he is 32 (vs 23) and will probably cost roughly the same AAV and seems to me Ball is the better choice by far. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - mvossman - 06-10-2021 (06-10-2021, 10:41 AM)StrandedOnBeauboisHill Wrote: I know you've laid out your argument but you have to understand that while you're getting a center to address KPs issues defensively there, now you're taking Maxi's defense out of the lineup and asking KP to guard the following PFs in the West: I agree with almost all of this, but I think its a myth that Luka is better with a rim runner. The numbers suggest he may be even better with 5 out: 2020 Powell/KP/Luka/DFS/THJ 120 off rating +11 net (the most used 5 man lineup that year) 2020 Powell/KP/Luka 118 off rating +8 net 2021 Maxi/KP/Luka/DFS/JRich 124 off rating +13 net (the most used 5 man lineup, and they did this with JRich!) 2021 Maxi/KP/Luka 123 off rating +12 net RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StrandedOnBeauboisHill - 06-10-2021 (06-10-2021, 01:27 PM)mvossman Wrote: I agree with almost all of this, but I think its a myth that Luka is better with a rim runner. The numbers suggest he may be even better with 5 out: That's pretty interesting. Do you have the numbers for last year's lineup this year? Just curious what those look like as well. Also, I'm on the record as making sure we still have a roster than can deploy a good 5 out system because Rick likes to pull out all the stops in the playoffs so I don't want to get away from that option. It just doesn't feel like you can do with KP and have a competent playoff defense at the same time. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - SleepingHero - 06-10-2021 https://nba.nbcsports.com/2021/05/20/report-widely-believed-nba-will-add-expansion-teams-in-seattle-likely-las-vegas/ An expansion draft might be coming up. If I remember right if it's 2 teams, then the Mavs can protect 8 players like last time. Luka/KP/THJ/DFS/Maxi/Brunson/Green/Boban. Make Seattle and Vegas take Powell. Mavs profit with a free 12 mill freed. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - mvossman - 06-10-2021 (06-10-2021, 01:59 PM)StrandedOnBeauboisHill Wrote: That's pretty interesting. Do you have the numbers for last year's lineup this year? Just curious what those look like as well. They are terrible but very small sample. The Luka/Powell numbers are not particularly good this year, but some of that is probably due to his recovery. That is why I compared the two years, it was bigger samples, generally against starting lineups, and when they were at full strength. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - omahen - 06-10-2021 https://twitter.com/Stadium/status/1403065679515766786?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1403065679515766786%7Ctwgr%5E%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fbleacherreport.com%2Fdallas-mavericks RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - KillerLeft - 06-10-2021 (06-10-2021, 02:34 PM)omahen Wrote: https://twitter.com/Stadium/status/1403065679515766786?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1403065679515766786%7Ctwgr%5E%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fbleacherreport.com%2Fdallas-mavericks Right on the money. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - Scott41theMavs - 06-10-2021 (06-10-2021, 02:38 PM)KillerLeft Wrote: Right on the money. Absolutely. But those guys they're talking about are expensive. 1) Not enough cap room, 2) not the right guys available if we did have the cap room, and 3) not enough trade capital. Once again, there are three guys on my wish list: 1) Brogdon, 2) Brogdon, and 3) Brogdon. You might strip the team so badly in going after him that it sets back the timeline a year. Too bad. Make it so. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 06-10-2021 (06-10-2021, 02:34 PM)omahen Wrote: https://twitter.com/Stadium/status/1403065679515766786?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1403065679515766786%7Ctwgr%5E%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fbleacherreport.com%2Fdallas-mavericks This is a big news report underscoring a) need for playmaker b) reiterating that they would *need* to move KP. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - Scott41theMavs - 06-10-2021 (06-10-2021, 04:03 PM)StepBackJay Wrote: This is a big news report underscoring a) need for playmaker b) reiterating that they would *need* to move KP. I don't think there's any straight-up deal that's going to get you back that Robin, but whatever value we could squeeze out of him in a three-team deal is probably the only way to get that guy. Anything else is likely a matter of, "We tried, but..." RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 06-10-2021 My new favorite idea is throwing a lot of stuff at Cleveland for Sexton who checks the 2nd star playmaker box. Take Loves deal, send whatever you can, maybe with assets gained from a separate KP deal? Love might be able to be routed to OKC for Horford who to me is the better player. Finally if you can do all the KP/Sexton/Hortford maneuvering without dipping into cap space you can make a max offer sheet to Collins to form a young big 3. Mavs lineup would be something like Luka, Sexton, DFS, Collins, Horford and probably a pretty thin bench. I am thinking you would be expending a lot of assets to try to get Sexton here (ie Brunson for pick(s), etc). RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - cjeter24 - 06-10-2021 (06-09-2021, 10:28 PM)StepBackJay Wrote: Those passes made me nuts. I wonder how many turnovers we had trying to force-feed Boban in the post. Yeah those possession are what made it so obvious to me that we had nobody that was capable of making those passes. Brunson can't either. And even when passes were made, they were in the wrong spots and it allowed an LA defender to come strip it or be in position to defend the possession way better. It's a different skill... And I fully expect Luka to master it eventually. Luka may be the best player in the league on offense, and he's still got a ton of ways to improve. It's crazy how good he could be. |