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2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived - Printable Version

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RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - mvossman - 05-07-2021

(05-07-2021, 02:33 PM)StepBackJay Wrote: I want Brog real bad. I would try to get him maybe with a Brunson type trade.

I love Brunson but he's also due for a new contract soon. Brog would be perfect.

Brog seems like a perfect fit.  I'm skeptical the Pacers would be interested in a Brunson for Brogdon trade.  If they really are looking to blow it up, I don't see them wanting KP either.  What might make sense is a three way trade between Pacers, Warriors and Mavs with the key pieces being:

Indiana gets Wiggins and pick
GS gets KP
Mavs get Brogdon

Indiana would have to add something to make the numbers work.  Maybe a sign and trade of McDermott to Mavs or maybe they throw in Turner and we throw in Burke.  

If we decide to trade KP, this is probably our best case reasonable scenario.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - SleepingHero - 05-07-2021

Honestly seeing how this team needs a rim roller AND someone to defend the rim I wonder if ATL is contemplating moving on from Capela.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - Scott41theMavs - 05-07-2021

(05-07-2021, 04:33 PM)SleepingHero Wrote: Honestly seeing how this team needs a rim roller AND someone to defend the rim I wonder if ATL is contemplating moving on from Capela.

They aren't going to move on from both Collins and Capela, and Capela is one of their big minute guys whom they supposedly love.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - DanSchwartzgan - 05-07-2021

(05-07-2021, 12:05 PM)omahen Wrote: I think time to think about Young and Conley was last season. They are playing way too good this season for their teams to let them go for (basically) nothing. Sure I would be all for JRich for Young, but I don't see it without picks attached. Are you still for it in that case? 

Chicago absolutely needs good defenders next to Vuc and LaVine and I will be extremely surprised if Markkanen is not the odd guy out from their frontcourt rotation. Theis and Young are perfect next to Vuc. The other thing Chicago desperately needs is a PG pass first floor general that plays defense. If I combine the dots and it is Markkanen going out for that PG in a SnT. I don't think LaVine will want to sign an extension.

Utah has a couple of years window with Gobert and Mitchel. How can they get better if they let Conley walk? I just don't see it.

I'm working under the assumption that Chicago's trade for Vucevic was agent orchestrated.  I think Chicago will do what it takes to create the room and extend LaVine.  You point to one of the issues with this line of thinking...they have to let Markkanen walk for nothing.  Someone will make a nice offer for Markkanen.  Maybe San Antonio.  Heck, I LOVED your post about a Holmes/Markkanen front court in Dallas IF KP is gone (just not sure that is going to happen).  I'm not sure someone will give up an asset for Markkanen knowing Chicago can't hold him and execute the LaVine extension.

Is there a way to max LaVine and get something for Markkanen?  Theoretically yes.  The incoming PG has to be cheap and they have to drop or trade Satoransky (dropping him creates $5mm, giving him to a cap-room team for no returning salary creates $10mm).  Or, you have to pay someone to take Aminu into space for no returning salary.  What $5-$10mm PG will Markkanen get you that is a significant upgrade from Satoransky?

As you know, Utah doesn't have a vote as to whether to "let" Conley do anything.  They aren't traditionally a tax payer and they are at $133mm without him.  He is a mile better than Lowry at this point and should be the Mav's target if they decide to go all-in on one guy.  The year he is having is just nuts.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - DanSchwartzgan - 05-07-2021

KP came up on the Hardwood Knocks Podcast.

Their take is Dallas is one to 1.5 players away from a championship.  They don't think Dallas will trade KP.  What Dallas wants to see is another star that can be 2A or 2B with KP or maybe makes KP the third best player on the team.  

They did start by saying there aren't obvious trade suitors and mentioned Charlotte (what Rozier-plus package would Dallas want?  Would Charlotte do that?  They went to something similar to what was discussed here).  By the end of the conversation they said the market for KP would be "vast" and he wouldn't be "hard to trade".  But, they concluded it could happen, but more likely a year from now and only after a disappointing season.  Preference is KP Plus another really good player and they want to give that a shot.

Brunson was interviewed on Lowe Post Podcast episode that dropped today.  About to listen now.  Will report if anything interesting next time I'm signed on.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - cow - 05-07-2021

I don't think Utah will have a problem giving Conley a 3-year deal.   Next year would be their heaviest tax penalty and they've got a few contacts they could trade pretty easily.  Conley is super productive and on a team that is a contender.  Pursuing him seems like a waste of effort.  The best chance you'd get to pry Conley out of Utah is if they win it all and you money whip him with a long contract.

(05-07-2021, 05:23 PM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: KP came up on the Hardwood Knocks Podcast.

Their take is Dallas is one to 1.5 players away from a championship.  They don't think Dallas will trade KP.  What Dallas wants to see is another star that can be 2A or 2B with KP or maybe makes KP the third best player on the team.  

They did start by saying there aren't obvious trade suitors and mentioned Charlotte (what Rozier-plus package would Dallas want?  Would Charlotte do that?  They went to something similar to what was discussed here).  By the end of the conversation they said the market for KP would be "vast" and he wouldn't be "hard to trade".  But, they concluded it could happen, but more likely a year from now and only after a disappointing season.  Preference is KP Plus another really good player and they want to give that a shot.

Brunson was interviewed on Lowe Post Podcast episode that dropped today.  About to listen now.  Will report if anything interesting next time I'm signed on.

I'm long believed the MBT would be stubborn with holding onto KP.  This season has changed that.  There are a lot of factors involved, but it mostly comes down to availability.  I still think it's going to be their preference to hold onto KP but it's much, much closer to a coin flip at this point than a sure thing.

I'm sure the interest in KP would be vast.  Deals that would be attractive for both teams in the trade scenario...not so vast.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - Mavs2021 - 05-07-2021

(05-07-2021, 05:12 PM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: I'm working under the assumption that Chicago's trade for Vucevic was agent orchestrated.  I think Chicago will do what it takes to create the room and extend LaVine.  You point to one of the issues with this line of thinking...they have to let Markkanen walk for nothing.  Someone will make a nice offer for Markkanen.  Maybe San Antonio.  Heck, I LOVED your post about a Holmes/Markkanen front court in Dallas IF KP is gone (just not sure that is going to happen).  I'm not sure someone will give up an asset for Markkanen knowing Chicago can't hold him and execute the LaVine extension.

Is there a way to max LaVine and get something for Markkanen?  Theoretically yes.  The incoming PG has to be cheap and they have to drop or trade Satoransky (dropping him creates $5mm, giving him to a cap-room team for no returning salary creates $10mm).  Or, you have to pay someone to take Aminu into space for no returning salary.  What $5-$10mm PG will Markkanen get you that is a significant upgrade from Satoransky?

As you know, Utah doesn't have a vote as to whether to "let" Conley do anything.  They aren't traditionally a tax payer and they are at $133mm without him.  He is a mile better than Lowry at this point and should be the Mav's target if they decide to go all-in on one guy.  The year he is having is just nuts.
You seriously lost me with the Chicago talk.

Lavine has played on shitshow teams his whole career. The Bulls are sitting in 11th place in the lowly East with the 23rd best record in the league.

Why in the world would Lavine sign a max extension this summer?


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 05-07-2021

(05-07-2021, 03:55 PM)mvossman Wrote: Brog seems like a perfect fit.  I'm skeptical the Pacers would be interested in a Brunson for Brogdon trade.  If they really are looking to blow it up, I don't see them wanting KP either.  What might make sense is a three way trade between Pacers, Warriors and Mavs with the key pieces being:

Indiana gets Wiggins and pick
GS gets KP
Mavs get Brogdon

Indiana would have to add something to make the numbers work.  Maybe a sign and trade of McDermott to Mavs or maybe they throw in Turner and we throw in Burke.  

If we decide to trade KP, this is probably our best case reasonable scenario.

I am still thinking KP isn't going to get traded this offseason unless he's a real PITA behind the scenes. Brog for KP would hopefully be KP's floor in terms of trade value. I'd love to find a way to get Brog without giving up KP.

Going back to Brunson, I have gone back and forth on him but given his contract situation I might want to use him in a package that gets back that starting playmaker/ball mover (be it Brogdon or someone else), assuming you can't get that player outright in free agency.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - DanSchwartzgan - 05-07-2021

(05-07-2021, 05:36 PM)Mavs2021 Wrote: You seriously lost me with the Chicago talk.

Lavine has played on shitshow teams his whole career. The Bulls are sitting in 11th place in the lowly East with the 23rd best record in the league.

Why in the world would Lavine sign a max extension this summer?

So, this kind of thinking (which I term “what I would do if I were a pro athlete and already had millions”) happens a lot on message boards.  But, it isn’t how players (and especially agents) think.  If you have to ask why (in the world) someone would lock in $189 million and not risk being the next DeMarcus Cousins, you are thinking WAY too much like a fan and not at all like a player.  There is no greater priority for LaVine and Duffy this summer.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - DanSchwartzgan - 05-07-2021

(05-07-2021, 05:23 PM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: Brunson was interviewed on Lowe Post Podcast episode that dropped today.  About to listen now.  Will report if anything interesting next time I'm signed on.

It was a pretty good listen.  Mostly personal stuff.  He ribs Luka about his height/weight.  Whenever Luka is introduced by the PA announcer “from Slovenia standing at 6’ 7 inches”, Luka yells “six foot eight”.  Brunson then yells “Six-five and 250”


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 05-07-2021

(05-07-2021, 06:22 PM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: So, this kind of thinking (which I term “what I would do if I were a pro athlete and already had millions”) happens a lot on message boards.  But, it isn’t how players (and especially agents) think.  If you have to ask why (in the world) someone would lock in $189 million and not risk being the next DeMarcus Cousins, you are thinking WAY too much like a fan and not at all like a player.  There is no greater priority for LaVine and Duffy this summer.

Stars don't have to lock in money any more they just force a trade. LaVine being an expiring contract on a crappy team can play that card any time he wants. He's 26 entering his prime so I doubt he wants to waste it on a Bulls team that's going nowhere. Anyways I'd be surprised if he did an extension. If I am him I'd want to keep my options open.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - Hogmelon - 05-07-2021

(05-07-2021, 06:22 PM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: So, this kind of thinking (which I term “what I would do if I were a pro athlete and already had millions”) happens a lot on message boards.  But, it isn’t how players (and especially agents) think.  If you have to ask why (in the world) someone would lock in $189 million and not risk being the next DeMarcus Cousins, you are thinking WAY too much like a fan and not at all like a player.  There is no greater priority for LaVine and Duffy this summer.

OK, Dan ...

Are you telling me that professional basketball players (and their agents) actually place a high priority on ... (dare I say it?) ... filthy lucre???  OMG!!!

I wonder if that is why Anthony Davis [for example] signed a 5-year contract extension with the New Orleans Pelicans on July 9, 2015.  And now he's worrying himself sick about the possibility of a play-in situation, with the shitshow Lakers having won only nine of their last 25 games.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - StepBackJay - 05-07-2021

Pretty sure AD's last Pels contract was his RFA max which every RFA to date has signed. LaVine is going to be a UFA in 2022 if he doesn't sign an extension. Following what his peers do I doubt he would sign an extension. You never know though, I believe Beal signed an extension with the Wiz when he didn't have to.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - DanSchwartzgan - 05-07-2021

(05-07-2021, 06:40 PM)StepBackJay Wrote: Stars don't have to lock in money any more they just force a trade. LaVine being an expiring contract on a crappy team can play that card any time he wants. He's 26 entering his prime so I doubt he wants to waste it on a Bulls team that's going nowhere. Anyways I'd be surprised if he did an extension. If I am him I'd want to keep my options open.

There it is again...”if I’m him” and “I doubt he wants to waste it”.  Not meaning to be snarky, but you’ve got experience putting $189mm at risk to get to a different town/company?  Obviously not.  There are only so many humans who have.  Yet, we (collective we) feel very comfortable saying what someone in that position should do.    

If he can force a trade, why not max out financially first and then force the trade?


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - Mavs2021 - 05-07-2021

(05-07-2021, 06:22 PM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: So, this kind of thinking (which I term “what I would do if I were a pro athlete and already had millions”) happens a lot on message boards.  But, it isn’t how players (and especially agents) think.  If you have to ask why (in the world) someone would lock in $189 million and not risk being the next DeMarcus Cousins, you are thinking WAY too much like a fan and not at all like a player.  There is no greater priority for LaVine and Duffy this summer.

I apologize, guess I´m just not as smart as you. You convinced me. Let´s trade Josh Richardson for Thad Young and sign Mike Conley.

One question though: Why do the Bulls feel the need to trade for Josh Richardson to keep Duffy happy, when Lavine´s highest priority is to sign a max extension this summer anyway? Huh


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - SleepingHero - 05-07-2021

(05-07-2021, 05:36 PM)Mavs2021 Wrote: Why in the world would Lavine sign a max extension this summer?


Money talks.

I think the most the Mavs can offer him is 4 years 150mm max in 2022. Meanwhile the Bulls can potentially offer him a 5 year 205mm supermax extension if he makes all NBA (a longshot but a shot). 

Even without the 5 year max extension I think the Bulls cans till give him an extra year worth around 45 mill so a 5 year 190mm contract. 

The numbers might be off but the sentiment holds true.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - Mavs2021 - 05-07-2021

(05-07-2021, 08:51 PM)SleepingHero Wrote: Money talks.

I think the most the Mavs can offer him is 4 years 150mm max in 2022. Meanwhile the Bulls can potentially offer him a 5 year 205mm supermax extension if he makes all NBA (a longshot but a shot). 

Even without the 5 year max extension I think the Bulls cans till give him an extra year worth around 45 mill so a 5 year 190mm contract. 

The numbers might be off but the sentiment holds true.

So I still don´t get it. Dan said the Bulls would trade us expiring awesome Thad Young for shitty extended Jason Richardson, because Zach Lavine wants max money now and apparently is very keen to make his team of the next five years worse in the process, because Duffy told him to. Huh


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - DanSchwartzgan - 05-07-2021

(05-07-2021, 09:04 PM)Mavs2021 Wrote: So I still don´t get it. Dan said the Bulls would trade us expiring awesome Thad Young for shitty extended Jason Richardson, because Zach Lavine wants max money now and apparently is very keen to make his team of the next five years worse in the process, because Duffy told him to. Huh


Do you recall what all happened in the summer of 2016.  Durant went to GS, Barnes signed with Dallas, Dwight Powell got his first big contract at about $9mm per year.  Dallas had just removed his QO in late June making him unrestricted.  Then, Deron Williams agreed to a number and then agreed to whittle that number because the front office figured out they could do the big Dirk one year $25mm deal if they paid DWill a little less.  Schwartz delivered Barnes and got good deals for Powell and DWill in the process.  He was in such a strong position in terms of what he got for Williams that he gave back $1mm so the team could pay Dirk.

Agents have a lot of influence.  They don't make decisions for teams, but they can certainly ask that their backs be scratched if they do a favor for a team.  So, Duffy now controls Chicago's two "stars".  Chicago wants to keep LaVine and the risk is he plays for $19.5 and gets a max elsewhere on the open market (remember when posters thought KP would play for his QO just to get out of Dallas?).  Player and agent want the money a year early, but they have the threat and can excert pressure to get other things.  JRich's involvement accomplishes more than just doing a favor for Duffy.

1. In a trade for T. Young it gives them the $14.3mm in cap room they need to max LaVine in 21 and add the extension off the max.

2. Trading for JRich keeps Chicago from having to retain the holds on Temple and Valentine as he will soak up their minutes.  Temple is 34.  They are 5th and 8th on the Bulls in total minutes.  So, there is an on-court use for JRich.

Your question is basically why do they need to do a favor to get someone to take their bag of money.  But, it is more than that.  They only have so many ways to get the room for the full max.  And once they go under the cap, there are going to be needs that have to be filled.  JRich fills a need well and they can now use their exceptions for other holes.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - F Gump - 05-08-2021

(05-07-2021, 11:39 PM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: 1. In a trade for T. Young it gives them the $14.3mm in cap room they need to max LaVine in 21 and add the extension off the max.

How would that work? Lavine already has a contract for 2021-21. And it's hard to see how Chicago is positioned to have significant cap room (unless they plan to let Markanen walk).


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace | FA starts Aug 2, 5 pm - Branduil - 05-08-2021

I think one player the Pacers would probably be really interested in would be Maxi. He would fit really well with Sabonis as a stretch big who can guard the perimeter.

I wonder how many people here would be willing to do a Maxi+Powell for Brogdon trade? I could see Indiana trading Myles Turner for Rozier after that, and the Mavs could still go after Holmes and do the Thad Young for JRich trade.

Luka / Brunson
Brogdon / Burke
DFS / Green
Holmes / Young
KP / WCS