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2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived - Printable Version

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RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - michaeltex - 05-27-2021

Changing topic a little.

I'm asking the more astute observers here:

What is Melli's outlook? He seems to have some defensive ability, but is mostly a zero offensively. Is he broken on that end or is it a mechanical thing he can fix in the offseason? Just wondering if he could be improved by a stable team situation. He has the size to defend some of the bigger wings, so that is a plus and we probably need someone to battle with the Randalls and Kawahis in the league.

Maybe someone else is a solution, I'm just wondering if he's worth the investment to try and get his shot ramped up to acceptable levels.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - dirkfansince1998 - 05-27-2021

(05-27-2021, 09:31 AM)michaeltex Wrote: Changing topic a little.

I'm asking the more astute observers here:

What is Melli's outlook? He seems to have some defensive ability, but is mostly a zero offensively. Is he broken on that end or is it a mechanical thing he can fix in the offseason? Just wondering if he could be improved by a stable team situation. He has the size to defend some of the bigger wings, so that is a plus and we probably need someone to battle with the Randalls and Kawahis in the league.

Maybe someone else is a solution, I'm just wondering if he's worth the investment to try and get his shot ramped up to acceptable levels.

Probably not a priority but the Mavs could do a lot worse for the vet min. Just depends on the plans for the end of the bench/not dressed roster spots (13-15). What happens with Boban? What happens with Terry? Is one of the two-way players getting a guaranteed contract?
Nine players under contract. Two players with team or player options. Most posters want THJ back. Mavs won´t have more than 3-4 roster spots available in the summer (assuming that KP isn´t traded). In an over the cap scenario at least two of them will go to MLE/BAE signings. That leavs one or two spots for vet mins.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - mvossman - 05-27-2021

(05-26-2021, 10:04 PM)StepBackJay Wrote: Ya not sure who is more valuable in terms of MLE, I feel like full MLE is his value so the fact that you can pay him a little more with an opt-in and extend is an advantage. You can probably get a decent rotation player for J Rich but I might rather have J Rich all things considered. I think there is a better than 50% chance that you can either keep J Rich or get a player back for him.

I just don't see this cap room thing playing out because of the rise of THJ. Once it became clear THJ was going to play out of his mind then there is just little incentive to try to monkey with cap space.

The question is do you have that option?  I mean if JRich opts out, don't you need to work with his new team for a sign and trade?  Maybe that option is not there?  If JRich walks, and you can't get anything for him, are we better off over or under the cap?  Lets say THJ goes for 20.  Then you have potentially 14 to spend.  That would allow you to outbid the MLE and pick your favorite MLE target.  You would lose WCS for that cap space but could probably just sign him to the room.  If you can manage to get THJ for 18, then you could go to 16 for a player if you really like (maybe Holmes) or you could keep WCS, outbid MLE with 12 and have the room to get depth.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - F Gump - 05-27-2021

(05-27-2021, 09:31 AM)michaeltex Wrote: Changing topic a little.

I'm asking the more astute observers here:

What is Melli's outlook? He seems to have some defensive ability, but is mostly a zero offensively. Is he broken on that end or is it a mechanical thing he can fix in the offseason? Just wondering if he could be improved by a stable team situation. He has the size to defend some of the bigger wings, so that is a plus and we probably need someone to battle with the Randalls and Kawahis in the league.

Maybe someone else is a solution, I'm just wondering if he's worth the investment to try and get his shot ramped up to acceptable levels.

Melli is interesting, because he should be able to play better. He's smart from experience, so he knows where to be, but his inability to knock down open shots is a problem. That's odd, however, because in the last 5 years he played in Euroleague, he could make shots efficiently without being a major scorer. It's hard to find 6-9 guys who can guard the perimeter and make a shot, so I'd think the Mavs would want him back and try to fix his shot. And he is being given minutes, which might make him want to sign here.

I wouldn't make him a RFA because the $4.9M QO is bigger than he's worth, I think, but I bet the Mavs could re-sign him at the minimum based on what he's showed previously in the NBA. (That price tag should be attractive too, I suspect.)

The player I'd really like to see the Mavs chase, however, would be Batum. I suspect the Clipps can be outbid at the MLE or even smaller. Their payroll is a disaster and they can't offer him more than room MLE, and they might not even spend that MLE because they're so buried in tax, so he's probably available. He feels like the veteran who would commit to a contender wanting to be able to get a ring. And if you can get him locked up for several years at something like $15-20M total, that seems like a really good investment to me.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 05-27-2021

(05-27-2021, 09:31 AM)michaeltex Wrote: What is Melli's outlook?

I think he's a bubble NBA player at this point. He had some really nice defensive moments earlier in the season but this isn't a good matchup for him. Mavs need a legit backup wing. I am thinking you could get a guy like Mo Harkless quality without breaking the bank. Melli is a guy for sure that needs to get upgraded.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 05-27-2021

(05-27-2021, 10:06 AM)mvossman Wrote: The question is do you have that option?  I mean if JRich opts out, don't you need to work with his new team for a sign and trade?  Maybe that option is not there?  If JRich walks, and you can't get anything for him, are we better off over or under the cap?  Lets say THJ goes for 20.  Then you have potentially 14 to spend.  That would allow you to outbid the MLE and pick your favorite MLE target.  You would lose WCS for that cap space but could probably just sign him to the room.  If you can manage to get THJ for 18, then you could go to 16 for a player if you really like (maybe Holmes) or you could keep WCS, outbid MLE with 12 and have the room to get depth.

Ya so Mavs have options as you say. Mavs could operate under the cap, keep THJ, WCS and still have 10 mil cap space + rMLE if they want to go that route.

My feeling is that a trade option opens more doors for J Rich and his agent given that I doubt he can get 11-12 mil from a team with cap space. He feels more like an MLE player. That being said if a team has an RFA (LM for example) or a rotation player they are willing to give up you might be better off getting said role player + MLE and BAE.

Personally I'd rather just keep J Rich with opt-in + extend and tell him we will find him a landing spot later on if a "starting" opportunity on another team becomes available. That way he gets paid now and can still have a chance to start at some point in the future. If you kept J Rich then you'd still have MLE and BLE to add more depth.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - KillerLeft - 05-27-2021

(05-27-2021, 10:11 AM)F Gump Wrote: The player I'd really like to see the Mavs chase, however, would be Batum. I suspect the Clipps can be outbid at the MLE or even smaller. Their payroll is a disaster and they can't offer him more than room MLE, and they might not even spend that MLE because they're so buried in tax, so he's probably available. He feels like the veteran who would commit to a contender wanting to be able to get a ring. And if you can get him locked up for several years at something like $15-20M total, that seems like a really good investment to me.


This might be a good call, depending on what he has left in the tank. 

Dudes that size, with that two-way ability, who are willing and able to play minor bench roles at a super high level are exactly what every contender needs.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 05-27-2021

(05-27-2021, 10:11 AM)F Gump Wrote: The player I'd really like to see the Mavs chase, however, would be Batum. 

I like Batum as an option (along with some others), you just have to be careful about the cap in future years. Luka's RFA max will kick in 2022, and both Brunson and DFS are UFAs and due for big raises. I don't think Mavs will want to add new money to that year unless they really need to. Burke is a guy you can probably dump and Green is a guy you need to know what to do with. Mavs will have their first round pick that year that will eat up some salary unless they trade it.

All that to say Mavs will need to avoid luxury tax. We are soon going to run out of cheap rotation players.

The core in my mind of this team is Luka, KP (for now), THJ, DFS, Maxi, Brunson. Powell is a question mark. Very useful player but could be a cap casualty at some point in the future.

I think Mavs are unlikely to add a third star without subtracting players and probably need to focus on depth and filling roles for now. If Mavs ever have a chance at a star it will require subtracting players like KP, THJ, Brunson, Maxi, DFS.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - DrMav - 05-27-2021

(05-27-2021, 10:55 AM)StepBackJay Wrote: All that to say Mavs will need to avoid luxury tax.
Mark Cuban may not want to pay the luxury tax, but I don’t think we as fans should just normalize and accept that it’s ok for him to avoid it to the detriment of the team.


It made sense to dodge it when we were clearly rebuilding, but as we get this thing closer to being a yearly contender, which is hopefully in the near future, a high payroll comes with that territory. Best way to get Luka to leave will be not pay when it is warranted.

I’ll agree about the tax to the point that we don’t want to become the Trail Blazers who are capped out without a true chance to contend (IMO), but if the MBT signs smart contracts that are an accurate reflections of, or below market value for players that are a good fit, I don’t really care what the end sum adds up to.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 05-27-2021

(05-27-2021, 11:29 AM)DrMav Wrote: Mark Cuban may not want to pay the luxury tax, but I don’t think we as fans should just normalize and accept that it’s ok for him to avoid it to the detriment of the team.

It made sense to dodge it when we were clearly rebuilding, but as we get this thing closer to being a yearly contender, which is hopefully in the near future, a high payroll comes with that territory. Best way to get Luka to leave will be not pay when it is warranted.

I’ll agree about the tax to the point that we don’t want to become the Trail Blazers who are capped out without a true chance to contend (IMO), but if the MBT signs smart contracts that are an accurate reflections of, or below market value for players that are a good fit, I don’t really care what the end sum adds up to.

The luxury tax has actual real penalties. I don't care about Cubes' money but being in the luxury tax is not a good thing to be in unless its for locking up multiple max player stars. If Mavs by some chance find themselves with 3 max stars then luxury tax makes okay sense but otherwise it doesn't benefit the team. You lose the full MLE and trading matching is harder.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - mvossman - 05-27-2021

(05-27-2021, 10:37 AM)StepBackJay Wrote: Ya so Mavs have options as you say. Mavs could operate under the cap, keep THJ, WCS and still have 10 mil cap space + rMLE if they want to go that route.

My feeling is that a trade option opens more doors for J Rich and his agent given that I doubt he can get 11-12 mil from a team with cap space. He feels more like an MLE player. That being said if a team has an RFA (LM for example) or a rotation player they are willing to give up you might be better off getting said role player + MLE and BAE.

Personally I'd rather just keep J Rich with opt-in + extend and tell him we will find him a landing spot later on if a "starting" opportunity on another team becomes available. That way he gets paid now and can still have a chance to start at some point in the future. If you kept J Rich then you'd still have MLE and BLE to add more depth.

Actually I'm saying the opposite.  They may not have an option regarding JRich.  I would greatly prefer that they get some kind of value out of him and operate over the cap, but if he walks and there is not an S&T to be had, then we don't have the option to keep/trade him.  In that case, as long as THJ is 21 or under then I think it makes sense to operate under the cap (they will have more than the MLE to spend).

Edit: I guess I glossed over your contention that JRich would be better off with the trade option.  I hope you are correct.  That would make for a straight forward off season.  Get something of value for JRich, re-sign THJ, get MLE.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - omahen - 05-27-2021

(05-27-2021, 12:11 PM)mvossman Wrote: Get something of value for JRich, re-sign THJ, get MLE.


I will try to open this dillema again. If you give rotation minutes to Green, where are the two positions of need you are bringing two players in (value for JRich is one and MLE is the other)? One position of need is PF or big wing, we all agree on this one, I guess. Which is the other? If you bring PG you reduce Brunson minutes. If you bring "new JRich" you reduce Green minutes. We already covered the PF with one guy and we have KP, Powell, WCS at center. I just don't see the need for two "mediocre" MLE level players. I think the aim should be higher, "sacrifying" one of the "mediocre" guys.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - DrMav - 05-27-2021

(05-27-2021, 11:41 AM)StepBackJay Wrote: The luxury tax has actual real penalties. I don't care about Cubes' money but being in the luxury tax is not a good thing to be in unless its for locking up multiple max player stars. If Mavs by some chance find themselves with 3 max stars then luxury tax makes okay sense but otherwise it doesn't benefit the team. You lose the full MLE and trading matching is harder.
I think it depends on how you want to look at it. If you get into the tax, you have those downsides, but hopefully you only got into the tax because you’ve built a good/contending team. 

If you successfully avoid the tax by not resigning guys, not trading for guys, dumping your draft picks, etc, then you probably have a worse team on the court and less assets in the war chest for the benefit of having some available opportunities. Those opportunities also may never emerge, or maybe your FO won’t even go after them because that will put you into the tax, or now because you don’t have that young player or value contract you have less assets to make deals with.

If the pieces align and you can build a contender while staying under the tax that’s great I guess, but I think you just have to hope for a good FO and let the money end up where it ends up. 

Also, with Luka, we shouldn’t be aiming for just 1 championship. We should be thinking dynasty, and that will certainly require the tax at some point.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 05-27-2021

(05-27-2021, 12:11 PM)mvossman Wrote: Edit: I guess I glossed over your contention that JRich would be better off with the trade option.  I hope you are correct.  That would make for a straight forward off season.  Get something of value for JRich, re-sign THJ, get MLE.

Ya I just think the odds are better than 50% bc of that opt-in number which to me is slightly higher than teams with space probably want to pay J Rich (and obv more than MLE). If you are a team with a Satoransky or someone of that quality and you can swap them out for J Rich that is probably an easy win. For the Mavs it's also an easy win to get a rotation player, probably expiring for basically nothing. Obv both sides need to find a match but I don't think it's impossible. 

If you get a good rotation player then you still have MLE, BAE left at your disposal. If no match happens then ya you might just use the non-THJ money and rMLE to sign two rotation guys.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 05-27-2021

(05-27-2021, 12:49 PM)DrMav Wrote: Also, with Luka, we shouldn’t be aiming for just 1 championship. We should be thinking dynasty, and that will certainly require the tax at some point.

I don't disagree with that at all but it needs to make sense. I don't think luxury tax is worth the real roster-building penalties until you are sure you want to lock in a championship contending team.

Mavs still need to continue to find ways of replacing more expensive role players with cheaper ones that give similar production (either through FA bargains or the draft). As they get better then veteran players actually will take discounts to come to your team so you don't have to overpay.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 05-27-2021

The real interesting thing is the Lauri news because he would be quite an asset to pick up. Bulls are ready to move on. A J Rich trade gives them the opportunity to get something of value in return. If Mavs are willing to give Lauri market rate or somewhere above that (up to maybe 14 mil yr one) and Lauri wants to sign with the Mavs then it puts the Bulls in a tough spot. They can either let him walk for nothing, keep him and have to move him later or take the deal from the Mavs. This also assumes they value J Rich as a player as well as the contract number he would require.

For the Mavs getting a talent like LM + having MLE and BAE left would be big. It would mean you also are able to keep WCS with him TO. At that point you are just trying to avoid the luxury tax line.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - SleepingHero - 05-27-2021

(05-27-2021, 10:11 AM)F Gump Wrote: The player I'd really like to see the Mavs chase, however, would be Batum. I suspect the Clipps can be outbid at the MLE or even smaller. Their payroll is a disaster and they can't offer him more than room MLE, and they might not even spend that MLE because they're so buried in tax, so he's probably available. He feels like the veteran who would commit to a contender wanting to be able to get a ring. And if you can get him locked up for several years at something like $15-20M total, that seems like a really good investment to me.


I actually really like Batum as a sneaky pickup. Especially if its on the cheap.

If we're thinking about wing scorers that are past their prime and can defend, why not give Rudy Gay a look?


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - DanSchwartzgan - 05-27-2021

(05-27-2021, 10:11 AM)F Gump Wrote: The player I'd really like to see the Mavs chase, however, would be Batum. I suspect the Clipps can be outbid at the MLE or even smaller. Their payroll is a disaster and they can't offer him more than room MLE, and they might not even spend that MLE because they're so buried in tax, so he's probably available. He feels like the veteran who would commit to a contender wanting to be able to get a ring. And if you can get him locked up for several years at something like $15-20M total, that seems like a really good investment to me.


Out of all the flawed PF options, Batum is probably the least flawed (other than being 32).  You get D and passing and 3 point shooting and just a savvy veteran game.  I’m guessing you’d add him to the bench and keep Maxi starting.  That PF combo covers the archetypes that we face at the position.  We really need another viable body at this position.  At the MLE you end up with:

KP/WC-Powell
Maxi/Batum.      
DFS/JRich.         
THJ/Green.        
Luka/Brunson    

Assuming we take care of business with the Clippers (I think we lose 2 of the next 3 and win game six at home), We are probably going to struggle with Utah.  Our starters can typically hang with anyone.  But their bench is too much for us to handle.  Batum would close the gap and allow us to have no significant holes among our top nine.  I’d give some thought to keeping Redick another year just to provide one more element off the bench.  In an ideal world Green is ready to back up two positions by the start of the 22/23 season and we can move on from JRich and Redick if he’s ready and if we get any development from Terry and Bey.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 05-27-2021

(05-27-2021, 02:01 PM)SleepingHero Wrote: I actually really like Batum as a sneaky pickup. Especially if its on the cheap.

If we're thinking about wing scorers that are past their prime and can defend, why not give Rudy Gay a look?

I think you gotta look for wing help no doubt and there are several options out there at varying level of quality:

Batum, Gay, Harkless, OPJ, D Green, Ariza, Snell, Iguodala, Bullock, JaMychal Green, Tucker, Millsap. Lots of different options, I think Mavs would be trying to find a bargain depth guy so that we don't have to play Melli in a playoff game. Wings tend to pick up fouls so having someone behind DFS, Maxi who can provide quality minutes would be ideal.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - dirkfansince1998 - 05-27-2021

(05-27-2021, 02:01 PM)SleepingHero Wrote: I actually really like Batum as a sneaky pickup. Especially if its on the cheap.

If we're thinking about wing scorers that are past their prime and can defend, why not give Rudy Gay a look?

Two years older. Better iso scorer and post player. I prefer Batums all around game. Just a really nice skill set for a role player. Defense, rebounding, shooting, passing. All above average.

If the Mavs really want to keep the current crew together (not the biggest fan of that approach). It makes a lot of sense to fill out the roster with guys like him. Would put guards like McConnell/Caruso and bigs like Millsap/Theis in the same category. Improve the depth chart. Add situational starters/high minute players.