2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived - Printable Version +- MavsBoard (https://www.mavsboard.com) +-- Forum: Boards (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=1) +--- Forum: Dallas Mavericks and the NBA (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=2) +--- Thread: 2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived (/showthread.php?tid=682) Pages:
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RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - StepBackJay - 04-12-2021 I think you get DD and you have a great offense and a guy who will actually get KP the ball, along with scoring. With J Rich you either keep him and bring him off the bench or find a replacement (Danny Green, Terrence Ross trade, etc.). I think our big rotation is fine with Powell coming back to form and Melli on a vet min would help shore it up. I'd rather spend the small MLE on another wing that can shoot and/or play defense. Starters would be: Luka, Demar, DFS, Maxi, KP Key reserves: Brunson, J Rich (or replacement) and small MLE. Outside shooting could still be a problem but in this scenario you are not so dependent on 3% to win every basketball game. The critical move would be J Rich. He either needs to shoot better or Mavs need a replacement that can shooter better. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - DanSchwartzgan - 04-12-2021 (04-12-2021, 08:22 AM)StepBackJay Wrote: . The issue with that is you have no one to guard the point of attack. Defensively, San Antonio uses DeRozan very much the same as we use Luka. They hide him on stretch bigs and stationary shooters. He spends much more time on PF’s and SF’s than he does on SG’s and especially PG’s. I think he is a reasonable target in free agency (I like how they put it on the podcast “after Dallas misses out on their primary target”). He qualifies as a third star, but, he does create defensive issues. If you are what you defend, then an 8 man rotation with DD would be two centers, Maxi/DFS/DD covering the SF/PF minutes with some help from a larger 9th man type and Luka/Brunson and someone covering the PG/SG minutes. That “someone” has to defend the point of attack and probably has to start. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - Chicagojk - 04-12-2021 (04-11-2021, 06:39 PM)StepBackJay Wrote: I am not sure what you would base the 18 mil number on? Bogdan got 18 for pretty pedestrian numbers (having trouble finding more 2020 guard comps). DeRozan is 20/7/4 at almost 50% FG% and 7 FTA!! per game at 88%. The knocks on him are of course his 3% and defense but he is a very good player. He will be an interesting evaluation. I believe Hollinger from the Athletic gave his thoughts on salary ranges for the upcoming free agents a few months ago. Now a lot can change over the last several months and it was only one person's opinion. But I believe he had Derozan just over MLE for salary range. Another reason why he interests me is that he is at the age where a championship is very important to him. I am not saying he will turn down millions for a chance to win a championship. But while in Toronto both him and Lowry had some bad playoff exits. He thought he was Toronto for life only to see him traded and Toronto win the championship the next year. And the bad losses that Lowry had are now a distant memory, and Derozan has not been competing for a championship the last two years. So I think you could get him at the right time where that championship would be extra special for him. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - StepBackJay - 04-12-2021 (04-12-2021, 08:59 AM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: The issue with that is you have no one to guard the point of attack. Defensively, San Antonio uses DeRozan very much the same as we use Luka. They hide him on stretch bigs and stationary shooters. He spends much more time on PF’s and SF’s than he does on SG’s and especially PG’s. Right so you have J Rich there and can bring him back. He is our guy right now or you try to replace him with someone better. You are shifting back towards more offense in one sense obv because DeRozan would start but I like to think of him as a THJ upgrade. THJ plays 28 mpg, gives you good shooting (albeit up and down), questionable defense, pretty good FTA, energy. DR is overall a much better player even when you account for lack of outside shooting. Yes you are starting him at 34 mpg instead of bringing him off the bench but I think it could work. Speaking of defensive, who was Luka working over last night? Was he trying to switch onto DeRozan to wear him out? From what I saw he was mostly bullying Murray on the block. DR had a -5 +/- last night which makes me think that stat is a completely worthless metric. DR was the main reason the Spurs won that game. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - SleepingHero - 04-12-2021 (04-12-2021, 07:25 AM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: And my response would be “so...” If he's become quite productive, why does his salary make him untradeable? I agree with you that Powell has certainly improved order of magnitudes since the season has started, but I'm getting mixed messages here. Either Powell has improved to the point where he can play serious rotational minutes on a playoff team which means he's an asset where his salary isn't a ballast, or he's still underwhelming to the point where he shouldn't be given minutes ergo he's untradeable at his salary point. I only say that because untradeable is colloquially used for a type of player that's fallen so far that no team in the NBA would ever want them unless they had their own untradeable guy. Not trying to throw semantics everywhere but if we're talking about Powell as an asset we need to be clear on what we truly think he is. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - Jason Terry - 04-12-2021 Powell has improved and may be the best bench big we have. He’s especially useful against teams like Boston that go small. Problem is he’s still not all the way back to what he was and that leaves much to be desired as a team with finding someone we can use nightly for PnR with Luka. Derozan obviously can do two things well(distribute and attack). Maybe someone can explain how it would work, but how would he fit when he must have the ball in his hands to contribute? There’s only one basketball. How do both Luka and Derozan have the ball in their hands? What is the other player doing? Neither is a spot up shooter like CP3 was with Harden. We’re already a playoff team. Why would we take the ball out of Luka’s hands at all in the 4Q of a playoff game? The big difference offensively last night seemed that SAS had an effective PnR while we seem to have nonexistent PnR. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - cow - 04-12-2021 I think recent history has taught us that no contract is improvable. Powell's production and contract to make him a positive asset and I think the Mavs value his leadership too much to pay to get rid of him. I don't hate or love the Derozan idea. He'll be 32 to start the next season. I don't think you lure him into a sixth man role, but if you gave him a 4-year contract, maybe he starts for you for a few years before transitioning into a super sixth man. I just not sure his fit next to Luka on either end of the floor and his numbers are bound to take a dip playing with someone so ball dominant, especially in the assist category. The Derozan/Conley/CP3 ideas feel more like a win now move and I just don't think the roster is constructed this way, yet. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - KillerLeft - 04-12-2021 (04-12-2021, 10:24 AM)Jason Terry Wrote: but how would he fit when he must have the ball in his hands to contribute? Yeah, I'm right there with you. The Mavs need others who can handle, attack and make plays, no doubt. But, if they can't ALSO shoot off the catch from 3-point distance, they're not going to work super well here, imo. Being able to play effectively while LUKA has the ball is the first box that should be checked on any new addition, imho. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - DanSchwartzgan - 04-12-2021 (04-12-2021, 09:49 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: If he's become quite productive, why does his salary make him untradeable? I agree with you that Powell has certainly improved order of magnitudes since the season has started, but I'm getting mixed messages here. Yeah, untradeable isn't the correct phrase. As we've seen, anyone can be traded. But, it is entirely possible to be valuable in your role and not a trade asset because of your salary. I think that is where Powell is. You can find guys to do what he does for half the price. So, why would a team pay double? They wouldn't without requiring an asset in return or without dumping a similarly overpaid guy in the process. Hopefully that clears up the mixed messages. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - DanSchwartzgan - 04-12-2021 (04-12-2021, 10:24 AM)Jason Terry Wrote: If you watch closely, Dallas has been putting the ball in the hands of JRich and Brunson much more to initiate plays. Often that ends up in a Luka post up, but not always. They have other plays they run out of that action. They absolutely have to take the ball out of Luka's hands some or we will forever be capped as the James Harden Rockets. It is just too easy to game plan one guy at the end of games. If you have other guys who can create (like DeRozan and Brunson) in late game situations, doubling Luka will get you killed. Right now we don't have a great counter. DeRozan has the same limitation playing next to Murray. But, he doesn't appear to negatively impact the offense. The SAS O is 7 points better when DeRozan is on the floor than when he isn't (82games.com). The O-Rating is is 122 (it is 110 at all times) and was 118 last season. If DeRozan and Murray can figure it out with all of DeRozan's flaws, then I imagine DeRozan and Luka can also. I think the ball movement would be fantastic and we would be a nightmare match-up for defenses. Frankly, I'm much more concerned about how we guard people than I am scoring. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - Jason Terry - 04-12-2021 (04-12-2021, 10:46 AM)cow Wrote: I think recent history has taught us that no contract is improvable. Powell's production and contract to make him a positive asset and I think the Mavs value his leadership too much to pay to get rid of him.The Conley/CP3/Lowry fit makes much more sense to me. Not because they’re ball handlers. Because they’re 1) clutch shooters in crunch time which we need more of 2) off ball 3pt shooters which you can never have enough of and 3) great defenders which we would need if we let JRich and THj walk The PG duties they possess would come into play much more in the regular season when Luka won’t be playing 40mpg. They would be like combining JRich and Derozan into one player. Still i don’t see CP3 or Lowry as a possibility(don’t think we are top 3 in their team choices). Conley is the only pipe dream that makes sense and that’s only if Utah is total failure in the playoffs RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - Jason Terry - 04-12-2021 (04-12-2021, 11:15 AM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: If you watch closely, Dallas has been putting the ball in the hands of JRich and Brunson much more to initiate plays. Often that ends up in a Luka post up, but not always. They have other plays they run out of that action. They absolutely have to take the ball out of Luka's hands some or we will forever be capped as the James Harden Rockets. It is just too easy to game plan one guy at the end of games. If you have other guys who can create (like DeRozan and Brunson) in late game situations, doubling Luka will get you killed. Right now we don't have a great counter.I’m with you in that we could find a way to make it work offensively. Both Luka and Derozan could feast down low off ball. And the main concern would be defensively. Put Derozan at the 2 in place of JRich and there’s nobody to guard the point. Put him at the 3 and there’s no more DFS to guard the wings at the perimeter. Put him at the 4 and there’s no Maxi to guard stretch bigs on the perimeter. And you hit the nail on the head in regard to Brunson and JRich. Both have been more involved and could solve our problem for us. Brunson has been dishing out of the attack more. JRich has been working a two man game with KP more. I’d like to see more from JRich where he dishes to cutters and drives and dishes or lobs. Also more creating designed shot attempts for Hardaway specifically to get him going early RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - KillerLeft - 04-12-2021 (04-12-2021, 11:15 AM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: If you watch closely, Dallas has been putting the ball in the hands of JRich and Brunson much more to initiate plays. Often that ends up in a Luka post up, but not always. They have other plays they run out of that action. They absolutely have to take the ball out of Luka's hands some or we will forever be capped as the James Harden Rockets. It is just too easy to game plan one guy at the end of games. If you have other guys who can create (like DeRozan and Brunson) in late game situations, doubling Luka will get you killed. Right now we don't have a great counter. Well said, and I 100% agree with every word here. However, I can't help but feel like the catch and shoot game (not at a Redick level, but hopefully better than DeRozan's) is a necessary component of this hypothetical added creator. Otherwise, you'll be making a new problem to solve the one you have now. Yes, on-ball Luka needs to be lessened some, for a variety of reasons, but I can't envision any scenario (that improves the team) in which it's not still the most often used approach. I think a guy with DeRozan's game could help, but imho, not him, specifically, due to age, cost and his deserved feeling that he's an All-Star level player who should start and have the ball in his hands a LOT. I mean, if he wants to come here and play 25 minutes per, maybe even off the bench, AWESOME! But, I think he probably has his eyes on a role similar to Luka's, only on a team that doesn't have a Luka. Just my opinion, tho. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - KillerLeft - 04-12-2021 (04-12-2021, 11:35 AM)Jason Terry Wrote: And you hit the nail on the head in regard to Brunson and JRich. Both have been more involved and could solve our problem for us. Brunson has been dishing out of the attack more. My current opinion is that the easiest and best way to make this "secondary creator" a reality is Brunson. I think he has room to improve still, and maybe a lot. He's already here, fits the culture, understands that it's Luka's team, and most importantly, he fits the team's timeline. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - Mavs2021 - 04-12-2021 (04-12-2021, 11:53 AM)KillerLeft Wrote: My current opinion is that the easiest and best way to make this "secondary creator" a reality is Brunson. I think he has room to improve still, and maybe a lot. Brunson was always a good scorer. Llast year he was already at an excellent 47/36/81 for a small guard. Add eight MPG and you get more points. Get even better shooting, but not more turnovers or assists, which could all be the result of a singular focus on his strength: Scoring. He´s not a secondary creator, because he does not have the overall court-vision and peripheral awareness. Not worrying about passing and play-making, plays to his strengths and makes the game easier for him. Maybe he can improve in these areas, but imho he´s a 6´1 SG. Luckily our PG is pretty tall. Therefore I think you will still need that secondary play-maker. But hey Bulls are back to slumping. Lavine back on. Now 3-6 since the big trade. Vuc is putting up a solid 23/10/3, but it does not seem to have a positive impact on the team overall. They lost WCJ, Gafford and OPJ, and in a way they lost Markkanen, too. 12/5/1 over the last ten games. Shooting splits are pretty bad-ass 52/38/88, but he doesn´t get a lot of touches. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - StepBackJay - 04-12-2021 (04-12-2021, 11:48 AM)KillerLeft Wrote: Well said, and I 100% agree with every word here. Why can't he play 32 mpg? THJ would not be here so he would be taking all of his minutes. I think to your point it could be hard to convince him to come here (Mavs would for sure would need to say he's a start) if he doesn't see a good fit with Luka. We saw that Kemba chose Celtics a couple of years ago for similar reasons (money the same but role was clear in Boston). I do think he will be on the Mavs list somewhere (not sure how high?) and the game of musical chairs in terms of teams wanting veteran guards could help Dallas. Mavs should be able to be on the higher end of offers. Looking at some of the veteran guard targets:
To summarize it's hard for me to picture a lot of landing spots are already good playoff teams that can also pay DR 20 mil+ a year and would put him high on their list. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - StepBackJay - 04-12-2021 (04-12-2021, 11:53 AM)KillerLeft Wrote: My current opinion is that the easiest and best way to make this "secondary creator" a reality is Brunson. I think he has room to improve still, and maybe a lot. There is time for that but right now Brunson is best as a scorer and occasional drive and kick guy. When he tries to do official "point guard" duties it turns into a lot of live ball turnovers. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - mvossman - 04-12-2021 (04-11-2021, 09:33 PM)StepBackJay Wrote: THJ 2 points, DR 33 and the game winner. I rest my case. Donnie make it happen please. While we are going with one game samples, DR was also a net -5 for the game. It's a useless stat for a single game sample, but it's a microcosm of his career. If we need a guy to play the last 5 minutes with Luka who can take some offensive pressure off and make big shots, he is a good option. He would probably be a good option to run the bench for the 12 minutes a game Luka is not on the court. Unfortunately the rest of the game (and season, and most of his career) he is a net negative on the court due to clogging up the offense with his lack of shooting and his terrible defense. If he was coming in as our 6th man at 12-15 mil I would be intrigued. But if he is coming in at over 20 mil to start and play 30+ minutes a game, I am out. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - StepBackJay - 04-12-2021 (04-12-2021, 12:40 PM)mvossman Wrote: While we are going with one game samples, DR was also a net -5 for the game. It's a useless stat for a single game sample, but it's a microcosm of his career. Just watching the game reinforces to me that its a worthless stat RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - SleepingHero - 04-12-2021 (04-12-2021, 12:40 PM)mvossman Wrote: DR was also a net -5 for the game. It's a useless stat for a single game sample, but it's a microcosm of his career. Careful, Kamm is going to come after you for that one |