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2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived - Printable Version

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RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - SleepingHero - 06-09-2021

(06-09-2021, 02:42 PM)VintagePejav2 Wrote: John Collins is a fave here. Huh, okay.

[Image: giphy.gif]

It can't be...can it...? He's back?


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - DallasBasketball - 06-09-2021

(06-09-2021, 02:10 PM)StrandedOnBeauboisHill Wrote: It's quite the balancing act.  How do you add vets to fill needs/minutes on the floor without breaking up continuity?  I think the hardest part is deciding what pieces are worth investing in to achieve that continuity.  From where I'm sitting it feels like the only pieces that the FO seems to think that way about are Luka, DFS, Hardaway and maybe Brunson (although him falling out of rotation in the post season isn't a great sign).  Honestly though it feels like everyone not named Luka is on the block if there's a good offer for you point #2.

I have Kleber in that top 5 core as well w Porzee. Maybe Powell and Brunson. But that doesn’t mean those players are untradeable for a 2nd star, it just means that if you can fill in around them with veterans like IMO, Dragic and Jae Crowder types, you do it and one or two of them has to move down the totem pole a slot assuming the veteran is better.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - KillerLeft - 06-09-2021

(06-09-2021, 01:03 PM)mvossman Wrote: Is that worth the max, and an asset, and ignorance of fit?


So, the answer to this question is based on each individual's definition of "if they have the chance to get him." If it takes more than you think is smart to pay, you didn't have the chance. 

I don't know if he's worth the max, either, but I am pretty confident he's an upgrade over Kleber and Powell.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 06-09-2021

(06-09-2021, 02:54 PM)Tyler Wrote: The idea of the Knicks potentially wanting Kemba presents an interesting possible foundation for a 3-way deal. KP to Boston, Kemba to the Knicks, and a huge trade exception (plus their own ‘23 pick) to Dallas would open up lots of avenues to keep THJ and operate over the cap while chasing S&T deals for RFAs or absorbing other bigger contracts in trades. For example, with a $36mm TPE you could conceivably get Collins and Markkanen or Ball and Turner with only cheaper players and picks going out. Something to keep an eye on if Dallas starts getting creative.t

So I hadn't thought of that idea which is pretty interesting given how much cap space NYK has and their willingness to use it for dumps.

So Dallas would have the option of operating over the cap with a giant TE as you say or just using cap space, whichever is more advantageous. To me I still think cap space would likely be more useful.

It would suck to do a straight cap dump of KP given what was given up for him but you think have a lot of cap space to build the team you want.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - mvossman - 06-09-2021

(06-09-2021, 02:14 PM)StrandedOnBeauboisHill Wrote: Watching him this postseason has been pretty eye opening just in terms of the fact that the Hawks view him as their best wing defender.  Not saying that it makes him a GOOD defender considering that roster makeup but he certainly had a lot to do with Randle being slowed down in the first series.

I look at it as Collins vs Kleber and it's looking more and more like the drop off from a defensive standpoint is less than I thought about a month ago and I think the offensive improvement is more than the defensive drop off.  Also, Collins is up and down this post season but he doesn't look as nearly afraid of this moment as Kleber has two years in a row now which is disappointing because I love Kleber.

A couple of things:

It is at least encouraging to hear that Collins held his own on the perimeter in the playoffs.  That makes him at least a viable option next to KP defensively.  There is no question the offensive fit is perfect.

Kleber was significantly off defensively this year (just like KP) and my hope is that both were due to Injury related issues and that they will rebound next year.  Kleber struggled with Covid for a long time and also struggled with the workload of being a starter in a condensed season.  I think his defense will be better next year, but he is probably best suited to a versatile role player in the mid 20s minutes wise.

So from that standpoint, there is no question Collins is an upgrade over Maxi.  The question is long term fit.  This team needs to get significantly better defensively to have any chance of reaching contender status.  Even if KP gets back to previous rim protection levels, and Collins is only small downgrade to Maxi, we still probably need upgrade in the backcourt defense.  We also need a secondary play maker to relieve some of the pressure from Luka and keep our bench from getting killed.  But giving Collins a max contract will require us to operate under the cap with not enough left to re-sign THJ, let alone get that 2 way SG we desperately need.  From this perspective, I feel like Ball probably makes more sense as he fills more gaping holes.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StrandedOnBeauboisHill - 06-09-2021

(06-09-2021, 04:11 PM)mvossman Wrote: A couple of things:

It is at least encouraging to hear that Collins held his own on the perimeter in the playoffs.  That makes him at least a viable option next to KP defensively.  There is no question the offensive fit is perfect.

Kleber was significantly off defensively this year (just like KP) and my hope is that both were due to Injury related issues and that they will rebound next year.  Kleber struggled with Covid for a long time and also struggled with the workload of being a starter in a condensed season.  I think his defense will be better next year, but he is probably best suited to a versatile role player in the mid 20s minutes wise.

So from that standpoint, there is no question Collins is an upgrade over Maxi.  The question is long term fit.  This team needs to get significantly better defensively to have any chance of reaching contender status.  Even if KP gets back to previous rim protection levels, and Collins is only small downgrade to Maxi, we still probably need upgrade in the backcourt defense.  We also need a secondary play maker to relieve some of the pressure from Luka and keep our bench from getting killed.  But giving Collins a max contract will require us to operate under the cap with not enough left to re-sign THJ, let alone get that 2 way SG we desperately need.  From this perspective, I feel like Ball probably makes more sense as he fills more gaping holes.

I agree with all of this to be honest and would rather target Ball but it feels like there's a lot of folks in the org focused on bringing Timmy back which makes Ball much less likely.

I'm also less concerned about the fit with KP defensively to be honest because I'm of the belief that we just can't build a championship defense around KP and even if we could I don't really think we should be burning years just to find out when there could be other ways to build a better defense instead of hoping that KP comes around.

I believe that any KP move would actually be done to create more flexibility and bring in assets to then send out again which is why if he's moved I think it may end up being as simple as KP for Horford/pick.  That way you would have 40 mil this season which may be cutting it close but would be enough to sign both THJ and Collins and then you can now trade picks again in order to rebuild your defense and I would think the obvious targets are the names that have been floated from Indiana in Brogdon and Turner.

KP for Horford/2023 OKC pick

Maxi/Brunson/2023 OKC pick and maybe our 2025 pick for Brogdon/Turner (this doesn't work out money wise but could be done in separate moves)

Sign Collins/THJ with space

Sign Batum with rMLE (no idea what his market will hold to be honest)

Sign TJ McConnell with the BAE (which to be honest I can't even remember if we have this year)

That's the offseason I've now settled on in my head as something that would put us in a strong position moving forward.

Luka/McConnell/Burke
Brogdon/THJ/Green
DFS/Batum
Collins/Horford
Turner/Powell


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 06-09-2021

(06-09-2021, 04:37 PM)StrandedOnBeauboisHill Wrote: KP for Horford/2023 OKC pick

Maxi/Brunson/2023 OKC pick and maybe our 2025 pick for Brogdon/Turner (this doesn't work out money wise but could be done in separate moves)

Sign Collins/THJ with space

Sign Batum with rMLE (no idea what his market will hold to be honest)

Sign TJ McConnell with the BAE (which to be honest I can't even remember if we have this year)

KP for Horford/pick - can't rule that out given the headlines we've been reading. I like Horford as a player.

Maxi/Brunson for Brog/Turner is way too much incoming money. to do these other moves.

Collins/THJ for space - not enough space for this. I think THJ is going to be 15-20 and Collins turned down like 22/yr last year.

Batum seems like his stock has risen to more like MLE level.

TJ - no way he signs for BAE. Pacers can use their MLE to resign him so its possible they would pay him all the way up to MLE.

I like some of the pieces but Turner + Collins is just not mathematically possible.

KP for Horford opens up 4 mil so you have around 38 mil.

Maxi/Brunson/pick for Brog would take off another 11 or some from 38 mil (lets say 25 left).

Batum I think can be had for 10 but then that leaves 15 for THJ so I don't think that's enough. Maybe if Batum is more like 8 and THJ is 17?

At any rate if you could squeeze all that in you would have Luka/Brog/DFS/Batum/Horford and THJ as your 6th man.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - Branduil - 06-09-2021

(06-09-2021, 02:53 PM)StepBackJay Wrote: I like Collins in a vacuum, I just don't like the price tag. I think we can spend that money better in other places and I imagine he will stay in Atlanta anyway.

Lonzo is a guy I would go all in on.
See, saying you would spend Collins-type money on Lonzo is batshit to me. Lonzo can NOT score. He'd be another role player on offense waiting for Luka to pass to him for an open 3-pointer. Lonzo gets assists but he is NOT a playmaker, which is what we need.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - Scott41theMavs - 06-09-2021

(06-09-2021, 04:59 PM)Branduil Wrote: See, saying you would spend Collins-type money on Lonzo is batshit to me. Lonzo can NOT score. He'd be another role player on offense waiting for Luka to pass to him for an open 3-pointer. Lonzo gets assists but he is NOT a playmaker, which is what we need.

Brogdon or bust for me. The perfect backcourt mate for Luka. I would keep the Pacers on the phone until they put Brogdon on the table. Anything but Luka, it's yours.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 06-09-2021

(06-09-2021, 05:06 PM)Scott41theMavs Wrote: Brogdon or bust for me. The perfect backcourt mate for Luka. I would keep the Pacers on the phone until they put Brogdon on the table. Anything but Luka, it's yours.

Ya I want Brogdon really bad. Turner is a good fit but Brogdon might be my number 1 target overall.

I would try to send get Brog/Turner by using a combo of KP/Maxi/Brunson (and Green, Terry if necessary) to get those two players in a multi team trade. The other team involved could be the Wiz or GSW who both I think would have interest in KP.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - Tyler - 06-09-2021

(06-09-2021, 03:44 PM)StepBackJay Wrote: So I hadn't thought of that idea which is pretty interesting given how much cap space NYK has and their willingness to use it for dumps.

So Dallas would have the option of operating over the cap with a giant TE as you say or just using cap space, whichever is more advantageous. To me I still think cap space would likely be more useful.

It would suck to do a straight cap dump of KP given what was given up for him but you think have a lot of cap space to build the team you want.


Good point about operating under the cap. I was over-thinking it.

Assume for a moment Dallas trades KP to Boston with Kemba going to the Knicks and Dallas's own 2023 pick coming back with no other money. That's an overly light return on the surface, but it opens up a TON of cap space and puts all of our future first rounders back on the table for trades. It's like the keystone deal for entirely remaking the roster if you can get the right guys lined up.

If they then let most of their FAs go and sign THJ to a new contract starting at $20mm, Dallas would still have about $35mm in cap space even if JRich opts in. If he leaves or they help him find a new home, it could swell up to $46mm. Want both Ball and Collins? I bet you could make it happen with that kinda space. Or sign Collins and trade one of those future firsts for Turner. Do you need to trade another future first to Atlanta to seal the deal with Collins? You now have the ammo to make that choice. Or maybe you go for quantity in Ball, Turner, and Markkanen. No problem.

If you told me Dallas could trade KP for their own 1st round refund, it sounds like a lousy deal. But if you think of it as KP for 2-3 young impact starters, I think there's a lot to work with. Unlike the Knicks a few years ago when they dumped KP for powder, though, the trick is to only make the trade when you have the follow-up moves ready to go.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - ClutchDirk - 06-09-2021

(06-09-2021, 09:43 AM)Kammrath Wrote: BINGO.

I am telling y'all, JC is the next "Brogdon" in the sense of someone who was underutilized and was just waiting to break out. Many didn't want Brogdon because in his smaller role in MIL they couldn't see clearly what he was. Same with JC.

JC has always been my number one for this offseason. Get it done.

As soon as Isaac became virtually unavailable I wanted Collins...


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - Chicagojk - 06-09-2021

(06-09-2021, 05:16 PM)Tyler Wrote: Good point about operating under the cap. I was over-thinking it.

Assume for a moment Dallas trades KP to Boston with Kemba going to the Knicks and Dallas's own 2023 pick coming back with no other money. That's an overly light return on the surface, but it opens up a TON of cap space and puts all of our future first rounders back on the table for trades. It's like the keystone deal for entirely remaking the roster if you can get the right guys lined up.

If they then let most of their FAs go and sign THJ to a new contract starting at $20mm, Dallas would still have about $35mm in cap space even if JRich opts in. If he leaves or they help him find a new home, it could swell up to $46mm. Want both Ball and Collins? I bet you could make it happen with that kinda space. Or sign Collins and trade one of those future firsts for Turner. Do you need to trade another future first to Atlanta to seal the deal with Collins? You now have the ammo to make that choice. Or maybe you go for quantity in Ball, Turner, and Markkanen. No problem.

If you told me Dallas could trade KP for their own 1st round refund, it sounds like a lousy deal. But if you think of it as KP for 2-3 young impact starters, I think there's a lot to work with. Unlike the Knicks a few years ago when they dumped KP for powder, though, the trick is to only make the trade when you have the follow-up moves ready to go.

So the Knicks would give up the 23 pick we owe them and take on Kemba with cap room?   If we are to assume, and it may be a big assumption, that the Knicks are a competent organization again, why would they tie up cap room at a PG who really struggled this year, while potentially helping a division rival?  I have trouble seeing that.  The Knicks and the Mavs could be circling the same type of free agents this summer.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 06-09-2021

(06-09-2021, 04:59 PM)Branduil Wrote: See, saying you would spend Collins-type money on Lonzo is batshit to me. Lonzo can NOT score. He'd be another role player on offense waiting for Luka to pass to him for an open 3-pointer. Lonzo gets assists but he is NOT a playmaker, which is what we need.

Playmaking and assists are very closely tied together. Mavs do not have guys that can pass the ball. Lonzo would be the second best passer and he is not ball dominate. He is very much like Kidd in this way. He scores 15 PPG which is also good so I don't know why you say he can't score. His 3 ball has been good for 2 years, he plays great defense, rebounds really good for his position. Lonzo is a ball mover which the Mavs really need.

I like Collins but I'd rather spend resources elsewhere.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 06-09-2021

(06-09-2021, 05:25 PM)ClutchDirk Wrote: As soon as Isaac became virtually unavailable I wanted Collins...

Collins is like Powell with a jumper which is fine but if Mavs want to pay him big money I'd feel better if we dump Powell and Maxi's money somehow.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 06-09-2021

Sorry if this was mentioned already, what is the first year salary if Mavs offer Collins a max contract? I think the max extension would have been 4/125 so I am guessing his first year RFA max would be around 30 mil?


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - ClutchDirk - 06-09-2021

So far im either Collins/Ball or KP/+pieces for Adams/Ball with Hart being a bonus..

Prefer the first option though...


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - khaled1987 - 06-09-2021

(06-09-2021, 07:12 PM)StepBackJay Wrote: Sorry if this was mentioned already, what is the first year salary if Mavs offer Collins a max contract? I think the max extension would have been 4/125 so I am guessing his first year RFA max would be around 30 mil?

https://www.hoopsrumors.com/2020/11/nba-maximum-salaries-for-202021.html

29 if S&T, 27 if offer sheet, based on current season


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 06-09-2021

(06-09-2021, 07:15 PM)khaled1987 Wrote: https://www.hoopsrumors.com/2020/11/nba-maximum-salaries-for-202021.html

29 if S&T, 27 if offer sheet, based on current season

Okay so 27 is a little better. So 34 - 27 = 7 left. Dump Maxi somewhere and you are around 16 or so but THJ could be more than that. You might be able to pay someone to take Burke or include Green in the S&T as another asset for ATL to make a deal. If you get to 18-19 that's probably the number THJ is going to settle on I think.

So your roster looks something like:

Luka/Brunson
THJ/Terry/?
DFS/?
KP/?
Collins/Powell/Boban?

+ rMLE. 

Bench seems really thing in this scenario. I think you might spend the rMLE on the BPA btwn a wing and a guard. Like if Sato is cut and is available for rMLE I think we'd be pretty thrilled. You probably need your young guys to play a little bit, Terry in particular. 

It's just a really thin bench. I don't know if Collins is such a massive upgrade in the starting unit to construct a roster this way.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StrandedOnBeauboisHill - 06-09-2021

(06-09-2021, 04:55 PM)StepBackJay Wrote: Maxi/Brunson for Brog/Turner is way too much incoming money. to do these other moves.

Collins/THJ for space - not enough space for this. I think THJ is going to be 15-20 and Collins turned down like 22/yr last year.


Ya you'd have to really think about any sort of trades into the season and I did make a mention that the money doesn't work straight up.  You could probably do one of those trades and create an exception though for the other player.  But yes, free agency would have to happen first.

I do think 40 mil would be pretty close to what you need for Collins and Hardaway give or take a couple million.  We also don't know what the cap is at, I've seen our max space projected anywhere from 34 mil to nearly 37 so in a KP/Horford swap that would mean could be up to 42 and in that case you could easily fit both (imo).