2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived - Printable Version +- MavsBoard (https://www.mavsboard.com) +-- Forum: Boards (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=1) +--- Forum: Dallas Mavericks and the NBA (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=2) +--- Thread: 2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived (/showthread.php?tid=682) Pages:
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RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - Omega_Supreme - 03-30-2021 KP's stats this year 48% from Two 37% from Three 84% from the Free Throw line 20 ppg 9 reb 2 blocks Could prime KP be a 50/40/90 Center? RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - F Gump - 03-30-2021 (03-30-2021, 07:12 PM)StepBackJay Wrote: I am surprised Lakers didn't trade him. They don't have his bird rights correct? The best they could offer is MLE so I am guessing they are banking on his value not exceeding MLE level dollars? It's exactly the opposite from what you are thinking. Lakers will have THT's Early Bird rights. Plus RFA control. Plus protection from the Arenas provision. It's literally impossible to sign him away unless you pay him such a ridiculous amount that they won't match. However, I really don't see the reason for all the fawning over THT in the first place. He had some good moments early in the season and got people's attention. But he's not a special shooter, or rebounder, or scorer, or big for his position (he's a 6-4 SG), nor does he start or play a lot (18 mpg). He's just a DFS type, more or less. Is he considered special here because he's on another team, or it's the Lakers who he plays for? If he was languishing on the market, I can see why you'd want to take a shot, but that's not what we're looking at. To me it makes no sense. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - cow - 03-30-2021 (03-30-2021, 10:24 PM)F Gump Wrote: Is he considered special here because he's on another team, or it's the Lakers who he plays for? If he was languishing on the market, I can see why you'd want to take a shot, but that's not what we're looking at. To me it makes no sense. The Lakers draft very well. Teams who are great at evaluating talent tried to get him at the TDL. He's young and on a championship team so getting the minutes (and before someone points it out, injuries have helped him get more than he'd probably get otherwise) he's getting during his second season means there is probably something there. Going after him makes perfect sense: -He's younger than a lot of draft picks, will come with playoff/championship experience and has great upside. -He's a realistic target for this front office who have wasted tens of millions of dollars on the likes of Parson, Barnes, and Wright after failing to have meaningful conversations with the players they covet in free agency. -He's not going to require a ton of shots and can contribute on both sides of the floor. -If the Lakers match an offer sheet, they'll most likely defer biggest chunk of the money to the end of his contract which would ham-fist their cap room 3 and 4 years from now. Who doesn't like screwing with the Lakers and probably LeBron? RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - SleepingHero - 03-31-2021 (03-30-2021, 08:26 AM)StepBackJay Wrote: So OKC likes to be a facilitator. They definitely want to move Horford to a new home. I could see a scenario where Celtics want to move off of Kemba and bring back Horford home. They have a very high payroll. They would also probably like to move off of Thompson who hasn't worked out well there. I want to bring this up again because I think this is an excellent observation and a great reading of the tea leaves. It's obvious the Mavs want another playmaker next to Luka. OKC is for sure going to send Al somewhere and BOS loved him. They're desperate and are praying for a competent big guy. The Kemba+Smart pairing hasn't turned out to work at all and add in Kemba's health issues I can see BOS cutting him loose quick. Mavs also had BIG interest in Kemba in the past, so it'd make sense they'd play 3rd team and take him off BOS hands. Kemba also fits incredibly well next to Luka and could be that secondary playmaker we're all pining for. This hypothetical makes too much sense to the point I'd even brand it as a likely event to happen this summer. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - Branduil - 03-31-2021 Starting to think Holmes makes far more sense for the Mavs to pursue than the pipe dream of Collins. He could absolutely pick up where Powell left off last year, while being a better rebounder and center. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - F Gump - 03-31-2021 (03-31-2021, 03:52 AM)Branduil Wrote: Starting to think Holmes makes far more sense for the Mavs to pursue than the pipe dream of Collins. He could absolutely pick up where Powell left off last year, while being a better rebounder and center. Powell's money is smack dab in the way of that idea. If Powell was erased, that feels like a possible avenue they might pursue. Although there's also the issue of how much a Holmes contract would be, what competition would offer how much, and whether he wanted the role that Dallas would offer. You're certainly not envisioning paying him max money, so pursuing him with what you have to offer could actually be more pipe-dreamy in reality than offering Collins a max. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - Branduil - 03-31-2021 (03-31-2021, 04:45 AM)F Gump Wrote: Powell's money is smack dab in the way of that idea. If Powell was erased, that feels like a possible avenue they might pursue.What are you expecting him to ask for? I can't see him exceeding Christian Wood money (and I wouldn't suggest paying him more than that). RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - Mapka - 03-31-2021 (03-31-2021, 01:13 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: I want to bring this up again because I think this is an excellent observation and a great reading of the tea leaves. It's obvious the Mavs want another playmaker next to Luka. OKC is for sure going to send Al somewhere and BOS loved him. They're desperate and are praying for a competent big guy. The Kemba+Smart pairing hasn't turned out to work at all and add in Kemba's health issues I can see BOS cutting him loose quick. I can't see how this works moneywise. Kemba is over 30 Mio - whom will we send out? And it is against rule No.1. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - omahen - 03-31-2021 (03-31-2021, 03:52 AM)Branduil Wrote: Starting to think Holmes makes far more sense for the Mavs to pursue than the pipe dream of Collins. He could absolutely pick up where Powell left off last year, while being a better rebounder and center. It is just one crucial question - can Holmes guard on perimeter? Kleber can and Powell last season could. KP can't. So if Holmes can't guard the perimeter, the pairing with KP will not work. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - juanc - 03-31-2021 The Mavs are slowly but surely getting back from all the Covid stuff and injuries. DFS and Maxi look better, I also like what I'm seeing from JRich(I know that his stats and advanced stats aren't great, but I think that they are a bit missleading. He slowly getting back in form - I think that his shooting % will go up, I think that he probably has the most in&outs this season ). I also like the progression of KP. I think that he is slowly getting more confident and comfortable with his knee and that's a huge factor IMO. We are slowly getting KP putbacks and KP going to the basket,... back. And he is still 2-4 weeks away from being in peak form. I just hope he stays healthy so he will finaly have an offseason to work on his game(last 3 years he was comming back from injury ) And I have a word or two to say about WCS. I think that his defense has bit a bit overlooked here lately. Looking at free agency 2021 I don't realy like any guy that much. Collins would be nice, but I think that he'll get overpaid(he is not worth the max(the max I would give to him is Brogdon money 85/4). My 2 favourites would be Lonzo and Holmes. And I would absolutely resign THJ. But the best way to go is to look at 2023 free agency. After the draft the Mavs would have all the picks to trade(high possibility), worse case scenario with KP would be that he opts in and becomes a 36mil expiring contract. Also Powell expires after the 22/23 season. If the Mavs sign THJ and others for 2 years, they will have capspace in 2023. Why that year? There are many great free agents in 2023( https://www.spotrac.com/nba/free-agents/2023/ ) - Jokic, Beal, Embiid, Brogdon, Turner, Wood, Capella, Grant, Butler,... That's the time to build a real contender IMO. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - mvossman - 03-31-2021 (03-31-2021, 07:14 AM)juanc Wrote: But the best way to go is to look at 2023 free agency. After the draft the Mavs would have all the picks to trade(high possibility), worse case scenario with KP would be that he opts in and becomes a 36mil expiring contract. Also Powell expires after the 22/23 season. If the Mavs sign THJ and others for 2 years, they will have capspace in 2023. Why that year? There are many great free agents in 2023( https://www.spotrac.com/nba/free-agents/2023/ ) - Jokic, Beal, Embiid, Brogdon, Turner, Wood, Capella, Grant, Butler,... That's the time to build a real contender IMO. They said that about this coming free agency. Then everybody extended and it went to crap. There is no reason to limit the years on contracts getting signed. Contracts can generally be dumped fairly easily (especially if they are expiring) unless they are terrible. I just hope they learned their lesson from a couple years ago and collude with the agents better before free agency officially starts. If they can land a Lowery or Conley in free agency, then they should be ready to pull the trigger immediately and do what they can to retain one of THJ/JRich. If not, they need to do everything they can to get those guys on semi reasonable contracts. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - HanspardShowerVoice - 03-31-2021 Kemba is toast. His bad knee has zapped his explosion off the dribble, and now opponents can get up in his face and contest his shot without fear that he'll blow by them. Now he's reached that point that old small guards get to where theyre just net liabilities at everything. IMHO, Boston is stuck with him. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - StepBackJay - 03-31-2021 (03-31-2021, 08:33 AM)mvossman Wrote: They said that about this coming free agency. Then everybody extended and it went to crap. There is no reason to limit the years on contracts getting signed. Contracts can generally be dumped fairly easily (especially if they are expiring) unless they are terrible. To your first point I agree that getting excited ab any future big free agency is folly bc free agency imo is all but dead at this point. We have seen that the best players now get moved to their preferred destination before free agency hits. There is sort of a middle class of free agents that include older players (Walker, Horford in the recent past) or good-not-great (Brog, Gallo, etc) that are gettable all the way down to the lower class of guys that are always available. For that reason we need to stop getting excited about big free agents coming to Dallas. We couldn't even get Walker or Danny Green to come here. To your second point I disagree that years don't matter. I actually believe years on deals are way more important than the dollars. I think in terms of risk profile it's almost impossible to get burned on a 2 year deal. I don't care how much it costs. In the NBA having a large expiring contract is valuable. What this means is that you have 1 year to see if that player fits your team, if so great you have them another year and they are a trade asset. If they are so terrible that they are worthless their contract has value up until the trade deadline. Chances are you can move that contract and if it really is a high dollar deal it means that the player probably has enough talent that they won't go from worth big money to completely worthless in 12 months. Worst case scenario they are a sunk cost for that second year, you can't find a trade even as filler and you buy that person out. I think even the worst case scenario isn't too likely bc chances are you would have the ability to get another potential buy-out guy instead of buying out your player. Mavs for example probably get Drummond if they had 30 mil dollars of purely filler. Where I get nervous are 3-4 year deals. You have to be really confident in that player and the contract amount to ink those deals. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - StepBackJay - 03-31-2021 (03-31-2021, 08:48 AM)HanspardShowerVoice Wrote: Kemba is toast. His bad knee has zapped his explosion off the dribble, and now opponents can get up in his face and contest his shot without fear that he'll blow by them. Now he's reached that point that old small guards get to where theyre just net liabilities at everything. IMHO, Boston is stuck with him. He is still scoring like 20 points a game. I know he has had rest games and whatnot because of his injury. I will be watching closely to see how he looks. I wouldn't be against some kind of Kemba dump trade but knowing Ainge and how he has to win every trade, I think he is going to end up swapping Kemba for some other big contract player (not sure who?) or two at some point. Horford would be a candidate for that. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - StepBackJay - 03-31-2021 (03-31-2021, 07:14 AM)juanc Wrote: Jokic, Beal, Embiid, Brogdon, Turner, Wood, Capella, Grant, Butler,... That's the time to build a real contender IMO. Let me trim this list down for you. Jokic, Beal, Embiid are not going to make it to FA. We have to pray for everything to crumble around Jokic for him to want out or that he is such BFFs with Luka that they decide to team up. It's a situation to monitor for sure but I will not get my hopes up. The other guys aren't really needle movers for me outside of Brogdon who I like. He will be 30 by then and has had injury issues so he is definitely not on the Jokic, Embiid tier of players. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - StepBackJay - 03-31-2021 (03-30-2021, 10:24 PM)F Gump Wrote: It's exactly the opposite from what you are thinking. Lakers will have THT's Early Bird rights. Plus RFA control. Plus protection from the Arenas provision. It's literally impossible to sign him away unless you pay him such a ridiculous amount that they won't match. This board is going to get excited ab some young promising guys like THT and Holmes but those guys aren't going to be serious targets. Holmes will get a big deal from Charlotte or somebody (they tried to get him at the TDL), THT will stay with the Lakers, the RFAs we talk ab likely stay with their teams for the time being. Free agency is just not a place where you get diamonds very often especially if you aren't a first tier destination. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - SleepingHero - 03-31-2021 (03-31-2021, 05:27 AM)Mapka Wrote: I can't see how this works moneywise. Kemba is over 30 Mio - whom will we send out? It'd have to be in the summer where the Mavs would just need to send out WCS or perhaps even Powell, and renounce either JRich or THJ's hold if my math is correct. They can still keep Melli/1 of THJ/JRich/Reddick's hold and make the trade. If the Mavs were to make the trade today and the only pieces were DAL: Kemba BOS: Horford OKC: Powell+WCS Dallas would just need to free 6.8 mil to get under the hard cap/lose 16 mil in salary, which can theoretically be done by renouncing a single caphold. I could be totally wrong. Perhaps someone who's more well versed in intricacies of the CBA could chime in, but from where I'm standing it'd be relatively easy for the Mavs to get Kemba in the offseason. Though doing so would cap them out and it'd essentially be their last big move they can make without touching the core. You do have a point regarding rule no.1, but Ainge has had quite the tough track record recently in trades. And getting Kemba for peanuts would be about as low risk/high reward there'd be, and Kemba doesn't have the locker room cancer attitude that Rondo had. RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - Kammrath - 03-31-2021 RE: Richaun Holmes If/when the John Collins door is closed for the Mavs, I think I am all in on Richaun Holmes as the next target. Pick & Roll Man 20-21: 88.4% (1.39 PPP) 19-20: 70.8% (1.21 PPP) 18-19: 81.9% (1.26 PPP) On/Off 20-21: +9.6 Offense, +1.5 Defense, +11.1 Net 19-20: +3.4 Offense, +1.3 Defense, +4.7 Net 18-19: -1.2 Offense, +5.7 Defense, +4.4 Net Last 15 Games: 17.4 pts 11.1 rbd 1.8 ast 0.7 stl 2.1 blk 63.5% FG 33.3% 3P (SMALL sample) 84.6% FT RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - StepBackJay - 03-31-2021 (03-31-2021, 09:25 AM)Kammrath Wrote: RE: Richaun Holmes So two things get in the way of that: 1 - Powell 2 - KP. Powell's money needs to get dumped to even consider adding a guy like Holmes who would be your backup center basically and why is he going to do that when a team like Charlotte will pay him more money to be their starting center? RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - Chicagojk - 03-31-2021 Sacramento is going to want to keep Holmes very badly. With his hot play, his $ may be going up, up, up. https://twitter.com/TheNBACentral/status/1376906382197338116 |