2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived - Printable Version +- MavsBoard (https://www.mavsboard.com) +-- Forum: Boards (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=1) +--- Forum: Dallas Mavericks and the NBA (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=2) +--- Thread: 2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived (/showthread.php?tid=682) Pages:
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RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - dirkfansince1998 - 05-08-2021 (05-07-2021, 11:39 PM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: Do you recall what all happened in the summer of 2016. Durant went to GS, Barnes signed with Dallas, Dwight Powell got his first big contract at about $9mm per year. Dallas had just removed his QO in late June making him unrestricted. Then, Deron Williams agreed to a number and then agreed to whittle that number because the front office figured out they could do the big Dirk one year $25mm deal if they paid DWill a little less. Schwartz delivered Barnes and got good deals for Powell and DWill in the process. He was in such a strong position in terms of what he got for Williams that he gave back $1mm so the team could pay Dirk. Agree that this is how it works behind the scenes but If this is the best Duffy and Schwartz have done "for" the Mavs it might be time to change the approach. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - ItsGoTime - 05-08-2021 (05-08-2021, 09:36 AM)Omega_Supreme Wrote: They need a guy that can be a ball handler but also a ISO scorer that can demand double teams which is why Derozan is at the top of my list but I fear he will be a Laker. Brogdon is: 80th percentile in spot up 70th percentile in iso 77th percentile in off screen 66th percentile in transition 60th percentile in pnr ball handler 68th percentile in handoffs 31st percentile in cuts The rest of the stats are more of what we’re not interested in him doing like roll man, post ups and put backs. His best use is for sure as a spot up guy, but he is well above average off screen, iso and in handoffs. He’s above average in transition and as pnr ball handler and a bad cutter. Add to that that he is high up on the list of guarding the toughest opponents and you have about the best jack of all trades you can get. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - DanSchwartzgan - 05-08-2021 (05-08-2021, 10:51 AM)dirkfansince1998 Wrote: Agree that this is how it works behind the scenes but If this is the best Duffy and Schwartz have done "for" the Mavs it might be time to change the approach. At the time...(pause for emphasis)...Barnes was a pretty good get. We had already had four seasons of futility by then. Dallas didn't do anything of significance with Duffy for almost 15 years following the Nash fiasco. This is a pretty new phenomenon with him and I don't totally trust it. It might be a marriage of convenience. Maybe Luka wanted to come here. Maybe he hated the idea of going to Sacramento or Atlanta. Who knows. For years Fish and DLord poo pooed the idea that Schwartz and Fegan were any more "team friendly" toward Dallas than others. When Fish finally asked Donnie, he got the now-famous quote that both of those guys deserved rings for their contributions to the 2011 team. Schwartz is in the agent hall of fame here as far as I'm concerned. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - Mavs2021 - 05-08-2021 (05-08-2021, 09:56 AM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: "widely reported" means a guy at Bleacher Report named A. Sherrod Blakely (who is based in Boston) wrote a story and other outlets (as often happens) picked up a line and created an "expected to forego" story. Here is the line: He covered all angles. You just don´t like that it doesn´t comfirm your own opinion. The Bulls can only offer him a large max extension, if he makes an All-NBA team or they waive Markkanen, Satoransky and Young. So that makes the 23rd best team in the league even worse. Neither scenario is very likely and the other extension options are simply not financial worth it. Furthermore he covered the penny-pinching history of the Bulls ownership, so it´s not even clear they even want to offer Lavine a (super) max extension. All in all it´s more likely, Lavine will put in a trade request. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - omahen - 05-08-2021 (05-08-2021, 10:06 AM)Branduil Wrote: I'm sure Chicago wants to win but the Vuc trade sure didn't do that for them. I think because they still need a PG. They wanted Ball for Markkanen but NO didn't play along. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - DanSchwartzgan - 05-08-2021 (05-08-2021, 10:33 AM)Tyler Wrote: The idea of trading JRich for Young to help Chicago keep Lavine makes a lot of sense. But if Duffy has as much pull as you say (I think he does), then the only problem I see is the assumption that he'll have JRich opt in. Now if there's a S&T that also works where JRich gets paid long-term while Chicago clears enough short-term money to renegotiate Lavine's deal, I do think there's some opportunity there. I believe JRich is extension eligible in Chicago after the opt-in. I'm not seeing the team that will go above $14mm this summer for JRich, so the extension really would be an agent favor. There are alternative versions of this where we end up with Markkanen instead of Young and Chicago ends up in the same position. Young could go to a third team for no returning salary (just picks) and we could trade JRich for S&T Markkanen as long as we are under the cap afterwards. In the presser after the TDL, Donnie talked about how SG's SF's and perimeter shooting PF's should want to sign here to play with Luka. Was that a reference to Markkanen? I just don't see it if KP is still here. But, if you trade KP for Rozier-Plus, then I love Omahen's idea of LM and Holmes as your front court. Starters would be Holmes/Markkanen with DFS, Rozier and Luka starting and three is room to keep THJ so that your bench is Powell/Maxi/THJ/Green/Brunson. (05-08-2021, 11:31 AM)Mavs2021 Wrote: He covered all angles. You just don´t like that it doesn´t comfirm your own opinion. The Bulls can only offer him a large max extension, if he makes an All-NBA team or they waive Markkanen, Satoransky and Young. So that makes the 23rd best team in the league even worse. Simply not true. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 05-08-2021 (05-08-2021, 10:14 AM)mvossman Wrote: I feel like this is completely ignoring the defensive side of the ball. We are already way better offensively than defensively. Not sure why we would spend our remaining assets making a really good offense better and ignoring a middling defense at best (which is what options 1, 2 and 5 would do). That is not a route to contention. The top priority on a shooting guard next to Luka is a high level defender that does not hurt you on offense (both Wright and JRich have already failed that second part). It would be very helpful if that player could take some play making duties off Luka's shoulders. A final bonus would be if that player could create, but guys that fit all three of those are max contract stars and I don't see a path to getting one of them. Conley, Brog, Lowry all play defense. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - DanSchwartzgan - 05-08-2021 From Bulls Confidential. Many other sources have written this story: I want to give Eric Pincus credit here first, as he brought up this point that I missed until he mentioned it. There is a slight issue when it comes to extending Zach LaVine. Because LaVine only makes $19.5 million in his last season, there is a limit to what the Bulls can extend him to. When you extend a player, the first year in that extension can NOT be more than 120 percent of the player’s previous salary. With LaVine only making $19.5 mil, the 1st year of his extension can not be over $23.4 million. And in an extension, the salary can only go up eight percent of the first year’s salary. Eight percent of $23.4 mil is $1,872,000. So at most the Bulls can extend LaVine to the following amount the next four years: 2022/23: $23,400,000 2023/24: $25,272,000 2024/25: $27,144,000 2025/26: $29,016,000 That is a four year, $104.8 million extension. With the 2021/22 season included, that is a five year, $124.3 million contract. That is the absolute most money the Bulls can extend LaVine for at this time. That unfortunately is below LaVine’s max. This is LaVine at his max amount in each of those seasons: 2022/23: $34,735,800 2023/24: $37,514,664 2024/25: $40,293,528 2025/26: $43,072,392 That’s $189.3 million over four years. That’s at least an $80 million dollar difference from what the Bulls can extend him at. For the Bulls to be able to offer LaVine his max, they need to let him hit unrestricted free agency. Then they can use his Bird rights, and sign him up to his max contract value. The risk with this move is LaVine as an unrestricted free agent can sign with anyone. He doesn’t even have to talk to the Bulls ever again. He could just leave, and the Bulls could do nothing. Which is why teams usually try to get an extension done. But as I mentioned the Bulls are limited because LaVine has out performed his contract, and they can only offer him his max with him becoming a free agent. Well actually, there is a one way: The renegotiate and extend. In the NBA you can renegotiate(to increase salary, never decrease) a player’s contract under the following conditions:
The Bulls can save $14.2 mil in cap space, and use that cap space to renegotiate LaVine to his max contract for the 2021/22 season. You would raise his salary from $19.5mil to 33.7mil. Then in the very same instance extend his contract the next 4 seasons at his max. Essentially, the Bulls will be extending LaVine to five years, $189 million, and it will start next season(2021/22) with his newly renegotiated salary of $33.7million. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 05-08-2021 I haven't seen renegotiation a lot so I can't really speak to that. I am sure the Bulls will offer an extension that they'd love LaVine to sign but like most max players in his position I imagine we will see him decline it and head into the season as a UFA. What typically happens then is the team decides whether or not to trade the player or try to keep them. LaVine also could ask for a trade. I just think the timing isn't good because the Mavs will need to make moves this summer. Their shot at LaVine would be next summer if he reaches UFA which happens less and less for max players these days. Mavs leverage in this situation would be if they were like ya Duffy we will offer up KP + other assets for LaVine, Vuc if you get him to ask for a trade with Dallas on the short-list. That would create a Duffy big 3 in Dallas which would be like the worst defensive team in the league lol. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - dirkfansince1998 - 05-08-2021 (05-08-2021, 11:25 AM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: At the time...(pause for emphasis)...Barnes was a pretty good get. We had already had four seasons of futility by then. I don´t think signing Barnes was a win for the Mavs. Even at the time. So the agents are basically in the Cuban / Donnie category. No succesful Mavs free agency since the championship. I get that teams have stronger connections with certain agents (Lakers/Clutch) but it is not always a good thing. Simply not a fan of the MBTs approach, the front office personal and the role of agents. Reeks of nepotism. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - Mavs2021 - 05-08-2021 (05-08-2021, 11:56 AM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: From Bulls Confidential. Many other sources have written this story: That is exactly what the person in the BR article wrote. They need to raise Lavine´s 2021/2022 salary from 19.5M to 33.7M, which means.... Lavine 33.7 Vucevic 26.0 Young 14.2 [6.0 buyout] Aminu 10.2 Satoransky 10.0 [5.0 buyout] Williams 7.5 White 5.9 Brown 5.2 Arcidiacono 3.0 ======== $115.7M (so with just nine players this max extension is already not cap legal) So they can buyout Young and Satoransky.... Lavine 33.7 Vucevic 26.0 Young/Satoransky buyouts 11.0 Aminu 10.2 Williams 7.5 White 5.9 Brown 5.2 Arcidiacono 3.0 ============= $91.5M for seven players Meaning they have $24.5M left for six roster spots. So the BR-article is spot on. Okay they can theoretically keep Markkanen´s $17M caphold and sign four minimum players with the rest. That´s assuming the notoriously cheap Bulls owner, who refused to re-negotiate Scottie Pippen´s contract and give Butler the super-max, will 1.) agree to give Lavine the super-max and an extra $14M above his current salary next year 2.) pay Thad Young and Tomas Satoransky $11M to play for other teams. All in all this strongly points to Lavine getting traded this summer or he is headed to FA next summer. The wildcard is obviously the All-NBA selection, but with the Wizards rise and the Bulls fall, that 6th spot is nailed on for Beal. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - Mapka - 05-08-2021 (05-08-2021, 09:22 AM)StepBackJay Wrote: Brogdon is infinitely better than those guys. Brog is a very well-rounded player. He can score, pass, rebound get the the free throw line a little bit and play defense. He can also shoot outside. Perfect fit next to Luka. I would not trade KP for him unless Mavs really had to move KP and they would need more back than Brog. I will not believe in anyone being a fit or no fit next to Luka until they play together. But if I could chose a word I don´t want to hear, it would be well-rounded. I got into this with saying I don´t want to pay this price for Brogdon, what was Maxi and Powell. I don´t want to mess with our frontcourt or bench at this moment, I want to add some real playmaking instead of the "secondary playmaking" JRich provides. There has to be a way to get a plus starter without cutting our rotation. If we asume JRich opts out, there will be like 14-17Mio after THJ got his. If he opts in, we can trade up to that in pieces and a pick and whatever we get for our MLE. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 05-08-2021 (05-08-2021, 12:57 PM)Mapka Wrote: I will not believe in anyone being a fit or no fit next to Luka until they play together. But if I could chose a word I don´t want to hear, it would be well-rounded. You are talking to a Brogdon superfan but yes ideally the Mavs can improve their team without cutting into their rotation sans J Rich. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - ClutchDirk - 05-08-2021 Satoransky would be a nice target for depth if Chicago has to dump him... RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - Omega_Supreme - 05-08-2021 (05-08-2021, 10:14 AM)mvossman Wrote: I feel like this is completely ignoring the defensive side of the ball. We are already way better offensively than defensively. Not sure why we would spend our remaining assets making a really good offense better and ignoring a middling defense at best (which is what options 1, 2 and 5 would do). That is not a route to contention. The top priority on a shooting guard next to Luka is a high level defender that does not hurt you on offense (both Wright and JRich have already failed that second part). It would be very helpful if that player could take some play making duties off Luka's shoulders. A final bonus would be if that player could create, but guys that fit all three of those are max contract stars and I don't see a path to getting one of them. I strongly disagree here...I think our offense is good to win games in the regular season but its not as a good as it needs to be for a playoff run. You also have to limit Luka's usage rate and have a secondary option when teams throw double teams at him. Our team is fucked if Luka has to miss any length of time. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - BasketballJones41 - 05-08-2021 (05-08-2021, 01:36 PM)ClutchDirk Wrote: Satoransky would be a nice target for depth if Chicago has to dump him...This would be an excellent under the radar move. I thought we should’ve gone after Sato instead of Wright last off-season. He’s a good facilitator, defender, and can knock down his open threes. He’s also 6’7 which makes him versatile on both sides of the ball. Everything about his game fits our system. I would love some sort of sign and trade with the bulls that landed us Sato and Markkanen. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - ClutchDirk - 05-08-2021 (05-08-2021, 02:03 PM)BasketballJones41 Wrote: This would be an excellent under the radar move. I thought we should’ve gone after Sato instead of Wright last off-season. He’s a good facilitator, defender, and can knock down his open threes. He’s also 6’7 which makes him versatile on both sides of the ball. Everything about his game fits our system. I would love some sort of sign and trade with the bulls that landed us Sato and Markkanen. Him and Green would be a good SG combo to have for matchup purposes...unless you get a stud SG...would allow is to address PF next to KP with a lot of money to spend... RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - DanSchwartzgan - 05-08-2021 (05-08-2021, 12:33 PM)Mavs2021 Wrote: That is exactly what the person in the BR article wrote. They need to raise Lavine´s 2021/2022 salary from 19.5M to 33.7M, This is really getting old 21. You're confusing a CBS article with the BR article I referenced in my original post. I described "widely reported" as various sites playing off of a linked BLEACHER REPORT story by A. Sherrod Blakely on 4/14 where he quotes "Rival Executives" and says LaVine "will likely let his deal lapse, become an unrestricted free agent and sign what will be a more lucrative multiyear max pact". Other outlets jumped on that as a reason to write there own article including the one StrandedOnBeauboisHill posted. As I indicated in my response to Stranded, there is ABSOLUTELY NO MENTION of using cap room to renegotiate and extend in the BR-ARTICLE. So, wrong on count number one. I'm sorry you were in such a hurry to write your gotcha post that you missed this when you wrote: Mavs2021 Wrote: He covered all angles. You just don´t like that it doesn´t comfirm your own opinion. The Bulls can only offer him a large max extension, if he makes an All-NBA team or they waive Markkanen, Satoransky and Young Problem number two: Your use of the word ONLY and the two possibilities you site are incomplete. Chicago DOES NOT HAVE TO "waive Markkanen, Satoransky and Young" to raise LaVine's salary from $19.5mm to $33.7mm, nor does he have to make an all-NBA team. They are within $2 million of having the cap room they need by simply moving on from Markkanen. I posted a nice article that lays this all out for you. It just so happens that a JRich for Young swap solves the issue and allows Satoransky to be retained. . RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 05-08-2021 (05-08-2021, 02:45 PM)ClutchDirk Wrote: Him and Green would be a good SG combo to have for matchup purposes...unless you get a stud SG...would allow is to address PF next to KP with a lot of money to spend... Satoransky is fine but Mavs need to think bigger than that. Honestly with Powell looking great I don't think PF is a huge priority. Mavs #1 priority has to be to get a secondary playmaker. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 05-08-2021 https://sportsnaut.com/new-york-knicks-free-agency-rumors-2021/ Knicks have their eyes on J-money which has me worried. Also this article indicates he can become an RFA which I know @"F Gump" has disputed many times. |