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2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived - Printable Version

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RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - cow - 04-06-2021

(04-06-2021, 10:59 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: Deron Williams was on the Ringer's podcast and delved into that 2012 offseason. He flat out said he was coming to Dallas and it was just a matter of feeling wanted. Remember he said he never felt comfortable on the Nets and they were losing big time and he always wanted to play for the Mavs.

He actually was house shopping and already bought a house in Dallas to prepare to move, but when Cuban and Dirk didn't show up to the meeting, and Nellie came in with no real concrete plan (Deron said "Nellie said to just trust us"), he went to the team that gave him an itemized list of what they were going to do the next 3 years.

It made Donnie look like an idiot.

[Image: 2nKT.gif]


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - StepBackJay - 04-06-2021

(04-06-2021, 11:40 AM)Jason Terry Wrote: McDermott, Caruso, Green, Mills, Dragic, Batum, OPj, Oubre, Bjelica, Holmes, Theis, Olynyk are some others

I like McDermott, D Green, Mills as some of the "shooter" options. We can't waste Luka's passing on guys who brick open shots. Furthermore, the more shooters you get the easier it is for Luka to move around because the defense has a tough time deciding what to do. If they stick to shooters Luka gets easy baskets, if they collapse on Luka he gets a wide open corner shot. Mavs don't have any room for any more projects. Josh Green is fine as a prospect and may get some playing time but like we don't have room on the roster for any more of those guys. Mavs need guys that drain open 3s on their bench.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - HanspardShowerVoice - 04-06-2021

(04-06-2021, 11:55 AM)StepBackJay Wrote: That's a perfect example. I am sure JJ did want to play with Jrue. But it's also true and he even said that they offered him the most money. So ya I "have a feeling" that if Jrue wasn't there he was going to still be signing with NO and have some other excuse why NO should move him 1 year later.

Again, I will say this a million times in polite society people don't want to admit they're about the money. I have no issue with JJ or Deron or anybody getting the most money but people don't like to say it out loud because it makes them feel like people will think they are shallow.

They probably aren't even completely honest with themselves that it's all about the money.   Humans are really good at coming up with narratives to tell ourselves so that we look like the noble protagonist playing in the movie inside our minds.

And for the record, I'm happy players play for the money ... it's the only way you're going to keep parity in the league and get people to play for small markets.    No one is going to voluntarily play in Indiana or Oklahoma City unless theyre paying a premium.  Otherwise players are going to continue to congregate in New York and LA markets.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - Tyler - 04-06-2021

None of the Deron story is new. And judging by how he played once he finally made it to Dallas just a few years later, I personally don't really think it worked out so poorly in retrospect.

https://www.cbssports.com/nba/news/deron-williams-chose-nets-over-mavs-in-part-because-mark-cuban-skipped-meeting/


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - HanspardShowerVoice - 04-06-2021

(04-06-2021, 12:04 PM)Tyler Wrote: None of the Deron story is new. And judging by how he played once he finally made it to Dallas just a few years later, I personally don't really think it worked out so poorly in retrospect.

https://www.cbssports.com/nba/news/deron-williams-chose-nets-over-mavs-in-part-because-mark-cuban-skipped-meeting/

As frustrating as it has been to miss out on Deron, D12 and Kemba while big game hunting, it's remarkable how many of these turned out blessings in disguise.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - omahen - 04-06-2021

I find it funny. 20 games ago majority wanted to tear this team apart and rebuild more or less from scratch. Now its back to we love our boys in blue (or is it green?). I think playoffs will determine the value of individual players and this team as a whole. Most difficult will be, if Mavs have another good first round exit as last year vs Clippers. Is this a success or not? More is probably a surefire success and makes sense to run it back. Less is a failure and calling for talent injection.

Personally I don't really care about vet min reclamation projects like Franky Smokes or "rejects" like Bonga. Always plenty of those around. There are also reasons why they don't play for bad teams. Still, I am all for giving youngsters opportunity in those limited minutes roles. Someone mentioned Hartenstein - I was rooting hard for him over WCS. I understand Mavs, they wanted to go for a more sure thing. Winning is a priority and they need the back ups to be ready to fill big shoes. It also needs to be considered, we already have four of those "reclamation projects" on the rooster. I rather give them a chance then bring new Iwundu level projects to take their minutes. And I really don't want to be betting everything on Smokes or Bonga suddenly being able to play 20+ good minutes on a contender. Counting JRich, WCS, Bey and Hinton we already have 13 players on our roster for next season. Add THJ and Melli and there is our team. Difficult to find spots for reclamation projects. 

What Mavs really need is an upgrade in the starting unit. Another rotation guy playing serious minutes. Preferably better than one of JRich, DFS or Kleber, assuming Luka and KP are here to stay. MLE may bring rotation player, but I doubt we can get a player (much) better than guys mentioned. I also think we have to trade Powell salary, by paying assets, for a better rotation player. A "reject" like Melli looks way better player than him at this point, unfortunately. 

The alternative is to make more serious changes either in FA or trading core pieces. I guess Atlanta, NO or Chicago could have interest for our proven "win now" vets as a consolation prize for their RFA becoming to expensive (and not really wanted) to resign. With some assets, of course. 

Personally I see just two options. Either roll it back with same squad or go all in for major talent upgrade. Second strategy will probably result in several more years of team building, as losing THJ and JRich (assuming we use cap space to sign new guys) will be difficult to overcome in one summer. But it might have better long term results. Even if Luka and other youngsters continue to improve, does existing squad really have enough quality to be a serious contender?

If I was Mavs GM, I would be extremely aggresive, exploring all SnT scenarios. Finishing summer with a team salaries of 112 is a big failure for me, especially if Powells 11 mil is a part of that. Cuban needs to be prepared to pay tax from season 2022/23 on. Difficult to be contender without it.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - Mavs2021 - 04-06-2021

(04-06-2021, 12:06 PM)HanspardShowerVoice Wrote: As frustrating as it has been to miss out on Deron, D12 and Kemba while big game hunting, it's remarkable how many of these turned out blessings in disguise.

Not this again. What blessing? A sub 0.500 record for a decade and no play-off wins.

It´s not a win, if you want to eat shit every summer, but you are denied the plate by the waiter. It´s the same story with the draft. If you drafted shit, and then after three months, you realize you drafted shit and you flush it down the toilet, it´s not a win, just because it didn´t turn into gold in the sewerage.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - SkenfromLMF - 04-06-2021

(04-06-2021, 11:09 AM)StepBackJay Wrote: This is an interesting point that should get fleshed out. I think its debatable whether operating over the cap is a big advantage.

So operating over the cap allows you to retain THJ and JR at any number you want to which could include higher dollar, shorter years which could advantage the Mavs. You additionally get that full MLE and the BAE available. My issue with that is that if Mavs did have to spend a good chunk of money on THJ and JR then they are likely going to take it easy on the MLE and BAE exceptions. That's because their salary rolls could get really high unless they can successfully dump Powell.

Operating with cap space can give you around that 37 mil mark plus the smaller MLE. I think that is still plenty of money to improve the roster. I don't think in terms of roster construction that over-the-cap is that much of an advantage. This would be a different situation if the Mavs were barely under the cap. Like let's say the Mavs could only carve out 10 million in cap space by renouncing their FA's. Well in that case you would probably try to figure out a way to keep some of your FAs while preserving the full MLE.

It really comes down to how much the Mavs value THJ and/or JR. I think they value them some but they also value the ability to chase what they view as star players (ie Collins). I don't believe the Mavs are scared of losing THJ/JR (ie bird in the hand) while they chase whoever their top target is this year. I am confident if those guys go elsewhere the Mavs can still build a good roster and one that has some flexibility. 

We don't want any bad contracts. In my opinion DP is the only bad contract we have right now and he's a year away from being a neutral contract at worst.


I will say that I struggle to see where gutting a starter and a 6th man out of the rotation and trying to find 2 better players AND an MLE with $34 million in space is even doable...

IMO the ability to keep both pieces and Melli means that Dallas gets flexibility and can try to get a better shooting starter, or a big wing, or even upgrade over Powell/WCS with the MLE (or maybe just part of it - Dallas has a habit of keeping a chunk of exception available to bid over the minimum for waived players)...


The real question comes down to how much a player that is available would cost (ie c. $20 million) and whether their team would be willing to work out an S&T.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - Mavs2021 - 04-06-2021

(04-06-2021, 12:08 PM)omahen Wrote: Counting JRich, WCS, Bey and Hinton we already have 13 players on our roster for next season.

I doubt WCS will be back. His contract is needed trade-filler. With Tyler Bey I have a sneaky feeling, he agreed to sign that 2-way, so he can become an RFA immediately and get out of Dallas. It does seem an rather unusual move for a franchise to offer a 36th pick just a 2-way and have the player readily accept it.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - cow - 04-06-2021

(04-06-2021, 12:06 PM)HanspardShowerVoice Wrote: As frustrating as it has been to miss out on Deron, D12 and Kemba while big game hunting, it's remarkable how many of these turned out blessings in disguise.

Hindsight and all but all the stories affirm how bad the MBT are at recruiting.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - michaeltex - 04-06-2021

(04-06-2021, 12:08 PM)omahen Wrote: Personally I see just two options. Either roll it back with same squad or go all in for major talent upgrade. Second strategy will probably result in several more years of team building, as losing THJ and JRich (assuming we use cap space to sign new guys) will be difficult to overcome in one summer. But it might have better long term results. Even if Luka and other youngsters continue to improve, does existing squad really have enough quality to be a serious contender?
Personally, I think continuity is a building block for success in this league. I'm not saying there aren't improvements to be made, but if you have a successful core (which I think the Mavs do) then you don't need to blow it up. IMO, a lot of the post-2011 funk has been player turnover each year. Some of that was MBT's "star hunting", some was players going to a team with a better outlook.


If we look at the core 8-9 players (now including Melli?), they have shown the ability to play with anyone. Collins or one of the other guys needs to be viewed as how their addition affects ongoing success and can they be adapted into the team's style and culture.

FWIW, a co-thread is talking about CP3 or Conley as pipe dream possibilities. Apart from the age issues and massive salary needs, these type players are ball dominant point guards and I just don't see how this is a good idea given that we already have a league best point in Luka. I'm not confident success will continue if he's not the focus, which makes the others kind of redundant and expensively so.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - DrMav - 04-06-2021

(04-06-2021, 12:25 PM)Mavs2021 Wrote: With Tyler Bey I have a sneaky feeling, he agreed to sign that 2-way, so he can become an RFA immediately and get out of Dallas. It does seem an rather unusual move for a franchise to offer a 36th pick just a 2-way and have the player readily accept it.
Lol, he’s a 2nd round pick, he signed the contract cause his other option was go oversees or move on from basketball. 


Hopefully the Mavs do have plans for Bey and with a more regular offseason we can see what happens with him and the other rookies, but the idea that there was some master plan made so he could orchestrate his way out of Dallas ASAP is just laughable.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - DanSchwartzgan - 04-06-2021

(04-06-2021, 12:20 PM)SkenfromLMF Wrote: I will say that I struggle to see where gutting a starter and a 6th man out of the rotation and trying to find 2 better players AND an MLE with $34 million in space is even doable...

IMO the ability to keep both pieces and Melli means that Dallas gets flexibility and can try to get a better shooting starter, or a big wing, or even upgrade over Powell/WCS with the MLE (or maybe just part of it - Dallas has a habit of keeping a chunk of exception available to bid over the minimum for waived players)...

This.  I see two paths.  Let THJ and WCS go and you are at $19mm in space with JRich's $16mm cap hold.  If you sign him for something less or convince him to opt-in and extend, then you can get to where you can pay two players a little more than the MLE (in the land of the blind, the one eyed man is king).   

The other path is bring everyone back and use the MLE for one player and a S&T of Redick for another.  I think we have a much better shot at getting value for Redick than we do for Powell.  Any team with KP on it will need three centers for KP's (seemingly) weekly day(s) off.  Plus, the monthly splits are trending better lately.  In March he was back to a Powell-Like .684 TS% and his O/D Ratings were 143/111 (also historically Powell-like).  I have no issue keeping Powell around except, I think we really need someone like Theis who can hit a 3 AND play great D at two positions if we plan to keep Melli in the backup minutes to Maxi.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - omahen - 04-06-2021

(04-06-2021, 01:15 PM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: This.  I see two paths.  Let THJ and WCS go and you are at $19mm in space with JRich's $16mm cap hold.  If you sign him for something less or convince him to opt-in and extend, then you can get to where you can pay two players a little more than the MLE (in the land of the blind, the one eyed man is king).   

The other path is bring everyone back and use the MLE for one player and a S&T of Redick for another.  I think we have a much better shot at getting value for Redick than we do for Powell.  Any team with KP on it will need three centers for KP's (seemingly) weekly day(s) off.  Plus, the monthly splits are trending better lately.  In March he was back to a Powell-Like .684 TS% and his O/D Ratings were 143/111 (also historically Powell-like).  I have no issue keeping Powell around except, I think we really need someone like Theis who can hit a 3 AND play great D at two positions if we plan to keep Melli in the backup minutes to Maxi.


But what if this team gets another first round exit (or less)? Where will the improvement come from? Will one MLE guy really move the needle? Will Luka and Brunson really make another level of play each season? The rest are not getting any younger as THJ, Kleber and Powell will be 30 next season.

I think unless they show they are really close, I am actually more inclined to talent infusion scenario at a cost of additional couple of years of team building. Successful talent infusion scenario, to be clear. Not one where they say they already had a deal but (insert RFA name) rather signed with (insert team name) at last minute.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - Jason Terry - 04-06-2021

Anyone have an idea if we are able to bring back Bey on a two way or do we need to give him a proper contract? 

1. Luka
2. Richardson - re-sign 
3. DFS
4. Maxi
5. KP

6. Brunson 
7. THj - re-sign 
8. MLE - Best player available, possible starter over JR, DFS or Maxi? 

9. Melli - Vet min or BAE?
10. WCS - Team option, vet min or BAE?
11. Powell
12. Burke
13. Boban vet min
14. Green
15. Terry
Two way Bey or who leaves to open a roster spot?


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - dirkfansince1998 - 04-06-2021

(04-06-2021, 01:48 PM)Jason Terry Wrote: Anyone have an idea if we are able to bring back Bey on a two way or do we need to give him a proper contract? 


Depends. Hinton and Bey will be RFA. If another team offers them a guaranteed contract the Mavs can match it and keep them. Meaning that they would get one of the 15 roster spots.
If no team shows any interest and both aren´t signed the Mavs can keep them on a two-way deal.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - SkenfromLMF - 04-06-2021

(04-06-2021, 01:36 PM)omahen Wrote: But what if this team gets another first round exit (or less)? Where will the improvement come from? Will one MLE guy really move the needle? Will Luka and Brunson really make another level of play each season? The rest are not getting any younger as THJ, Kleber and Powell will be 30 next season.

I think unless they show they are really close, I am actually more inclined to talent infusion scenario at a cost of additional couple of years of team building. Successful talent infusion scenario, to be clear. Not one where they say they already had a deal but (insert RFA name) rather signed with (insert team name) at last minute.


The good news is that we will know the outcome of that scenario before the decision has to be made...
Personally, a competitive 4-2 loss to Utah, LAL, or LAC is growth enough to try and get a top 4 seed the following year with an upgrade via the MLE.
IF we get swept then I would look at maybe a big swing - BUT I DO NOT BELIEVE there is a FA worthy of sacrificing 3 slots (THJ, JRich, and the FULL MLE) that are higher than the Room Exception.
Looking at how this team has played the last month, even if there were targets available, I don't know that cost is worth chasing anyone short of MVP caliber players (whom have all been locked up)... THE Grass is NOT ALWAYS Greener!


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - omahen - 04-06-2021

(04-06-2021, 02:26 PM)SkenfromLMF Wrote: The good news is that we will know the outcome of that scenario before the decision has to be made...


Of course, we are discussing scenarios. I am just trying to put other options on the table. 


(04-06-2021, 02:26 PM)SkenfromLMF Wrote: Personally, a competitive 4-2 loss to Utah, LAL, or LAC is growth enough to try and get a top 4 seed the following year with an upgrade via the MLE.


Hm, so you could (perhaps) get out of first round. Than what? Still long way to go to the top. How would you improve beyond that? I guess one can always hope for a big trade


(04-06-2021, 02:26 PM)SkenfromLMF Wrote: BUT I DO NOT BELIEVE there is a FA worthy of sacrificing 3 slots (THJ, JRich, and the FULL MLE) that are higher than the Room Exception.


In the short term it would be likely a step back. Depends a lot on how creative Mavs can be. Because for me - an aggresive offseason Mavs are announcing is not offering max contract to Collins and hope Atlanta doesn't match. Nevertheless, you will always have another MLE every season. Still, if I simplify a lot using Collins example. If you can get him (or Ball) and trade Powell+draft assets for something useful (for example Ross would be realistic target), you could still have at least comparable team with higher upside. Offer more time to the rookies and hope for internal development.

Luka, Terry, Burke, miniMLE
Brunson, Green, Hinton
DFS, Ross, BAE
Collins, Kleber, Bey
KP, Melli, vet min


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - BasketballJones41 - 04-06-2021

I’ve been doing some thinking about what Richardson and Hardaway might get paid this off-season. I may be way off base but KCP and Jordan Clarkson seem like good comps respectively. 

KCP vs Jrich: Pope is the better shooter and defender but Richardson is a better play maker. This off-season Pope signed a 3/39 with LA.

Clarkson vs THJ: I honestly don’t really know who’s better between these two. They seem like very similar players. Clarkson just signed a 4/51 with Utah. 

Now I know both of them signed team friendly deals and were probably offered more by other teams. So I’m just spitballing but let’s say in a perfect world Jrich and THJ signed similar deals with us, wouldn’t that leave us with about $9 million in Space after clearing their cap holds? Or am I wrong?


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $22.7M - $34.4M in capspace this summer - omahen - 04-06-2021

Also a thing to consider - are we sure JRich and THJ will want to stay? What if they are both gone by their choosing? Or is there a salary limit you (in the role of Mavs GM) thinks offering what someone else offered is too much?  Where is the salary limit you would walk away from them?