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2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived - Printable Version

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RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - SleepingHero - 05-28-2021

(05-28-2021, 04:52 AM)khaled1987 Wrote: Yeah.
Tbh, I think Mavs will either sell high at this point,  or just extension. 
Knicks looks like logical partner for us in 1st scenario , they need PG, I think he fits well with the new culture they set, he doesn't mess up with their cap space this year (their fans are rooting for us to sweep LAC , so Kawhi joins them  Rolleyes ) and they have a truly important asset for the Mavs, 2023 1st round that would free our assets whenever new star is available)




I don't know if trading Brunson for some package that includes the 2023 pick is selling high. I'd rather have Brunson. It's hard to find a bench PG like him.

If the Knicks were throw an obscene amount of money at him next year, then maybe that's something different. But I don't think Brunson is going to command more than 15mm a year.

At least based on this years production. If he has a breakout year getting close to 20ppg next year then sure, but at that point why wouldn't the Mavs just extend him right?


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - khaled1987 - 05-28-2021

(05-28-2021, 05:57 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: I don't know if trading Brunson for some package that includes the 2023 pick is selling high. I'd rather have Brunson. It's hard to find a bench PG like him.

If the Knicks were throw an obscene amount of money at him next year, then maybe that's something different. But I don't think Brunson is going to command more than 15mm a year.

At least based on this years production. If he has a breakout year getting close to 20ppg next year then sure, but at that point why wouldn't the Mavs just extend him right?

I didn't mean it as "only" 2023 1st, but it is generally a strong asset for us. They would need to give us more.

And yes,I agree that renewal is 1st option


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - SleepingHero - 05-28-2021

(05-28-2021, 06:04 AM)khaled1987 Wrote: I didn't mean it as "only" 2023 1st, but it is generally a strong asset for us. They would need to give us more.

And yes,I agree that renewal is 1st option


Yeah I didn't mean to imply you meant "only" the 2023 1st. The best realistic package I could see the Knicks offer is Mitchell Robinson+young dude (Knox? Franky Smokes? Toppin?)+2023 first for Brunson.

It's a solid package. But I'd prefer Brunson anyways.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - omahen - 05-28-2021

(05-28-2021, 08:00 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: Yeah I didn't mean to imply you meant "only" the 2023 1st. The best realistic package I could see the Knicks offer is Mitchell Robinson+young dude (Knox? Franky Smokes? Toppin?)+2023 first for Brunson.


I think you are way overvaluing Brunson. Or Knicks overvaluing Robinson, if you prefer. There is also no way they would give up Toppin for Brunson. Smokes is FA anyway and I don't really see Knicks competing for him. This basically leaves Knox. 

I think we have to look at the whole puzzle of team building. Looking at the deal separately it doesn't make a lot of sense as Knox is likely a Justin Jackson level bust and why collecting a pick if we have a very good young rotation player. But if we need the 2023 pick because we have the right trade lined up? Is that player perhaps secondary facilitator? Than trading Brunson makes sense. Even if that player is playing a different position, it may make sense as signing a back up PG shouldn't be difficult.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 05-28-2021

(05-27-2021, 10:42 PM)F Gump Wrote: The only way I'd consider Dragic would be if J-Rich opts in (which I expect will happen), Dragic wants to sign with Dallas for about $10M or less, and then the Heat will agree to do a sign and trade of Dragic for J-Rich.

You can't afford to pay much for Dragic in salary, or in a trade, because his career arc (on his way downhill, near the end) doesn't fit where the Mavs are. And the Mavs' MLE needs to be spent elsewhere (and may only be the taxpayers MLE). 

But if you can turn J-Rich at 11M into Dragic on a modest-sized deal for 2-3 years, that makes sense. If you pencil in THJ at his current salary or so, the Mavs are going to need to find some good $10M-or-less players, and Dragic has multiple ways he can help.

So I agree with about half of that. I do believe Mavs decision to stay over or under the cap hinges on whether or not J Rich stays or is traded. I am 50/50 believing that they will find a deal but for the sake of argument lets say they don't.

- 20 will go for THJ
- I would like to keep WCS for that 4 which leaves about 10
- Dragic to me seems like a 10 mil 1+1 type of player at this point but still useful for what the Mavs want to do
- That leaves the rMLE which I think can get you a backup wing of some quality (Harkless, Gay, etc.)

After that you have a couple vet min spots where you try to get vets that fit a small role (no more project players, we already have the cupboard full there).

Now you might argue that 10 mil needs to go to a wing, which I understand but I think it will be easier to get a 5 mil wing of some quality than a guard who isn't too redundant with what a Trey Burke gives you. 

Patty Mills is a guy you could prob get who is maybe a small upgrade but is a scorer not a ball mover.
Avery Bradley would be great as a J Rich replacement but is not a ball mover. D Rose would be great but I think he will stay with the Knicks? I know people want TJ McConnell. To me he feels like more than rMLE but less than MLE so if you want to split the difference you could try to find like two 7 mil dollar players (TJ, Batum for example) and then resign WCS with the rMLE. I would be good with that.

All that being said I just think there are too many logical ties of Dragic to the Mavs. Him signing with the Mavs is the most Mavs move ever.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 05-28-2021

(05-28-2021, 05:57 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: If the Knicks were throw an obscene amount of money at him next year, then maybe that's something different. But I don't think Brunson is going to command more than 15mm a year.

The problem is the Knicks. His dad is likely going to join the Knicks staff and the Knicks love overpaying guys they like. I am pretty afraid of this possibility.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 05-28-2021

(05-28-2021, 04:45 AM)JamesConway Wrote: Can’t we extend Brunson this summer?

Dunno - if so, does anyone know the max money we can extend him for?


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - SkenfromLMF - 05-28-2021

Regarding Dragic, if he would accept a starting salary just under $8.5 million the trade could be Trey Burke and a 2nd rd pick. Guarantee 2 years instead of just 1, then you still have the MLE and Richardson for the Markkanen deal (I'd prefer MLE and keep Richardson as a defensive guard.) Sign THJ to as much space as left below the TAX for 1 year. Knowing the next year LUKA and THJ are going to put Dallas in the Tax.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - F Gump - 05-28-2021

(05-28-2021, 09:17 AM)StepBackJay Wrote: Dunno - if so, does anyone know the max money we can extend him for?

Starting salary of approx 12M.

Same for a DFS extension


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - F Gump - 05-28-2021

(05-28-2021, 09:32 AM)SkenfromLMF Wrote: Regarding Dragic, if he would accept a starting salary just under $8.5 million the trade could be Trey Burke and a 2nd rd pick. 

 
It looks like you're talking about the Mavs being an over-cap non-tax team, and if so, that trade doesn't work at all.

Also, you prefer both J-Rich and Dragic, but Mavs don't have the minutes to make that work. J-Rich is already uncomfortable in the reduced role/minutes coming off the bench (although not making any waves), so if you're adding Dragic (which would slice his minutes even further), JR really needs to be moved somewhere. Plus, GD/JR is an easy trade match.

That's why I think J-Rich back to MIA would make sense - it's probably a plus for all involved, assuming Dragic wants to be in Dallas.

Of course, that may be a really bad assumption, making all of this moot. GD seems to really like Miami and they seem to like him.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - SkenfromLMF - 05-28-2021

(05-28-2021, 10:17 AM)F Gump Wrote:  
It looks like you're talking about the Mavs being an over-cap non-tax team, and if so, that trade doesn't work at all.

Also, you prefer both J-Rich and Dragic, but Mavs don't have the minutes to make that work. J-Rich is already uncomfortable in the reduced role/minutes coming off the bench (although not making any waves), so if you're adding Dragic (which would slice his minutes even further), JR really needs to be moved somewhere. Plus, GD/JR is an easy trade match.

That's why I think J-Rich back to MIA would make sense - it's probably a plus for all involved, assuming Dragic wants to be in Dallas.

Of course, that may be a really bad assumption, making all of this moot. GD seems to really like Miami and they seem to like him.

Good catch, I forgot there are 3 levels in Non-Tax trades... I prefer building assets which is why I like using the full MLE without gutting the cupboard to create space... 


I like J-Rich as an expiring contract for a future trade. I would also see bringing in Dragic as move that would eventually allow a trade of Brunson with some salary like Richardson or Powell for the ever elusive starting caliber 2-way wing...


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - ItsGoTime - 05-28-2021

(05-28-2021, 10:17 AM)F Gump Wrote: assuming Dragic wants to be in Dallas.

Of course, that may be a really bad assumption, making all of this moot. GD seems to really like Miami and they seem to like him.
This. I keep hearing everyone talk about him coming here to play with Luka. With the report of Luka saying his friends are telling him other cities are so much better than Dallas I can’t help but think that’s Goran mostly. He laughed at the thought of coming here when he moved from Pho to Mia. The guy doesn’t want to play here, and at his age and that attitude, Mia can keep him. Don’t waste money on the guy. Don’t understand the obsession over a guy that is trying to recruit Luka to Mia, not Luka doing it the other way around.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - F Gump - 05-28-2021

(05-28-2021, 10:40 AM)SkenfromLMF Wrote: Good catch, I forgot there are 3 levels in Non-Tax trades... I prefer building assets which is why I like using the full MLE without gutting the cupboard to create space...

I like J-Rich as an expiring contract for a future trade. I would also see bringing in Dragic as move that would eventually allow a trade of Brunson with some salary like Richardson or Powell for the ever elusive starting caliber 2-way wing...

I agree that working over the cap makes the most sense in their situation, with the talent they already have and the salary obligations that exist or are looming (unless the Mavs discover an available top 2-way star, which seems completely unlikely),

I think J-Rich and WCS options will both be exercised without much ado, and with the Mavs apparently set on keeping THJ, they're over-cap.

In that context, they really won't have an opening or need for a starting wing. It's DFS and THJ.

So my summer would aim for Batum with MLE (hopefully at less than MLE, say 6-7M) to be their main backup wing (hoping he wants to hop on a bandwagon with a modest raise, although who knows if his price would be more), and perhaps a J-Rich/??? swap as my primary moves. In theory you do have the potential for an outgoing Redick snt, either instead of J-Rich being swapped or in addition to. But I don't see a lot of new faces being added next season, maybe just 2-3.

I'd love to find a way to scoop up Holmes, but just don't see a practical way to make it happen. You'd have to move DP, and find a way to do a snt with SAC for Holmes, a 2-fer which feels like it's just not doable. It seems more likely they return the same bigs.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - Mavs2021 - 05-28-2021

We need to lift this team to a championship level.

Lavine/Markkanen/picks for Porzingis.
Sign Ibaka/Biyombo/Theis with the MLE.
Talk to Al Horford that we will keep the starting spot warm for his buyout. He´ll bring that veteran leadership and championship experience to our young roster.
Re-sign THJ.

That´s my bold (extended) summer prediction. Smile


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 05-28-2021

(05-28-2021, 09:58 AM)F Gump Wrote: Starting salary of approx 12M.

Same for a DFS extension

Dang that doesn't seem like enough money for either player


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 05-28-2021

(05-28-2021, 11:21 AM)F Gump Wrote: I think J-Rich and WCS options will both be exercised without much ado, and with the Mavs apparently set on keeping THJ, they're over-cap.

Man I would love JR on a 1 yr deal, that would definitely benefit the Mavs but I don't think that's a foregone conclusion by any means. I think that's very much in the air considering the fact that he could get similar money to his opt in elsewhere and more years attached if that's what he's going for.

To me JR's value is basically full MLE or a little bit higher, ie right at that opt in number. The standard MLE I believe is 9.5 and his opt-in is 11.6, a full two million which is not nothing. I have a hard time picturing a team with cap space going after JR with above MLE money but its possible bc he still is a top 7 rotation/borderline starting-caliber player.

Mavs would be in a good spot to go ahead and over him opt-in and extend and tell his agent they will trade him if a starting opportunity opens up somewhere.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - TurkishMFFL - 05-28-2021

Guys, Vasilije Micic is having an incredible year. He has a top notch bbiq and a great shooter and a good penetrator. He never ever backs down at crunch time. He is the latest MVP of Euroleague and now on his way to the Euroleague finals.

He is not a great defender but someone who would give the team a boost when shooting is needed. He is a former teammate of Maxi Kleber.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - Mavs2021 - 05-28-2021

(05-28-2021, 12:22 PM)TurkishMFFL Wrote: Guys, Vasilije Micic is having an incredible year. He has a top notch bbiq and a greater shooter and never ever backs down at crunch time. He is the latest MVP of Euroleague and now on his way to the Euroleague finals.

He is not a great defender but someone who would give the team a boost when shooting is needed. He is a former teammate of Maxi Kleber.

OKC has his rights.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - KillerLeft - 05-28-2021

One of the reasons Dallas has been successful in this series so far is that they know who their top 8 guys are, and the Clippers are really struggling to figure that out about themselves. 

So, it seems to me that anyone you want to bring IN to be a top 8 guy means that someone else has to STOP being a top 8 guy, right? While fan opinions of these guys might vary, I'm confident that none of them will be content getting pushed out of the top 8 while remaining on the team. So, to bring players in, players have to go. 

You want Markkanen? Fine, but understand that his role here would replace someone else's. Do you want him more than Kleber? Do you want him more than WCS/Powell? More than Porzingis? Those are the options, and LM probably won't sign on for WCS/Powell minutes. That's not what he means when he says he wants to land here (if that's even true). He's looking at Kleber's job, I promise. 

You want Dragic? You should ABSOLUTELY say goodbye to Richardson in that scenario, and honestly, Dragic might be ok with a slightly reduced bench role at this point, given his age, but as others have said, he has a lot of equity built up in the Miami machine, and my guess is that he'd like to stay there if given the opportunity (though I bet Dallas would be high on his list if Miami decides to part ways). Plus, there is no question he has overlap with Brunson, so that could be tricky. 

My point is that these things are harder to pre-judge than we think. There really aren't any actual jobs open here next year unless Richardson opts out or THJ leaves in free agency. Sure, all of these guys are upgradable, but we have to consider the logistical and continuity cost of making these moves.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - dirkfansince1998 - 05-28-2021

(05-28-2021, 01:14 PM)KillerLeft Wrote: One of the reasons Dallas has been successful in this series so far is that they know who their top 8 guys are, and the Clippers are really struggling to figure that out about themselves. 

So, it seems to me that anyone you want to bring IN to be a top 8 guy means that someone else has to STOP being a top 8 guy, right? While fan opinions of these guys might vary, I'm confident that none of them will be content getting pushed out of the top 8 while remaining on the team. So, to bring players in, players have to go. 

You want Markkanen? Fine, but understand that his role here would replace someone else's. Do you want him more than Kleber? Do you want him more than WCS/Powell? More than Porzingis? Those are the options, and LM probably won't sign on for WCS/Powell minutes. That's not what he means when he says he wants to land here (if that's even true). He's looking at Kleber's job, I promise. 

You want Dragic? You should ABSOLUTELY say goodbye to Richardson, in that scenario, and honestly, Dragic might be ok with a slightly reduced bench role at this point, given his age, but as others have said, he has a lot of equity built up in the Miami machine, and my guess is that he'd like to stay there if given the opportunity (though I bet Dallas would be high on his list if Miami decides to part ways). Plus, there is no question he has overlap with Brunson, so that could be tricky. 

My point is that these things are harder to pre-judge than we think. There really aren't any actual jobs open here next year unless Richardson opts out or THJ leaves in free agency. Sure, all of these guys are upgradable, but we have to consider the logistical and continuity cost of making these moves.


That might be true in the Mavs case but I think it is more about RC trusting 8 guys to perform on the highest level. Don´t think he would mind another big wing that could take some minutes from Maxi or DFS. The rotation depth depends on the available talent. Nuggets play 9/10 deep. Lakers at least 9. Clippers have even more options. The depth isn´t hurting them. They have other problems.
I really don´t get all the but we don´t have minutes for player x/y/z takes. If player x/y/z is better than one of the current rotation players he will get minutes. Not to mention that over the length of a season all players will get opportunities. Injuries/suspensions and other freak incidents happen. This season the Mavs started Johnson, Iwundu, Burke and/or Green for nearly a month. Replace one or two of them with better options and the Mavs probably are the 2nd or 3rd seed. Same for the bigmen rotation. With KP on the roster the Mavs could need another legit big that can start in 10-20 games. Maxi and WCS tend to miss games as well.
Players obviously want to start or at least play a lot of minutes but looking around the league quite a few players are willing to give up some minutes or accept a bench role as long as the team is a legit contender.