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2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived - Printable Version

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RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - HanspardShowerVoice - 03-31-2021

(03-31-2021, 11:21 AM)Mavs2021 Wrote: We just need a 3rd star. The rest takes care of itself. Look at Blake and LMA with the Nets. Drummond with the Lakers. You just need to be a true contender. It´s just idiotic to work around the edges, but of course to acquire that 3rd star you either need draft picks or draft talent, two things the MantiBT doesn´t believe in, so they are stuck with this useless begging exercise every summer.

The main thing you need is to be in the New York or Los Angeles markets ... the Lakers and Nets aren't in these situations because of their incredible front office savvy or drafting prowess.   LeBron wanted to make movies and KD/Kyrie thought living/playing in the Epicenter of Hipsterdom would be cool for their brands and side hustles.   Then when you get those guys, washed up Blake Griffin and Kentavious Caldwel-Pope just magically start looking like good players when they're left all alone to hit wide open jumpers.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - StepBackJay - 03-31-2021

Mavs gotta get that third guy but they need to stop trying to do it with free agent signings.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - HanspardShowerVoice - 03-31-2021

(03-31-2021, 01:51 PM)StepBackJay Wrote: Mavs gotta get that third guy but they need to stop trying to do it with free agent signings.

I mean .. pretty sure they got KP through trade, got Luka by trading up in the draft and then tried to trade up again for Tyrese Haliburton just a few months ago.  The bottom line is when you trade a combined 4 first round picks  for the rights to Luka and KP, you're losing your most desirable trade ammunition for future trades. So I don't really get where this criticism comes from.   Hard to convince teams to just hand you their star caliber players when you don't have 1st round draft picks to give back.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - omahen - 03-31-2021

(03-31-2021, 01:32 PM)StrandedOnBeauboisHill Wrote: Very curious about his upcoming market.  Feels like could be surprisingly low or surprisingly high but he's the name I keep coming back to with our MLE if we stay over the cap and keep everyone.


There will be many teams able to offer MLE. Not so many able to offer a bit more.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - StepBackJay - 03-31-2021

(03-31-2021, 01:56 PM)HanspardShowerVoice Wrote: I mean .. pretty sure they got KP through trade, got Luka by trading up in the draft and then tried to trade up again for Tyrese Haliburton just a few months ago.  The bottom line is when you trade a combined 4 first round picks  for the rights to Luka and KP, you're losing your most desirable trade ammunition for future trades. So I don't really get where this criticism comes from.   Hard to convince teams to just hand you their star caliber players when you don't have 1st round draft picks to give back.

Mavs had good trade ammunition this past offseason, #18 + two very high seconds, players on value contracts and sort of blew it. I get they tried hard for Haliburton and I salute them for that.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - StepBackJay - 03-31-2021

Brogdan is a name I am interested in because I like his fit and contract a lot. Not sure Mavs have what the Pacers want but I'd give a lot to get him honestly.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - HanspardShowerVoice - 03-31-2021

(03-31-2021, 02:06 PM)StepBackJay Wrote: Mavs had good trade ammunition this past offseason, #18 + two very high seconds, players on value contracts and sort of blew it. I get they tried hard for Haliburton and I salute them for that.

They also tried for RoCo, but they couldn't top the Blazers offer because they didn't have a 2021 1st.  And RoCo is far from a "3rd Star" calliber player at this point in his career, which is why the Blazers just had to trade for Powell to bring in more scoring that RoCo can't provide.  

So, no, I don't think the Mavs had the capital for a "3rd Star" caliber trade for the #18 pick and 2nds.  I'm not even sure that's significant trade capital for solid starter, much less 3rd star. 

The bottomline is there are ramifications for big trade packages for Luka and KP .. mainly, it's almost impossible to build future big trade packages.   Just because the shine has worn off those trades and we want new shiny toys to play with doesn't mean the organizatonal cost just evaporated.   The Mavs bought Luka and KP on the credit card, hit the draft capital credit card limit and now they're paying off the bill.   Paying off the credit card bill isn't fun, but that's the way it works.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - StepBackJay - 03-31-2021

(03-31-2021, 02:18 PM)HanspardShowerVoice Wrote: They also tried for RoCo, but they couldn't top the Blazers in a trade because they didn't have a 2021 1st.  And RoCo is far from a "3rd Star" calliber player at this point in his career, which is why the Blazers just had to trade for Powell to bring in more scoring that RoCo can't provide.  

So, no, I don't think the Mavs had the capital for a "3rd Star" caliber trade for the #18 pick and 2nds.

The bottomline is there are ramifications for big trade packages for Luka and KP .. mainly, it's almost impossible to build future big trade packages.   Just because the shine has worn off those trades and we want new shiny toys to play with doesn't mean the organizatonal cost just evaporated.

Aaron Gordon?


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - HanspardShowerVoice - 03-31-2021

Gordon took a starting caliber player, a player who was just taken in the 1st round 4 months ago and a future 1st.   So, no, Aaron Gordon didn't go for the #18 pick and a few 2nds.   And Aaron Gordon isn't a 3rd star.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - StrandedOnBeauboisHill - 03-31-2021

(03-31-2021, 02:27 PM)HanspardShowerVoice Wrote: Gordon took a starting caliber player, a player who was just taken in the 1st round 4 months ago and a future 1st.   So, no, Aaron Gordon didn't go for the #18 pick and a few 2nds.   And Aaron Gordon isn't a 3rd star.

I got back and forth about whether or not we had the same package to offer.  To me Josh Green and our 2025 pick would be equal to RJ Hampton and Denver's pick and to be honest, Gary Harris is barely a starting caliber player at this point.  The biggest difference between offering straight up expiring in James Johnson vs Gary Harris (who is locked in for 20 mil next season) is that it will help the Magic pick up more assets next year at the trade deadline, there's no way they have any intention of keeping him long term.  The other thing is that apparently the Magic really like RJ Hampton and nearly drafted him at 15 (per Kevin O'Connor at least) so in that sense we really never had a chance with Josh Green.

Long winded way of agreeing with you.

(03-31-2021, 01:59 PM)omahen Wrote: There will be many teams able to offer MLE. Not so many able to offer a bit more.

Agreed, I guess I'm curious if he's in the tier of FAs who will be getting offers from those teams with more than the MLE to burn is where I'm coming from.  Feels like he won't but will have plenty of MLE offers to sort through and may just come down to years for him but as mentioned earlier, he does have an injury history so longer deals are risky.

(03-31-2021, 02:06 PM)StepBackJay Wrote: Mavs had good trade ammunition this past offseason, #18 + two very high seconds, players on value contracts and sort of blew it. I get they tried hard for Haliburton and I salute them for that.

We still have all those things though, just in the form of players on rookie deals instead of raw picks.  Very strong chance of them getting flipped down the road so I wouldn't say we blew it just yet.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - omahen - 03-31-2021

Thinking more about it. The only player resembling a third star is Collins. If you can get him, good. But sure hope Mavs will be 100 % sure they will get him, otherwise it will be a major disaster. If Collins is of the table, how about we just keep the team and strengthen the bench. Operate over the cap and re-sign THJ, JRich for 30 mil combined. 

Trade Powell and FRP to Orlando for OPJ SnT. Let's say at 12 mil
Trade Brunson and Burke to Indiana for TJ McConell (SnT) and a couple of second rounders. Alternatively same package for Theis and a couple of second rounders with Chicago.
Sign the remaining guy of McConell/Theiss for MLE.

Luka, McConell, Terry
JRich, THJ, Green
OPJ, DFS, Hinton
Maxi, Bey
KP, Theis, WCS (or let him walk and sign someone else)

I think we get very, very tough defensively with TJ and Theis. We get secondary playmaking with TJ. We get shooting with OPJ. Not flashy but it might work very well.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - StrandedOnBeauboisHill - 03-31-2021

(03-31-2021, 12:42 PM)StepBackJay Wrote: I know Conley's having a good year but I haven't seen his defense lately. Over his career he had the reputation as a good defender. I think Mavs regret letting Curry go. I still like Conley as a Curry/J Rich replacement in that he is pretty balanced player. He definitely passes the ball better that Rich or Curry does. If he can still guard opposing point guards then that could work.

I like this vision as long as it's Conley on no more than a two year deal.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - HanspardShowerVoice - 03-31-2021

(03-31-2021, 02:34 PM)StrandedOnBeauboisHill Wrote: I got back and forth about whether or not we had the same package to offer.  To me Josh Green and our 2025 pick would be equal to RJ Hampton and Denver's pick and to be honest, Gary Harris is barely a starting caliber player at this point.  The biggest difference between offering straight up expiring in James Johnson vs Gary Harris (who is locked in for 20 mil next season) is that it will help the Magic pick up more assets next year at the trade deadline, there's no way they have any intention of keeping him long term.  The other thing is that apparently the Magic really like RJ Hampton and nearly drafted him at 15 (per Kevin O'Connor at least) so in that sense we really never had a chance with Josh Green.

Long winded way of agreeing with you.

I would say the equivalent probably would have been Maxi + Josh Green + 2025 1st round pick (with some salary filler to make the numbers work).  But if they were really high on Hampton, they might have still preferred Denver (Magic certainly have a historical fondness for players who can't shoot)


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - StrandedOnBeauboisHill - 03-31-2021

(03-31-2021, 02:39 PM)omahen Wrote: Thinking more about it. The only player resembling a third star is Collins. If you can get him, good. But sure hope Mavs will be 100 % sure they will get him, otherwise it will be a major disaster. If Collins is of the table, how about we just keep the team and strengthen the bench. Operate over the cap and re-sign THJ, JRich for 30 mil combined. 

Trade Powell and FRP to Orlando for OPJ SnT. Let's say at 12 mil
Trade Brunson and Burke to Indiana for TJ McConell (SnT) and a couple of second rounders. Alternatively same package for Theis and a couple of second rounders with Chicago.
Sign the remaining guy of McConell/Theiss for MLE.

Luka, McConell, Terry
JRich, THJ, Green
OPJ, DFS, Hinton
Maxi, Bey
KP, Theis, WCS (or let him walk and sign someone else)

I think we get very, very tough defensively with TJ and Theis. We get secondary playmaking with TJ. We get shooting with OPJ. Not flashy but it might work very well.
I like pretty much all of this and it's the same reason I feel we need to just retain folks and operate over the cap.  Unless you're absolutely sure on the Collins outcome, it's not worth the risk.  

I wouldn't be super comfortable giving up another FRP just to get Powell off the books though, I'd almost rather carry the burden until he's expiring come 2023 then use him as trade filler (assuming you can't get him off the books using something less than a first).  We're just already so light on those picks.

(03-31-2021, 02:40 PM)HanspardShowerVoice Wrote: I would say the equivalent probably would have been Maxi + Josh Green + 2025 1st round pick (with some salary filler to make the numbers work).  But if they were really high on Hampton, they might have still preferred Denver (Magic certainly have a historical fondness for players who can't shoot)
Ya, totally agree.  I think this would have been our equivalent at the end of the day.  As much as I think Gordon is an upgrade over Maxi, losing Maxi for Gordon would be pretty bad from a spacing perspective, the wishful thinking in me really wanted there to be a way to get Gordon and keep Maxi but knowing that probably wasn't the case I'm comfortable with us passing.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - StrandedOnBeauboisHill - 03-31-2021

(03-31-2021, 12:35 PM)KillerLeft Wrote: Yeah, we're pretty much in lock step on this. Here are the questions I'd ask you to clarify where we might differ:

1) of the two defensive player types you describe above, which is more rare in the NBA?

2) Most of us agree that another ball-handling, playmaking, scoring threat is needed. In your opinion, is it easier to find one of those who's more similar to your Richardson description above, or your DFS description? My opinion is that there are maybe 5 guys in the NBA at DFS's size and agility level on defense who can be two-way players, not only through shooting off of the catch, but with face-up creation. Teams who have them aren't letting them go. To contrast, potential Richardson replacements seem to exist on every NBA team except for this one. 

Just my two cents on this. I do agree that DFS's shooting needs to improve soon or his size isn't going to matter much.

The other thing that DFS brings to this team next year is an awesome contract.  Even with his poor shooting, that 4 mil a year is looking like one of the steals of the league.  I think it's important to consider that we talking about who to replace if we were trying to upgrade one of those spots.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - DanSchwartzgan - 03-31-2021

(03-31-2021, 11:21 AM)Mavs2021 Wrote: We just need a 3rd star. The rest takes care of itself. Look at Blake and LMA with the Nets. Drummond with the Lakers. You just need to be a true contender. It´s just idiotic to work around the edges, but of course to acquire that 3rd star you either need draft picks or draft talent, two things the MantiBT doesn´t believe in, so they are stuck with this useless begging exercise every summer.

Fast moving board today and really good conversation.  What I wanted to comment on is the idea of "working around the edges".  When our starters on the floor we have a net rating of +12.9.  That's one of the best in the league.  Utah, Philly, LAC, LAL, Den and outlier Sacramento are the other teams who can say something similar about their most used lineup.  The O is an outstanding 127.7.  The D isn't good at 114.9, but is trending better.  It is a small sample size because we don't platoon our bench like some teams, plus our bench is super thin.  Basically it is Brunson, THJ and somebody playing backup C (changing who that is from night to night).

We've talked about how challenging it will be to add a star without risking the loss of a current starter.  The other challenge is finding ONE GUY who can do PF-Things that are needed next to KP an C-Things next to Maxi.  Or, finding ONE GUY at guard/wing who can hit 3's, play D and be a secondary playmaker.  We've been linked to a number of PF types since the TDL a year ago.  It may be that we will use a couple of guys at the backup big spots rather than spending a ton on one do-it-all star.

Similar situation at guard.  Now we have Redick, another specialist.  We really need a guard who can hit 3's, play D and has the ability to create for himself and for others.  Right now, JRich isn't doing any of those things well.  But, those guys who are good at just two things cost $25mm or more.  We don't have the assets to trade for one of those and the best multi-skill options in free agency are pretty old.  Maybe the most realistic option is plugging the hole with a couple of specialist types.  Maybe one is JRich, maybe it isn't. Maybe Josh Green is destined to be the defensive specialist in certain lineups next season and Richardson is replaced by a distributor/shooter (Graham?). 

Once you get to a certain point in team building, beefing up one spot can hurt you elsewhere.  To me it might be easier to work around the edges and fix holes.  For instance, Powell is a net positive in a lot of lineups, but put him and DFS together and we absolutely die.  How can we fix that?  A PF who can hit some outside shots for a few minutes when Maxi is out might help.  You know what else kills us?  Almost any lineup with THJ and Richardson.  I don't know why.  Sure, we can take a huge risk and pay Oladipo to replace one of them.  Or maybe there is a specialist we can add working around the edge who helps depth and makes it easier to separate those two.  BTW, I don't think THJ is the one who goes.  His TS% is above .600 each of the last two months.  That is huge for him.  
 
Bottom line, we might see quite a bit of improvement if we could get our hands on our version of Jordan Clarkson (Dinwiddie?) in Utah or our version of Batum in LA or Jae Crowder in Phoenix (assuming it isn't Melli Smile ).


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - Hypermav - 03-31-2021

(03-31-2021, 03:15 PM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: Batum
Not bad for a washed up dude.


https://www.atthehive.com/2019/12/10/21004284/charlotte-hornets-nicolas-batum-is-officially-the-worst-scorer-in-the-nba

https://www.latimes.com/sports/clippers/story/2021-03-06/clippers-nicolas-batum-redemption-story


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - omahen - 03-31-2021

(03-31-2021, 03:15 PM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: Bottom line, we might see quite a bit of improvement if we could get our hands on our version of Jordan Clarkson (Dinwiddie?) in Utah


Don't we already have one? Who is arguably a tiny bit better than the "original" from Utah? I think JRich idea is still best way to go. It has to be a defender, imho. Ball might be the "star" overpaid version. JRich is a poor mans version. At 10 and something per year he is also actually just fine. Not many others available.

I am all for Theis as a third big. Can play C with Maxi or PF with KP. Sets a vicious screen and is a fighter. Better 3 point shooter than Powell too.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - mvossman - 03-31-2021

(03-31-2021, 12:35 PM)KillerLeft Wrote: Yeah, we're pretty much in lock step on this. Here are the questions I'd ask you to clarify where we might differ:

1) of the two defensive player types you describe above, which is more rare in the NBA?

2) Most of us agree that another ball-handling, playmaking, scoring threat is needed. In your opinion, is it easier to find one of those who's more similar to your Richardson description above, or your DFS description? My opinion is that there are maybe 5 guys in the NBA at DFS's size and agility level on defense who can be two-way players, not only through shooting off of the catch, but with face-up creation. Teams who have them aren't letting them go. To contrast, potential Richardson replacements seem to exist on every NBA team except for this one. 

Just my two cents on this. I do agree that DFS's shooting needs to improve soon or his size isn't going to matter much.

But here's the thing.  We don't need that guy to fit DFS size to replace him in the starting lineup.  You already have KP and Maxi as the bigs and Luka is bigger than DFS.  Any of the guys that would make sense playing that role (from Free agency you are looking at a Holiday or Lowery or Conley) could replace either DFS or Richardson.  I mean a KP/Maxi/Luka/Lowery/Richardson lineup would be just fine (actually it would probably be contender worthy if Lowery doesn't fall off a cliff).  Currently DFS versatility may be more useful coming off the bench to help shore up the 4.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - DanSchwartzgan - 03-31-2021

(03-31-2021, 03:49 PM)omahen Wrote: Don't we already have one? Who is arguably a tiny bit better than the "original" from Utah? I think JRich idea is still best way to go. It has to be a defender, imho. Ball might be the "star" overpaid version. JRich is a poor mans version. At 10 and something per year he is also actually just fine. Not many others available.

I am all for Theis as a third big. Can play C with Maxi or PF with KP. Sets a vicious screen and is a fighter. Better 3 point shooter than Powell too.

I would be a big fan of the Theis idea.

Seems to me the team thinks we need something more than JRich (which is the message of the Redick trade and possible attempt to get Fournier).  Plus, just sticking with what we have doesn’t solve the issue with how bad we are when THJ and JRich share the floor.  

The question, to me, is whether you replace JRich or add to JRich.  Older guys like Lowry or Conley could arguably replace him with a more complete skill set.  But, that is a band-aid.  Or, maybe you do something like Dinwiddie or Monk as a bench piece who can do things JRich can’t.  Green complicates this as he could possibly do the JRich defensive things from the bench in a couple of years.  If you knew he’d get to that level, I might replace JRich rather than add to him.  No one thinks of Devonte’ Graham as a great defender, but he apprears to hold his own statistically.  Rozier would be interesting too (what is it with Dan and Charlotte guards?).